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这些平台上的投注者预计 BTC 和 ETH 将创下历史新高,Kalshi 预计 2025 年 BTC 至少达到 125,000 美元,ETH 达到 5,000 美元的可能性超过 60%。
Prediction markets are offering varying outlooks for the future of cryptocurrency, with some traders anticipating substantial gains and others predicting more conservative growth.
预测市场对加密货币的未来提供了不同的前景,一些交易者预计将出现大幅上涨,而另一些交易者则预测会出现更为保守的增长。
According to Kalshi and Polymarket, bettors are largely optimistic about the prospects of Bitcoin (BTC) and Ether (ETH) over the next several years.
根据 Kalshi 和 Polymarket 的说法,投注者对未来几年比特币 (BTC) 和以太币 (ETH) 的前景基本持乐观态度。
These platforms indicate that traders are placing high odds on BTC and ETH reaching record highs by 2025.
这些平台表明,交易者对 BTC 和 ETH 到 2025 年达到历史新高的可能性很高。
Kalshi data suggests a more than 60% chance of BTC reaching at least $125,000 and ETH hitting $5,000 in 2025.
Kalshi 数据显示,2025 年 BTC 价格至少达到 125,000 美元,ETH 价格达到 5,000 美元的可能性超过 60%。
To put this into perspective, the current record highs for BTC and ETH stand at approximately $108,300 and $4,720, respectively.
从这个角度来看,BTC 和 ETH 目前的历史新高分别约为 108,300 美元和 4,720 美元。
Furthermore, market participants are anticipating the approval of several cryptocurrency exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the U.S.
此外,市场参与者预计多个加密货币交易所交易基金(ETF)将在美国获得批准
Polymarket data indicates that traders are betting on the approval of XRP, Solana, and Litecoin ETFs by mid-2025.
Polymarket 数据显示,交易者押注 XRP、Solana 和 Litecoin ETF 将于 2025 年中期获得批准。
The odds of an ETF approval by July are 75% for XRP, 69% for Solana, and 51% for Litecoin.
到 7 月份,XRP 获得 ETF 批准的可能性为 75%,Solana 为 69%,莱特币为 51%。
Meanwhile, the possibility of a Dogecoin ETF is given a lower chance of 22%.
与此同时,狗狗币 ETF 的可能性较低,为 22%。
Kalshi also predicts a 59% chance that U.S. President-elect Donald Trump will create a national Bitcoin reserve during his term, while Polymarket anticipates a 29% likelihood for this initiative within his first 100 days in office.
Kalshi 还预测,美国当选总统唐纳德·特朗普 (Donald Trump) 在其任期内建立国家比特币储备的可能性为 59%,而 Polymarket 预计在他上任的头 100 天内建立国家比特币储备的可能性为 29%。
On the other hand, traders on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) are forecasting more conservative gains for BTC and ETH.
另一方面,芝加哥商品交易所(CME)的交易员预测 BTC 和 ETH 的涨幅更为保守。
According to CME data, traders are setting March futures prices at approximately $98,000 for BTC and $3,500 for ETH, which, while an increase, shows more restrained expectations compared to the prediction markets.
根据 CME 数据,交易员将 3 月份 BTC 期货价格定为约 98,000 美元,ETH 期货价格为 3,500 美元,虽然有所上涨,但与预测市场相比,预期更加有限。
As cryptocurrency markets continue to adapt to emerging trends and regulatory developments, the betting landscape highlights contrasting views on the potential growth trajectory for digital currencies, with broader financial implications hinging on these projections.
随着加密货币市场继续适应新兴趋势和监管发展,博彩格局凸显了对数字货币潜在增长轨迹的不同看法,这些预测对更广泛的财务影响至关重要。
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