山寨币季节的力量是否在减弱？

加密货币市场中定期出现的山寨币季节仍然是吸引投资者极大兴趣的事件之一。然而，预计随着市场的成熟，这些季节的回报可能会下降。加密世界知名分析师的预测

Altcoin seasons, which occur periodically in the cryptocurrency market, continue to be one of the events that attract great interest from investors. However, it is predicted that the returns of these seasons may decrease with the maturation of the market. The predictions of well-known analysts of the crypto world, such as Willy Woo and Il Capo of Crypto, present a picture that investors should follow carefully in this regard.

加密货币市场中定期出现的山寨币季节仍然是吸引投资者极大兴趣的事件之一。然而，预计随着市场的成熟，这些季节的回报可能会下降。加密世界知名分析师（例如 Crypto 的 Willy Woo 和 Il Capo）的预测呈现出一幅投资者在这方面应该仔细关注的图景。

Bitcoin’s dominance over the market is a critical indicator for the beginning of altcoin seasons. According to TradingView data, Bitcoin’s market dominance is at 59.31 percent. Some analysts state that if this rate reaches 60 percent, it could be a sign that capital will start to flow from Bitcoin to altcoins.

比特币在市场上的主导地位是山寨币季节开始的关键指标。根据TradingView的数据，比特币的市场主导地位为59.31%。一些分析师表示，如果这一比率达到 60%，则可能表明资本将开始从比特币流向山寨币。

According to Willy Woo’s analysis, the current altcoin cycle will be shaped especially around meme coins, and this situation will come with criticism against the crypto world. Woo states that meme coins function as a “bubble casino” rather than a serious investment tool.

根据 Willy Woo 的分析，当前的山寨币周期将特别围绕模因币而形成，这种情况将伴随着对加密世界的批评。 Woo 表示，模因币的功能是“泡沫赌场”，而不是严肃的投资工具。

Il Capo shared the “black swan” scenario

Il Capo分享了“黑天鹅”情景

Another analyst known for his pessimistic predictions in the cryptocurrency world, il Capo of Crypto, states that the upcoming US elections could be a source of great uncertainty in the crypto market. According to the analyst, a “black swan” event that may occur before the elections, that is, a large unpredictable shock wave, could lead to a major decline, especially in altcoins. In such a scenario, altcoins are expected to lose 35 percent, large-cap cryptocurrencies 25 percent to 35 percent, and small-cap cryptocurrencies 40 percent to 60 percent.

另一位以对加密货币世界的悲观预测而闻名的分析师，Crypto 的 il Capo 表示，即将到来的美国大选可能会成为加密市场巨大不确定性的根源。该分析师表示，选举前可能发生的“黑天鹅”事件，即一场不可预测的巨大冲击波，可能会导致大幅下跌，尤其是山寨币。在这种情况下，山寨币预计将损失 35%，大盘加密货币将损失 25% 至 35%，小盘加密货币将损失 40% 至 60%。

Despite this scenario that creates uncertainty in the market, Il Capo shares some hopeful thoughts for long-term investors. The analyst thinks that such a decline could be recorded as a final pullback for the start of the altcoin season. In addition, il Capo states that investors should be prepared for such events instead of being afraid, and that they can see declines as opportunities for new entry into the crypto market. The analyst, who once only made predictions for the bear market, changed his views after the last bull rally. Because he announced that he invested in various altcoins.

尽管这种情况给市场带来了不确定性，但伊尔卡波还是为长期投资者分享了一些充满希望的想法。分析师认为，这种下跌可能会被视为山寨币季节开始时的最终回调。此外，il Capo 表示，投资者应该为此类事件做好准备，而不是害怕，并且他们可以将下跌视为新进入加密货币市场的机会。这位曾经只对熊市做出预测的分析师在上次牛市反弹后改变了看法。因为他宣布他投资了各种山寨币。