Ripple Labs（XRP）和SEC長期進行的法律攤牌最終可能達到決定性的轉折點

法律專家弗雷德·里斯波利（Fred Rispoli）已將新的關注點推向2025年4月16日，這是XRP未來和更廣泛的加密監管景觀的潛在關鍵日。

A long-running legal showdown between Ripple Labs and the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) may finally reach a decisive turning point. Legal expert Fred Rispoli has brought fresh attention to April 16, 2025, marking it as a potentially pivotal day for the future of XRP and the broader crypto regulatory landscape.

Ripple Labs與美國證券交易委員會（SEC）之間的長期法律攤牌最終可能達到決定性的轉折點。法律專家弗雷德·里斯波利（Fred Rispoli）已將新的關注點推向2025年4月16日，這是XRP未來和更廣泛的加密監管景觀的潛在關鍵日。

According to Rispoli, the upcoming deadline leaves Ripple with only two critical paths: file an appellate brief or publicly declare a settlement or withdraw the appeal altogether. No extensions are possible, making this a zero-hour moment for the ongoing legal saga.

根據Rispoli的說法，即將到來的截止日期僅留下了兩條關鍵途徑：提交上訴摘要或公開宣布和解或完全撤回上訴。不可能擴展，這對於正在進行的法律傳奇來說是零小時的時刻。

90% Chance of Settlement or Withdrawal

90％的解決或提款的機會

In a post shared on X (formerly Twitter), Rispoli placed a 90% probability on Ripple choosing to settle or withdraw, leaving only a 10% chance that the firm proceeds with filing its appellate brief. The numbers underscore growing speculation that behind-the-scenes negotiations between Ripple and the SEC may be more advanced than previously believed.

在X（以前是Twitter）上的一篇文章中，Rispoli在Ripple選擇定居或撤離的情況下提出了90％的概率，該公司只有10％的機會進行上訴摘要。這些數字強調了不斷增長的猜測，即波紋和SEC之間的幕後談判可能比以前認為的要高。

This dramatic shift in sentiment has already stirred up the XRP community, fueling renewed debates and optimism about a long-awaited resolution. The possibility of Ripple closing this chapter has led to increased investor interest and speculation on how a final decision could impact XRP’s market trajectory.

這種情緒上的這種戲劇性轉變已經激發了XRP社區，激發了人們對期待已久的決議的樂觀辯論。漣漪結束本章的可能性導致投資者的興趣增加，並猜測最終決定如何影響XRP的市場軌跡。

Legal Pressure Builds as Deadline Nears

法律壓力隨著截止日期的臨近而建立

The uniqueness of this moment lies in the lack of any extension options. The SEC case has seen multiple delays and procedural twists, but April 16 stands as an immovable marker. Ripple’s legal team must make a clear choice: either move forward with a potentially risky and prolonged appellate fight or finalize a resolution that could put an end to years of regulatory uncertainty.

這一刻的獨特性在於缺乏任何擴展選項。 SEC案件已經發生了多次延誤和程序上的扭曲，但4月16日是不可移動的標記。 Ripple的法律團隊必須做出明確的選擇：要么以潛在的風險和長期的上訴鬥爭前進，要么最終確定可能終止監管不確定性的決議。

The community is watching closely, and analysts predict that any positive outcome—especially a settlement without XRP being classified as a security—could send bullish signals across the crypto market. Conversely, a drawn-out appeal process could continue to weigh on Ripple’s progress and market positioning.

社區正在密切關注，分析師預測，任何積極的結果（尤其是沒有XRP被歸類為安全的解決方案）都可以在加密貨幣市場上發送看漲信號。相反，引人入勝的上訴過程可能會繼續權衡波紋的進步和市場定位。

What’s at Stake for XRP Investors

XRP投資者有什麼風險

Beyond legal technicalities, the outcome on April 16 carries significant implications for XRP’s price, mainstream adoption, and global crypto policy. With the SEC intensifying its scrutiny of other altcoins, the Ripple case remains a regulatory litmus test that could set precedence for future crypto enforcement.

除法律技術外，4月16日的結果對XRP的價格，主流採用和全球加密政策產生了重大影響。隨著SEC對其他Altcoins的審查進行了審查，Ripple案仍然是一項監管石站測試，可以為將來的加密執法設定優先。

For XRP investors, this deadline represents more than just a court date—it’s a moment of truth that could redefine the token’s future and ripple across the broader Web3 ecosystem.

對於XRP投資者而言，此截止日期不僅代表了開庭日期 - 這是一個真實的時刻，可以重新定義令牌的未來和在更廣泛的Web3生態系統中的漣漪。