著名的宏觀經濟學家林恩·奧爾登（Lyn Alden）認為，比特幣可以預見到2025年的目前價格約為85,000美元。

儘管她仍然希望比特幣在年底時發布收益，但奧爾登指出，二月份提出的關稅已經緩解了她早期的看漲觀點。

Prominent macroeconomist Lyn Alden has predicted that Bitcoin (BTC) will finish 2025 at a price higher than its current level of around $85,000.

著名的宏觀經濟學家林恩·奧爾登（Lyn Alden）預測，比特幣（BTC）的價格將高於目前的85,000美元左右。

“Before all this tariff kerfuffle, I would have had a higher price target, but I think they’ll probably do okay this year,” Alden said on Coin Stories.

“在所有這些關稅Kerfuffle之前，我的目標價格更高，但我認為他們今年可能會很好，” Alden在硬幣故事中說。

The economist was referring to the tariffs that were reintroduced in February, which have somewhat dampened her earlier bullish outlook on Bitcoin.

這位經濟學家指的是2月重新引入的關稅，這在某種程度上削弱了她對比特幣的看漲前景。

Earlier this year, Alden had expressed anticipation for a surge in liquidity, potentially pushing Bitcoin toward more significant price targets.

今年早些時候，奧爾登（Alden）表示對流動性激增的期望，可能會將比特幣推向更重要的價格目標。

In particular, she highlighted the scenario of the U.S. bond market going into a crisis, leading the Federal Reserve to engage in quantitative easing or yield curve control.

特別是，她強調了美國債券市場陷入危機的情況，導緻美聯儲從事定量寬鬆或產量曲線控制。

Despite the presence of macro headwinds, Alden sees a “good chance” of Bitcoin exceeding the $100,000 threshold in 2025. However, she noted that global market volatility remains a key obstacle.

儘管存在宏觀逆風，但奧爾登認為比特幣超過2025年的100,000美元門檻的“好機會”。但是，她指出，全球市場波動仍然是一個關鍵的障礙。

This is due to Bitcoin’s continuous trading activity, in contrast to traditional equity markets with limited trading hours.

這是由於比特幣的持續交易活動，與傳統股票市場相比，交易小時有限。

“Because it trades 24/7, if people are worried about how things are going to open on Monday, some pools of capital can sell their Bitcoin on a Sunday and prepare for it,” she said.

她說：“因為它交易24/7，如果人們擔心週一的開放方式，那麼一些資本池可以在周日出售其比特幣並為此做準備。”

Alden explained that Bitcoin often reacts first to any market jitters due to its round-the-clock nature.

奧爾登（Alden）解釋說，比特幣由於其全天候的性質而經常對任何市場的反應。

Although its correlation to tech-heavy indices like the Nasdaq 100 has been noted, Alden believes Bitcoin can sometimes diverge, especially when broader market conditions exert pressure on U.S. equities without directly impacting global liquidity.

儘管已經註意到了它與納斯達克100（Nasdaq 100）等技術繁重指數的相關性，但奧爾登認為比特幣有時會分歧，尤其是當更廣泛的市場狀況對美國股票施加壓力而不會直接影響全球流動性時。

She drew comparisons to the period between 2003 and 2007, when a weak U.S. dollar cycle fueled capital flows into commodities, emerging markets, and gold, largely bypassing U.S. stocks.

她對2003年至2007年期間的時期進行了比較，當時美元週期薄弱地將資本流入商品，新興市場和黃金，在很大程度上繞過了美國股票。

Alden noted that a similar environment could be favorable for Bitcoin.

奧爾登指出，類似的環境可能對比特幣有利。

“If we encounter a five-year period like that again, that could be a period where Bitcoin does pretty well, even as the U.S. stock market doesn't do particularly well,” she added.

她補充說：“如果我們又遇到了這樣的五年時期，那可能是比特幣表現良好的時期，即使美國股票市場的表現不佳。”