隨著看漲分析師預測與看跌鯨活動的衝突，Cardano（ADA）價格正在閃爍混合信號。

在加密貨幣波動的情況下，市場正在努力爭取方向，最高山寨幣在過去24小時內進行集會。儘管最高分析師樂觀，但最近出售的1.8億ADA捕鯨仍引起了人們對價格強度和延續的擔憂。

Crypto analyst ALLINCRYPTO shared a bullish Cardano (ADA) forecast, predicting a potential rally toward $4, based on a recurring price cycle from 2020 to mid-2021, when top meme coin prices consolidated before surging to $3 in a historic breakout.

加密分析師Allincrypto分享了看漲的Cardano（ADA）預測，根據2020年至2021年中期的經常出現的價格週期，預測潛在的集會向4美元，當時最高的Meme Coin價格合併，然後在歷史性的突破中飆升至3美元。

According to his analysis, ADA’s current market setup closely mirrors that pre-breakout structure from the last cycle.

根據他的分析，ADA目前的市場設置與上一個週期的突破性結構緊密相似。

Annually repeating pattern on the meme coin price chart

每年在模因硬幣價格圖表上重複模式

Specifically, the analyst highlighted a clear pattern of accumulation and expansion repeating over time. He argued that ADA price could reach $4 if the final phase of consolidation ends in a similar breakout, adding that although Cardano price is currently far from its all-time high, the historical roadmap remains valid.

具體而言，分析師突出了一種清晰的積累和擴展模式，隨著時間的推移重複。他認為，如果合併的最後階段在類似的突破中結束，ADA價格可能會達到4美元，並補充說，儘管Cardano Price目前距離其歷史最高高，但歷史路線圖仍然有效。

However, market conditions have changed significantly since ADA’s previous cycle. While the analysis is data-driven, factors such as macroeconomic risk and broader market liquidity may limit upside potential.

但是，自ADA上一次週期以來，市場狀況發生了很大變化。儘管該分析是數據驅動的，但宏觀經濟風險和更廣泛的市場流動性等因素可能會限制上升潛力。

Even with similar chart patterns, traders must observe confirmation through increased volume and structural resistance tests for a breakout to occur.

即使有類似的圖表模式，交易者也必須通過增加體積和結構性阻力測試來觀察確認，以便發生突破。

Analyst Identified Triangle Consolidation

分析師確定了三角合併

Meanwhile, crypto analyst Ali Martinez offered a complementary technical perspective, identifying a symmetrical triangle pattern on ADA’s daily chart.

同時，加密分析師阿里·馬丁內斯（Ali Martinez）提供了互補的技術觀點，並在ADA的每日圖表上確定了對稱的三角形模式。

Usually, triangle formations suggest a balance between buyers and sellers, setting the stage for a significant breakout.

通常，三角形地層表明買賣雙方之間保持平衡，為重大突破奠定了基礎。

Martinez noted this tightening range in an April 18 update, predicting a potential 30% move once ADA exits the pattern.

馬丁內斯（Martinez）在4月18日的更新中指出了這一緊縮範圍，預測，一旦ADA退出模式，潛在的30％的移動。

Interestingly, the top altcoin position inside this triangle aligns with recent price action. The asset was holding above $0.61 at the time of analysis, gradually pushing toward the upper boundary of the triangle.

有趣的是，該三角形內部的頂級替補位置與最近的價格行動保持一致。在分析時，該資產的持有高於0.61美元，逐漸向三角形的上邊界推向上限。

A clean breakout could push the ADA price to $0.82, assuming the 30% projection plays out.

假設有30％的投影播放，那麼乾淨的突破可能會將ADA價格提高到0.82美元。

30% Move Expected After Symmetrical Triangle Plays Out

對稱三角彈奏後預期30％的移動

“The symmetrical triangle pattern on #Cardano's daily chart suggests a 30% move is brewing. The crypto giant is still operating in a lower-high, lower-low pattern as it trades at $0.61. A breakout above the triangle's upper boundary could propel #ADA to $0.82.”

“＃Cardano的每日圖表上的對稱三角形模式表明，釀造30％的動作。加密巨頭仍處於低調，低點的運行方式，因為它的交易價格為0.61美元。三角形上邊界上方的突破可能會使#ADA提高到0.82美元。”

However, despite these bullish projections, on-chain data reveals a bearish trend. Recently, Ali Martinez reported that whales dumped 180 million ADA within five days, indicating a lack of long-term conviction from major holders.

但是，儘管有這些看漲的預測，但鏈上的數據揭示了看跌趨勢。最近，阿里·馬丁內斯（Ali Martinez）報導說，鯨魚在五天內傾倒了1.8億ADA，表明主要持有人缺乏長期定罪。

These sales occurred even as Cadano price rose nearly 10% from earlier lows, reflecting a strategic exit by some whales.

這些銷售也發生了，即使卡達諾的價格從早期低點上漲了近10％，這反映了某些鯨魚的戰略退出。

The on-chain chart showed decreasing whale balances during ADA’s recent bounce, which commonly signals distribution.

鏈上圖顯示，在ADA最近反彈期間，鯨魚平衡的降低，這通常是標誌著分佈的信號。

Such large transactions can suppress bullish momentum, especially in low-liquidity conditions. Historically, whale exits precede price corrections, creating headwinds for further gains.

如此大的交易可以抑制看漲的動力，尤其是在低流動性條件下。從歷史上看，鯨魚退出之前的價格更正之前，為進一步的收益帶來了逆風。

If whale sell pressure continues, ADA price may struggle to attract enough retail volume to break resistance.

如果鯨魚出售壓力仍在繼續，ADA價格可能難以吸引足夠的零售量以打破抵抗力。

This dynamic complicates the bullish setup, especially with ADA still operating below key technical levels.

這種動態使看漲的設置複雜化，尤其是ADA仍在關鍵技術水平以下。

For the top altcoin price to maintain an upward trajectory, both whale sentiment and spot volume must improve.

為了維持上幣的最高價格，鯨魚情緒和斑點量都必須提高。