彼得·希夫（Peter Schiff）預測，比特幣（BTC）可能會崩潰至60,00美元，因為納斯達克低迷為12％

根據席夫（Schiff）的說法，納斯達克目前下跌了12％，成熟熊市的可能性可能會使比特幣急劇下降。

Peter Schiff, the renowned Bitcoin skeptic and chief economist at Schiff اقتصادي, recently took to X, formerly known as Twitter, to share his thoughts on the financial market and its implications for Bitcoin.

彼得·希夫（Peter Schiff）是希夫（Schiff）著名的比特幣懷疑論者，首席經濟學家，最近又登上了X（以前稱為Twitter），分享了他對金融市場的想法及其對比特幣的影響。

As the NASDAQ index slides further into a bear market, Schiff predicts that Bitcoin could be dragged down significantly. With a 12% drop in the NASDAQ correlating to a 24% decrease in Bitcoin, a 20% decline in the NASDAQ could send Bitcoin to around $65,000.

隨著納斯達克索引進一步滑入熊市，希夫預測，比特幣可以大大拖延。由於納斯達克股票的下降12％，比特幣降低了24％，納斯達克島下降了20％，可能會將比特幣送到65,000美元左右。

However, Schiff believes that a $65K dip in Bitcoin is "a joke" compared to where he really expects the flagship cryptocurrency to crash. To illustrate his point, he delves into past bear market data.

但是，Schiff認為，比特幣的$ 65K下跌是一個“玩笑”，與他真正期望旗艦加密貨幣崩潰的地方相比。為了說明他的觀點，他深入研究了過去的熊市數據。

During the Dot-com bubble burst, the NASDAQ experienced a massive decline of 80%. Similarly, the 2008 Global Financial Crisis (GFC) saw a 55% drop in the index, and the COVID crash of 2020 led to a 30% decrease in the NASDAQ.

在互聯網泡沫破裂期間，納斯達克的大幅下降80％。同樣，2008年全球金融危機（GFC）的指數下降了55％，而2020年的Covid崩潰導致納斯達克速度下降了30％。

Schiff suggests that if this bear market follows a similar trajectory, Bitcoin could be in serious trouble. In his worst-case scenario, he predicts that Bitcoin could crash to $20,000 or lower.

希夫認為，如果這個熊市遵循類似的軌跡，比特幣可能會遇到嚴重的麻煩。在最糟糕的情況下，他預測比特幣可能會崩潰至20,000美元或更低。

Gold’s Positive Correlation with NASDAQ Decline

黃金與納斯達克的正相關

While Schiff is bearish on Bitcoin, he is more optimistic about gold, which he expects to see rise significantly more than Bitcoin.

雖然希夫對比特幣不看情，但他對黃金更加樂觀，他希望這比比特幣要大得多。

He highlights a negative correlation between the NASDAQ and gold. Since the NASDAQ reached its peak in December 2023, Schiff notes that gold prices have increased by 13%.

他強調了納斯達克和黃金之間的負相關。自納斯達克（NASDAQ）於2023年12月達到頂峰以來，席夫（Schiff）指出，黃金價格上漲了13％。

This trend suggests that gold may continue to rise as the NASDAQ falters. If the index undergoes a 40% drop, Schiff predicts that gold could surge above $3,800 per ounce.

這一趨勢表明，隨著納斯達克的步履蹣跚，黃金可能會繼續上升。如果該指數下降了40％，Schiff預測黃金可能會超過每盎司3,800美元。

Moreover, Schiff speculates that if a bear market in stocks coincides with a decline in the U.S. dollar on the foreign exchange market, gold could see an even more substantial rally.

此外，席夫推測，如果股票市場與外匯市場上的美元下降相吻合，黃金可能會看到更加實質性的集會。

In his view, this would contrast sharply with Bitcoin's likely downfall, confirming his belief that gold will remain a more stable store of value during periods of market volatility.

他認為，這將與比特幣的可能倒台形成鮮明對比，這證實了他相信在市場波動期間黃金將仍然是更穩定的價值存儲的信念。

Bitcoin Decline Could End Its Store of Value Appeal

比特幣下降可能會結束其價值上訴的存儲

Schiff argues that even if Bitcoin were to stabilize at around $20,000 and gold reached $3,800, Bitcoin would still be down more than 85% in comparison to gold.

席夫認為，即使比特幣要穩定在20,000美元左右，黃金達到3,800美元，與黃金相比，比特幣仍然下降了85％以上。

This sharp divergence would undermine Bitcoin's reputation as a store of value akin to gold, in his opinion.

在他看來，這種明顯的分歧將破壞比特幣作為類似於黃金的價值的聲譽。

In his view, this would prompt governments and institutional investors to abandon Bitcoin altogether.

他認為，這將促使政府和機構投資者完全放棄比特幣。

Schiff predicts that the U.S. government, along with other state entities, would no longer feel the need to hold Bitcoin in their strategic reserves.

希夫預測，美國政府以及其他國家實體將不再感到需要在其戰略儲備中持有比特幣。

In parallel, exchange-traded fund (ETF) investors might start selling their Bitcoin positions, further driving the market down. Schiff projects that the selling pressure could be so intense that companies like Strategy (MSTR), which hold substantial Bitcoin reserves, could face bankruptcy if they fail to sell enough of their holdings.

同時，交易所交易基金（ETF）投資者可能會開始出售其比特幣頭寸，進一步推動市場。席夫（Schiff）預計，銷售壓力可能是如此強烈，以至於擁有大量比特幣儲備的戰略（MSTR）等公司，如果他們無法出售足夠的股份，他們可能會面臨破產。

While Bitcoin continues to face volatility, Schiff's pessimistic outlook aligns with his long-standing skepticism of BTC. However, the crypto market has historically defied these pessimistic predictions.

儘管比特幣繼續面對波動，但席夫的悲觀前景與他對BTC的長期懷疑態度保持一致。但是，加密貨幣市場歷來違反了這些悲觀的預測。

DisClamier: This content is informational and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author's personal opinions and do not reflect The Crypto Basic opinion. Readers are encouraged to do thorough research before making any investment decisions. The Crypto Basic is not responsible for any financial losses.

Disclamier：此內容是信息的，不應被視為財務建議。本文中表達的觀點可能包括作者的個人意見，並且不反映加密基本意見。鼓勵讀者在做出任何投資決策之前進行徹底的研究。加密基礎對任何財務損失概不負責。