著名的宏观经济学家林恩·奥尔登（Lyn Alden）认为，比特币可以预见到2025年的目前价格约为85,000美元。

尽管她仍然希望比特币在年底时发布收益，但奥尔登指出，二月份提出的关税已经缓解了她早期的看涨观点。

Prominent macroeconomist Lyn Alden has predicted that Bitcoin (BTC) will finish 2025 at a price higher than its current level of around $85,000.

著名的宏观经济学家林恩·奥尔登（Lyn Alden）预测，比特币（BTC）的价格将高于目前的85,000美元左右。

“Before all this tariff kerfuffle, I would have had a higher price target, but I think they’ll probably do okay this year,” Alden said on Coin Stories.

“在所有这些关税Kerfuffle之前，我的目标价格更高，但我认为他们今年可能会很好，” Alden在硬币故事中说。

The economist was referring to the tariffs that were reintroduced in February, which have somewhat dampened her earlier bullish outlook on Bitcoin.

这位经济学家指的是2月重新引入的关税，这在某种程度上削弱了她对比特币的看涨前景。

Earlier this year, Alden had expressed anticipation for a surge in liquidity, potentially pushing Bitcoin toward more significant price targets.

今年早些时候，奥尔登（Alden）表示对流动性激增的期望，可能会将比特币推向更重要的价格目标。

In particular, she highlighted the scenario of the U.S. bond market going into a crisis, leading the Federal Reserve to engage in quantitative easing or yield curve control.

特别是，她强调了美国债券市场陷入危机的情况，导致美联储从事定量宽松或产量曲线控制。

Despite the presence of macro headwinds, Alden sees a “good chance” of Bitcoin exceeding the $100,000 threshold in 2025. However, she noted that global market volatility remains a key obstacle.

尽管存在宏观逆风，但奥尔登认为比特币超过2025年的100,000美元门槛的“好机会”。但是，她指出，全球市场波动仍然是一个关键的障碍。

This is due to Bitcoin’s continuous trading activity, in contrast to traditional equity markets with limited trading hours.

这是由于比特币的持续交易活动，与传统股票市场相比，交易小时有限。

“Because it trades 24/7, if people are worried about how things are going to open on Monday, some pools of capital can sell their Bitcoin on a Sunday and prepare for it,” she said.

她说：“因为它交易24/7，如果人们担心周一的开放方式，那么一些资本池可以在周日出售其比特币并为此做准备。”

Alden explained that Bitcoin often reacts first to any market jitters due to its round-the-clock nature.

奥尔登（Alden）解释说，比特币由于其全天候的性质而经常对任何市场的反应。

Although its correlation to tech-heavy indices like the Nasdaq 100 has been noted, Alden believes Bitcoin can sometimes diverge, especially when broader market conditions exert pressure on U.S. equities without directly impacting global liquidity.

尽管已经注意到了它与纳斯达克100（Nasdaq 100）等技术繁重指数的相关性，但奥尔登认为比特币有时会分歧，尤其是当更广泛的市场状况对美国股票施加压力而不会直接影响全球流动性时。

She drew comparisons to the period between 2003 and 2007, when a weak U.S. dollar cycle fueled capital flows into commodities, emerging markets, and gold, largely bypassing U.S. stocks.

她对2003年至2007年期间的时期进行了比较，当时美元周期薄弱地将资本流入商品，新兴市场和黄金，在很大程度上绕过了美国股票。

Alden noted that a similar environment could be favorable for Bitcoin.

奥尔登指出，类似的环境可能对比特币有利。

“If we encounter a five-year period like that again, that could be a period where Bitcoin does pretty well, even as the U.S. stock market doesn't do particularly well,” she added.

她补充说：“如果我们又遇到了这样的五年时期，那可能是比特币表现良好的时期，即使美国股票市场的表现不佳。”