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Crypto分析師Xanrox在交易景平台的分析中提出了比特幣的看跌案例,認為正在進行的下降楔形模式
Bitcoin has been attempting to hold above the $85,000 level for the past seven days, trading in a range of $83,200 to $86,000. While buying momentum has turned positive in the past 24 hours, an interesting technical analysis from one analyst suggests that a technical setup could open up a huge downside risk for the cryptocurrency.
比特幣一直試圖在過去七天的85,000美元水平上保持超過83,200美元至86,000美元的交易。儘管在過去的24小時內購買動量變成了積極的態度,但一位分析師的有趣技術分析表明,技術設置可以為加密貨幣帶來巨大的下行風險。
Crypto analyst Xanrox laid out a bearish case for Bitcoin in an analysis on the TradingView platform, arguing that the ongoing falling wedge pattern, often seen as a bullish indicator, may actually be a calculated trap set by whales. According to his analysis, Bitcoin could crash to $67,000 before another strong move upwards.
Crypto分析師Xanrox在交易景平台的分析中提出了一個看跌案例的比特幣案例,認為正在進行的下降楔形模式通常被視為看漲指標,實際上可能是鯨魚設置的計算出的陷阱。根據他的分析,比特幣可能會崩潰至67,000美元,然後再進一步向上移動。
Bitcoin’s Falling Wedge That Might Not Be Bullish After All
比特幣的下降楔子畢竟可能不是看好的
Xanrox’s main argument centers on the widespread belief that falling wedges are bullish reversal patterns, especially when the wedge forms at the start of a trend. However, the current wedge is forming at the end of a broader trend, which is a different scenario altogether.
Xanrox的主要論點集中在廣泛的信念中,即掉落的楔形是看漲的逆轉模式,尤其是在趨勢開始時形成楔形時。但是,當前的楔形在更廣泛的趨勢的末尾形成,這是一種不同的情況。
The daily candlestick timeframe chart shows the Bitcoin price moving inside a clean wedge structure while trading well below the 20, 50, 100, and 200 daily moving averages. This setup, according to Xanrox, paints the picture of a clear downtrend rather than a setup for a reversal.
每日燭台時間範圍圖表顯示了比特幣價格在乾淨的楔形結構內部移動,同時交易遠低於20、50、100和200的每日移動平均值。根據Xanrox的說法,該設置描繪了清晰的下降趨勢的圖片,而不是逆轉的設置。
The bearish outlook is not just about chart patterns; it’s also about market psychology and the mechanics of liquidity. Such a setup is likely being exploited by whales in institutions and banks with enough liquidity to influence price action.
看跌的前景不僅與圖表模式有關。這也與市場心理學和流動性機制有關。這種設置很可能被機構和銀行中的鯨魚所利用,這些機構和銀行具有足夠的流動性以影響價格行動。
These whales need retail buyers to create enough volume for them to offload or accumulate positions. By painting the illusion of a breakout, they can push retail participants into a false sense of opportunity, which they will then close out to trigger stop losses across the board.
這些鯨魚需要零售買家來創造足夠的體積,以使他們卸載或累積位置。通過繪製突破性的幻想,他們可以將零售參與者推向錯誤的機會感,然後他們將結束,以觸發全面的停止損失。
This outlook plays into the growing notion that Bitcoin is increasingly becoming more of an asset among institutions, primarily due to the rise of Spot Bitcoin ETFs.
這種前景涉及到越來越多的觀念,即比特幣越來越多地成為機構中的一項資產,這主要是由於現貨比特幣ETF的興起。
Chart Image From TradingView: Xanrox
來自TradingView的圖表圖片:Xanrox
20% Price Move For Bitcoin This Week
本週比特幣的價格轉移20%
Xanrox predicted a 20% move for Bitcoin this week. A 20% move to the upside from the current $85,000 range would see Bitcoin trading back above $100,000 and somewhere around $102,000. However, this predicted 20% move isn’t an upside move but a downside move. Particularly, the analyst identified $67,000 as the level Bitcoin is most likely to test in the coming weeks.
Xanrox預測,本週比特幣的股份為20%。從目前的85,000美元範圍內的上升空間20%的上升空間將使比特幣交易返回100,000美元,約為102,000美元。但是,這預計20%的移動不是上升的移動,而是下行移動。特別是,分析師將67,000美元確定為比特幣最有可能在接下來的幾週內進行測試。
The $67,000 price level is the primary target if the current wedge fails as expected, as it is the major support on the way down if $75,000 is broken.
如果當前的楔形符合預期的情況,則價格水平為67,000美元,是主要目標,因為如果損壞了75,000美元,這是下降的主要支持。
Even if the predicted 20% downside move fails to materialize this new week, there is still the possibility of the move taking place in the coming weeks. The analyst suggests Bitcoin may attempt to retest the upper zone between $108,000 and $91,000 before heading lower.
即使預測的20%下行行動未能實現這一新一周,仍然有可能在接下來的幾週內進行。分析師建議比特幣可能試圖在較低的情況下重新測試上層區域$ 108,000至91,000美元。
At the time of writing, Bitcoin was trading at $84,280.
在寫作時,比特幣的交易價格為84,280美元。
The post Bitcoin Could Crash to $67K, Technical Analysis Suggests Huge Downside Risk appeared first on iHopper.
技術分析表明,比特幣可能會崩潰至6.7萬美元,這表明巨大的下行風險首先出現在Ihopper上。
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