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加密货币新闻

比特币(BTC)在过去的七天里试图持有$ 80,00

2025/04/21 05:00

Crypto分析师Xanrox在交易景平台的分析中提出了比特币的看跌案例,认为正在进行的下降楔形模式

比特币(BTC)在过去的七天里试图持有$ 80,00

Bitcoin has been attempting to hold above the $85,000 level for the past seven days, trading in a range of $83,200 to $86,000. While buying momentum has turned positive in the past 24 hours, an interesting technical analysis from one analyst suggests that a technical setup could open up a huge downside risk for the cryptocurrency.

比特币一直试图在过去七天的85,000美元水平上保持超过83,200美元至86,000美元的交易。尽管在过去的24小时内购买动量变成了积极的态度,但一位分析师的有趣技术分析表明,技术设置可以为加密货币带来巨大的下行风险。

Crypto analyst Xanrox laid out a bearish case for Bitcoin in an analysis on the TradingView platform, arguing that the ongoing falling wedge pattern, often seen as a bullish indicator, may actually be a calculated trap set by whales. According to his analysis, Bitcoin could crash to $67,000 before another strong move upwards.

Crypto分析师Xanrox在交易景平台的分析中提出了一个看跌案例的比特币案例,认为正在进行的下降楔形模式通常被视为看涨指标,实际上可能是鲸鱼设置的计算出的陷阱。根据他的分析,比特币可能会崩溃至67,000美元,然后再进一步向上移动。

Bitcoin’s Falling Wedge That Might Not Be Bullish After All

比特币的下降楔子毕竟可能不是看好的

Xanrox’s main argument centers on the widespread belief that falling wedges are bullish reversal patterns, especially when the wedge forms at the start of a trend. However, the current wedge is forming at the end of a broader trend, which is a different scenario altogether.

Xanrox的主要论点集中在广泛的信念中,即掉落的楔形是看涨的逆转模式,尤其是在趋势开始时形成楔形时。但是,当前的楔形在更广泛的趋势的末尾形成,这是一种不同的情况。

The daily candlestick timeframe chart shows the Bitcoin price moving inside a clean wedge structure while trading well below the 20, 50, 100, and 200 daily moving averages. This setup, according to Xanrox, paints the picture of a clear downtrend rather than a setup for a reversal.

每日烛台时间范围图表显示了比特币价格在干净的楔形结构内部移动,同时交易远低于20、50、100和200的每日移动平均值。根据Xanrox的说法,该设置描绘了清晰的下降趋势的图片,而不是逆转的设置。

The bearish outlook is not just about chart patterns; it’s also about market psychology and the mechanics of liquidity. Such a setup is likely being exploited by whales in institutions and banks with enough liquidity to influence price action.

看跌的前景不仅与图表模式有关。这也与市场心理学和流动性机制有关。这种设置很可能被机构和银行中的鲸鱼所利用,这些机构和银行具有足够的流动性以影响价格行动。

 

These whales need retail buyers to create enough volume for them to offload or accumulate positions. By painting the illusion of a breakout, they can push retail participants into a false sense of opportunity, which they will then close out to trigger stop losses across the board.

这些鲸鱼需要零售买家来创造足够的体积,以使他们卸载或累积位置。通过绘制突破性的幻想,他们可以将零售参与者推向错误的机会感,然后他们将结束,以触发全面的停止损失。

This outlook plays into the growing notion that Bitcoin is increasingly becoming more of an asset among institutions, primarily due to the rise of Spot Bitcoin ETFs.

这种前景涉及到越来越多的观念,即比特币越来越多地成为机构中的一项资产,这主要是由于现货比特币ETF的兴起。

Chart Image From TradingView: Xanrox

来自TradingView的图表图片:Xanrox

20% Price Move For Bitcoin This Week

本周比特币的价格转移20%

Xanrox predicted a 20% move for Bitcoin this week. A 20% move to the upside from the current $85,000 range would see Bitcoin trading back above $100,000 and somewhere around $102,000. However, this predicted 20% move isn’t an upside move but a downside move. Particularly, the analyst identified $67,000 as the level Bitcoin is most likely to test in the coming weeks. 

Xanrox预测,本周比特币的股份为20%。从目前的85,000美元范围内的上升空间20%的上升空间将使比特币交易返回100,000美元,约为102,000美元。但是,这预计20%的移动不是上升的移动,而是下行移动。特别是,分析师将67,000美元确定为比特币最有可能在接下来的几周内进行测试。

The $67,000 price level is the primary target if the current wedge fails as expected, as it is the major support on the way down if $75,000 is broken. 

如果当前的楔形符合预期的情况,则价格水平为67,000美元,是主要目标,因为如果损坏了75,000美元,这是下降的主要支持。

Even if the predicted 20% downside move fails to materialize this new week, there is still the possibility of the move taking place in the coming weeks. The analyst suggests Bitcoin may attempt to retest the upper zone between $108,000 and $91,000 before heading lower.

即使预测的20%下行行动未能实现这一新一周,仍然有可能在接下来的几周内进行。分析师建议比特币可能试图在较低的情况下重新测试上层区域$ 108,000至91,000美元。

At the time of writing, Bitcoin was trading at $84,280.

在写作时,比特币的交易价格为84,280美元。

The post Bitcoin Could Crash to $67K, Technical Analysis Suggests Huge Downside Risk appeared first on iHopper.

技术分析表明,比特币可能会崩溃至6.7万美元,这表明巨大的下行风险首先出现在Ihopper上。

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