彼得·希夫（Peter Schiff）预测，比特币（BTC）可能会崩溃至60,00美元，因为纳斯达克低迷为12％

根据席夫（Schiff）的说法，纳斯达克目前下跌了12％，成熟熊市的可能性可能会使比特币急剧下降。

Peter Schiff, the renowned Bitcoin skeptic and chief economist at Schiff اقتصادي, recently took to X, formerly known as Twitter, to share his thoughts on the financial market and its implications for Bitcoin.

彼得·希夫（Peter Schiff）是希夫（Schiff）著名的比特币怀疑论者，首席经济学家，最近又登上了X（以前称为Twitter），分享了他对金融市场的想法及其对比特币的影响。

As the NASDAQ index slides further into a bear market, Schiff predicts that Bitcoin could be dragged down significantly. With a 12% drop in the NASDAQ correlating to a 24% decrease in Bitcoin, a 20% decline in the NASDAQ could send Bitcoin to around $65,000.

随着纳斯达克索引进一步滑入熊市，希夫预测，比特币可以大大拖延。由于纳斯达克股票的下降12％，比特币降低了24％，纳斯达克岛下降了20％，可能会将比特币送到65,000美元左右。

However, Schiff believes that a $65K dip in Bitcoin is "a joke" compared to where he really expects the flagship cryptocurrency to crash. To illustrate his point, he delves into past bear market data.

但是，Schiff认为，比特币的$ 65K下跌是一个“玩笑”，与他真正期望旗舰加密货币崩溃的地方相比。为了说明他的观点，他深入研究了过去的熊市数据。

During the Dot-com bubble burst, the NASDAQ experienced a massive decline of 80%. Similarly, the 2008 Global Financial Crisis (GFC) saw a 55% drop in the index, and the COVID crash of 2020 led to a 30% decrease in the NASDAQ.

在互联网泡沫破裂期间，纳斯达克的大幅下降80％。同样，2008年全球金融危机（GFC）的指数下降了55％，而2020年的Covid崩溃导致纳斯达克速度下降了30％。

Schiff suggests that if this bear market follows a similar trajectory, Bitcoin could be in serious trouble. In his worst-case scenario, he predicts that Bitcoin could crash to $20,000 or lower.

希夫认为，如果这个熊市遵循类似的轨迹，比特币可能会遇到严重的麻烦。在最糟糕的情况下，他预测比特币可能会崩溃至20,000美元或更低。

Gold’s Positive Correlation with NASDAQ Decline

黄金与纳斯达克的正相关

While Schiff is bearish on Bitcoin, he is more optimistic about gold, which he expects to see rise significantly more than Bitcoin.

虽然希夫对比特币不看情，但他对黄金更加乐观，他希望这比比特币要大得多。

He highlights a negative correlation between the NASDAQ and gold. Since the NASDAQ reached its peak in December 2023, Schiff notes that gold prices have increased by 13%.

他强调了纳斯达克和黄金之间的负相关。自纳斯达克（NASDAQ）于2023年12月达到顶峰以来，席夫（Schiff）指出，黄金价格上涨了13％。

This trend suggests that gold may continue to rise as the NASDAQ falters. If the index undergoes a 40% drop, Schiff predicts that gold could surge above $3,800 per ounce.

这一趋势表明，随着纳斯达克的步履蹒跚，黄金可能会继续上升。如果该指数下降了40％，Schiff预测黄金可能会超过每盎司3,800美元。

Moreover, Schiff speculates that if a bear market in stocks coincides with a decline in the U.S. dollar on the foreign exchange market, gold could see an even more substantial rally.

此外，席夫推测，如果股票市场与外汇市场上的美元下降相吻合，黄金可能会看到更加实质性的集会。

In his view, this would contrast sharply with Bitcoin's likely downfall, confirming his belief that gold will remain a more stable store of value during periods of market volatility.

他认为，这将与比特币的可能倒台形成鲜明对比，这证实了他相信在市场波动期间黄金将仍然是更稳定的价值存储的信念。

Bitcoin Decline Could End Its Store of Value Appeal

比特币下降可能会结束其价值上诉的存储

Schiff argues that even if Bitcoin were to stabilize at around $20,000 and gold reached $3,800, Bitcoin would still be down more than 85% in comparison to gold.

席夫认为，即使比特币要稳定在20,000美元左右，黄金达到3,800美元，与黄金相比，比特币仍然下降了85％以上。

This sharp divergence would undermine Bitcoin's reputation as a store of value akin to gold, in his opinion.

在他看来，这种明显的分歧将破坏比特币作为类似于黄金的价值的声誉。

In his view, this would prompt governments and institutional investors to abandon Bitcoin altogether.

他认为，这将促使政府和机构投资者完全放弃比特币。

Schiff predicts that the U.S. government, along with other state entities, would no longer feel the need to hold Bitcoin in their strategic reserves.

希夫预测，美国政府以及其他国家实体将不再感到需要在其战略储备中持有比特币。

In parallel, exchange-traded fund (ETF) investors might start selling their Bitcoin positions, further driving the market down. Schiff projects that the selling pressure could be so intense that companies like Strategy (MSTR), which hold substantial Bitcoin reserves, could face bankruptcy if they fail to sell enough of their holdings.

同时，交易所交易基金（ETF）投资者可能会开始出售其比特币头寸，进一步推动市场。席夫（Schiff）预计，销售压力可能是如此强烈，以至于拥有大量比特币储备的战略（MSTR）等公司，如果他们无法出售足够的股份，他们可能会面临破产。

While Bitcoin continues to face volatility, Schiff's pessimistic outlook aligns with his long-standing skepticism of BTC. However, the crypto market has historically defied these pessimistic predictions.

尽管比特币继续面对波动，但席夫的悲观前景与他对BTC的长期怀疑态度保持一致。但是，加密货币市场历来违反了这些悲观的预测。

DisClamier: This content is informational and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author's personal opinions and do not reflect The Crypto Basic opinion. Readers are encouraged to do thorough research before making any investment decisions. The Crypto Basic is not responsible for any financial losses.

Disclamier：此内容是信息的，不应被视为财务建议。本文中表达的观点可能包括作者的个人意见，并且不反映加密基本意见。鼓励读者在做出任何投资决策之前进行彻底的研究。加密基础对任何财务损失概不负责。