Polymarket 现在预测皮埃尔·普利耶夫 (Pierre Poilievre) 接替贾斯汀·特鲁多 (Justin Trudeau) 成为加拿大下一任总理的可能性为 92%

特鲁多在对其领导层和自由党进行严格审查后辞职，这一可能性激增。

Justin Trudeau announced his resignation as leader of the Liberal Party and prime minister of Canada on Wednesday. He will remain in both roles until a new leader is chosen.

贾斯汀·特鲁多周三宣布辞去自由党领袖和加拿大总理职务。在选出新领导人之前，他将继续担任这两个职务。

Trudeau's resignation comes amid intense scrutiny of his leadership and the Liberal Party. Recent polls show declining support for both Trudeau and the Liberals, with the opposition Conservative Party, led by Pierre Poilievre, surging in popularity.

特鲁多辞职之际，他的领导层和自由党正受到密切关注。最近的民意调查显示，特鲁多和自由党的支持率均下降，而皮埃尔·普利耶夫领导的反对党保守党的支持率飙升。

In a press conference, Trudeau confirmed his decision to step down as prime minister once a new party leader is elected through a robust process. He also announced that parliament will be prorogued until March, effectively pausing legislative activities during this transitional period.

在新闻发布会上，特鲁多确认，一旦通过严格的程序选出新的党魁，他就决定辞去总理职务。他还宣布议会将休会至三月，从而实际上暂停了过渡时期的立法活动。

Trudeau's resignation marks the end of an era in Canadian politics, with Poilievre now emerging as the frontrunner to succeed Trudeau as prime minister.

特鲁多的辞职标志着加拿大政坛一个时代的结束，波利耶夫现在成为接替特鲁多担任总理的领跑者。

Polymarket users are placing bets on the political outcomes and showing a strong preference for Poilievre in the "Next Prime Minister of Canada" betting contract, which has seen over $260,800 in trading volume.

Polymarket 用户对政治结果进行押注，并在“加拿大下一任总理”投注合约中表现出对 Poilievre 的强烈偏好，该合约的交易量已超过 260,800 美元。

According to the latest Polymarket data, there's a 92% chance that Poilievre will be elected as Canada's next leader on or before October 2025.

根据 Polymarket 的最新数据，Poilievre 在 2025 年 10 月或之前当选为加拿大下一任领导人的可能性为 92%。

Poilievre's rising popularity can be partly attributed to his stance as a vocal opponent of Trudeau's policies, particularly regarding the creation of a central bank digital currency (CBDC).

Poilievre 日益受欢迎的部分原因是他作为特鲁多政策的直言不讳的反对者，特别是在创建央行数字货币（CBDC）方面。

Poilievre has strongly opposed a CBDC, highlighting the importance of preserving physical cash and protecting Canadians' privacy. His stance aligns with recent developments, as the Bank of Canada scaled back its CBDC plans in September.

Poilievre 强烈反对 CBDC，强调保存实物现金和保护加拿大人隐私的重要性。他的立场与最近的事态发展一致，加拿大央行在 9 月份缩减了 CBDC 计划。

Furthermore, Poilievre's pro-Bitcoin views and his advocacy for making Canada a global leader in blockchain technology have garnered significant appeal, despite facing criticism from some political adversaries over his stance on digital currencies.

此外，尽管 Poilievre 对数字货币的立场遭到了一些政治对手的批评，但他支持比特币的观点以及他倡导让加拿大成为区块链技术的全球领导者的主张已经获得了巨大的吸引力。

Trudeau's declining support and the opposition's surge in popularity set the stage for a major shift in Canadian politics, with Poilievre now poised to lead the Conservative Party into the next federal election.

特鲁多的支持率下降和反对派支持率的飙升为加拿大政治的重大转变奠定了基础，波利耶夫现在准备领导保守党参加下一次联邦选举。