山寨幣季節的力量是否在減弱？

加密貨幣市場中定期出現的山寨幣季節仍然是吸引投資者極大興趣的事件之一。然而，預計隨著市場的成熟，這些季節的回報可能會下降。加密世界知名分析師的預測

Altcoin seasons, which occur periodically in the cryptocurrency market, continue to be one of the events that attract great interest from investors. However, it is predicted that the returns of these seasons may decrease with the maturation of the market. The predictions of well-known analysts of the crypto world, such as Willy Woo and Il Capo of Crypto, present a picture that investors should follow carefully in this regard.

加密貨幣市場中定期出現的山寨幣季節仍然是吸引投資者極大興趣的事件之一。然而，預計隨著市場的成熟，這些季節的回報可能會下降。加密世界知名分析師（例如 Crypto 的 Willy Woo 和 Il Capo）的預測呈現出一幅投資者在這方面應該仔細關注的圖景。

Bitcoin’s dominance over the market is a critical indicator for the beginning of altcoin seasons. According to TradingView data, Bitcoin’s market dominance is at 59.31 percent. Some analysts state that if this rate reaches 60 percent, it could be a sign that capital will start to flow from Bitcoin to altcoins.

比特幣在市場上的主導地位是山寨幣季節開始的關鍵指標。根據TradingView的數據，比特幣的市場主導地位為59.31%。一些分析師表示，如果這一比率達到 60%，則可能表明資本將開始從比特幣流向山寨幣。

According to Willy Woo’s analysis, the current altcoin cycle will be shaped especially around meme coins, and this situation will come with criticism against the crypto world. Woo states that meme coins function as a “bubble casino” rather than a serious investment tool.

根據 Willy Woo 的分析，當前的山寨幣週期將特別圍繞著迷因幣而形成，這種情況將伴隨著對加密世界的批評。 Woo 表示，模因幣的功能是“泡沫賭場”，而不是嚴肅的投資工具。

Il Capo shared the “black swan” scenario

Il Capo分享了「黑天鵝」情景

Another analyst known for his pessimistic predictions in the cryptocurrency world, il Capo of Crypto, states that the upcoming US elections could be a source of great uncertainty in the crypto market. According to the analyst, a “black swan” event that may occur before the elections, that is, a large unpredictable shock wave, could lead to a major decline, especially in altcoins. In such a scenario, altcoins are expected to lose 35 percent, large-cap cryptocurrencies 25 percent to 35 percent, and small-cap cryptocurrencies 40 percent to 60 percent.

另一位以對加密貨幣世界的悲觀預測而聞名的分析師，Crypto 的 il Capo 表示，即將到來的美國大選可能會成為加密市場巨大不確定性的根源。該分析師表示，選舉前可能發生的「黑天鵝」事件，即一場不可預測的巨大衝擊波，可能會導致大幅下跌，尤其是山寨幣。在這種情況下，山寨幣預計將損失 35%，大盤加密貨幣將損失 25% 至 35%，小型加密貨幣將損失 40% 至 60%。

Despite this scenario that creates uncertainty in the market, Il Capo shares some hopeful thoughts for long-term investors. The analyst thinks that such a decline could be recorded as a final pullback for the start of the altcoin season. In addition, il Capo states that investors should be prepared for such events instead of being afraid, and that they can see declines as opportunities for new entry into the crypto market. The analyst, who once only made predictions for the bear market, changed his views after the last bull rally. Because he announced that he invested in various altcoins.

儘管這種情況為市場帶來了不確定性，但伊爾卡波還是為長期投資者分享了一些充滿希望的想法。分析師認為，這種下跌可能被視為山寨幣季節開始時的最終回調。此外，il Capo 表示，投資者應該為此類事件做好準備，而不是害怕，他們可以將下跌視為新進入加密貨幣市場的機會。這位曾經只對熊市做出預測的分析師在上次牛市反彈後改變了看法。因為他宣布他投資了各種山寨幣。