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這些平台上的投注者預計 BTC 和 ETH 將創下歷史新高,Kalshi 預計 2025 年 BTC 至少達到 125,000 美元,ETH 達到 5,000 美元的可能性超過 60%。
Prediction markets are offering varying outlooks for the future of cryptocurrency, with some traders anticipating substantial gains and others predicting more conservative growth.
預測市場對加密貨幣的未來提供了不同的前景,一些交易者預計將大幅上漲,而另一些交易者則預測會出現更保守的成長。
According to Kalshi and Polymarket, bettors are largely optimistic about the prospects of Bitcoin (BTC) and Ether (ETH) over the next several years.
根據 Kalshi 和 Polymarket 的說法,投注者對未來幾年比特幣 (BTC) 和以太幣 (ETH) 的前景基本上持樂觀態度。
These platforms indicate that traders are placing high odds on BTC and ETH reaching record highs by 2025.
這些平台表明,交易者對 BTC 和 ETH 到 2025 年達到歷史新高的可能性很高。
Kalshi data suggests a more than 60% chance of BTC reaching at least $125,000 and ETH hitting $5,000 in 2025.
Kalshi 數據顯示,2025 年 BTC 價格至少達到 12.5 萬美元,ETH 價格達到 5,000 美元的可能性超過 60%。
To put this into perspective, the current record highs for BTC and ETH stand at approximately $108,300 and $4,720, respectively.
從這個角度來看,BTC 和 ETH 目前的歷史新高分別約為 108,300 美元和 4,720 美元。
Furthermore, market participants are anticipating the approval of several cryptocurrency exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the U.S.
此外,市場參與者預計多個加密貨幣交易所交易基金(ETF)將在美國獲得批准
Polymarket data indicates that traders are betting on the approval of XRP, Solana, and Litecoin ETFs by mid-2025.
Polymarket 數據顯示,交易者押注 XRP、Solana 和 Litecoin ETF 將於 2025 年中期獲得批准。
The odds of an ETF approval by July are 75% for XRP, 69% for Solana, and 51% for Litecoin.
到 7 月份,XRP 獲得 ETF 批准的可能性為 75%,Solana 為 69%,萊特幣為 51%。
Meanwhile, the possibility of a Dogecoin ETF is given a lower chance of 22%.
同時,狗狗幣 ETF 的可能性較低,為 22%。
Kalshi also predicts a 59% chance that U.S. President-elect Donald Trump will create a national Bitcoin reserve during his term, while Polymarket anticipates a 29% likelihood for this initiative within his first 100 days in office.
Kalshi 也預測,美國當選總統唐納德·川普(Donald Trump) 在其任期內建立國家比特幣儲備的可能性為59%,而Polymarket 預計在他上任的頭100 天內建立國家比特幣儲備的可能性為29%。
On the other hand, traders on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) are forecasting more conservative gains for BTC and ETH.
另一方面,芝加哥商品交易所(CME)的交易員預測 BTC 和 ETH 的漲幅更為保守。
According to CME data, traders are setting March futures prices at approximately $98,000 for BTC and $3,500 for ETH, which, while an increase, shows more restrained expectations compared to the prediction markets.
根據 CME 數據,交易員將 3 月 BTC 期貨價格設定為約 98,000 美元,ETH 期貨價格為 3,500 美元,雖然有所上漲,但與預測市場相比,預期更加有限。
As cryptocurrency markets continue to adapt to emerging trends and regulatory developments, the betting landscape highlights contrasting views on the potential growth trajectory for digital currencies, with broader financial implications hinging on these projections.
隨著加密貨幣市場不斷適應新興趨勢和監管發展,博彩格局凸顯了對數位貨幣潛在成長軌跡的不同看法,這些預測對更廣泛的財務影響至關重要。
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