分析师称，比特币的完美风暴正在酝酿

比特币似乎终于突破了过去几个月大部分时间都处于的交易区域。 BTC 从 53 美元低点开始反弹

Bitcoin (BTC) price action has been rallying to new highs this week, and now BTC price is close to touching the US$70,000 (AU$106,218) mark for the first time since June.

比特币 (BTC) 价格本周一直上涨至新高，目前 BTC 价格自 6 月份以来首次接近 70,000 美元（106,218 澳元）大关。

However, despite the trend seemingly pointing up, and suggesting that the price swings of the past few months could be a thing of the past, analysts at Bitfinex believe we’ll see a bit more volatility.

然而，尽管趋势似乎呈上升趋势，并且表明过去几个月的价格波动可能已成为过去，但 Bitfinex 的分析师认为，我们将看到更多的波动。

Perfect Storm for Bitcoin is Brewing, According to Analysts

分析师称，比特币的完美风暴正在酝酿

In their most recent market analysis report, they wrote that “driven by a potent mix of geopolitical uncertainty, macroeconomic factors, and the intensifying “Trump Tradeˮ narrative, BTC volatility has intensified”.

他们在最新的市场分析报告中写道，“在地缘政治不确定性、宏观经济因素和不断加剧的‘特朗普贸易’叙事的共同推动下，比特币波动性加剧”。

As a Trump win is largely seen as bullish for risk assets such as Bitcoin, the “correlation between Trumpʼs election odds and Bitcoinʼs upward trajectory has increased”, the report added.

报告补充说，由于特朗普获胜在很大程度上被视为对比特币等风险资产有利，因此“特朗普的当选几率与比特币上涨轨迹之间的相关性有所增加”。

And, as anticipation around the US election is building, the analysts remind us that the fourth quarter of a halving year is usually bullish “with a median quarterly return of 31.34 percent”. Combine the historically strong seasonality effect with currently high levels of open interest and you get a “perfect storm”, according to the Bitfinex analysts.

而且，随着对美国大选的预期不断增强，分析师提醒我们，减半年的第四季度通常是看涨的，“季度回报率中位数为 31.34%”。 Bitfinex 分析师表示，将历史上强烈的季节性效应与当前高水平的未平仓合约结合起来，就会引发一场“完美风暴”。

Although the analysts are confident about the long-term outlook for Bitcoin, they expect short-term volatility to be high, regardless of who wins the election, adding that the “market is bracing for potential turbulence”.

尽管分析师对比特币的长期前景充满信心，但他们预计，无论谁赢得选举，短期波动性都会很高，并补充说“市场正在为潜在的动荡做好准备”。

Tether Stablecoin Depegs on Less Than Favourable News

Tether 稳定币依赖于不太有利的消息

Meanwhile, the largest stablecoin, USDT, is headed for some headwinds. As reported, Tether faced some rumours that US authorities are investigating it, despite its CEO brushing the reports aside calling them “pure speculation”.

与此同时，最大的稳定币 USDT 也面临着一些阻力。据报道，Tether 面临一些美国当局正在调查的传​​言，尽管其首席执行官否认这些报道，称其为“纯粹的猜测”。

And it seems that the news, true or not, had an effect on the USDT price. Analysts at Kaiko report that the rumours about a money laundering and sanctions-evasions probe have led to panic selling of USDT.

而且无论真假，这个消息似乎都对 USDT 价格产生了影响。 Kaiko 分析师报告称，有关洗钱和逃避制裁调查的传言导致 USDT 出现恐慌性抛售。

This has pushed USDT to its lowest levels this year, with the token depegging to US$0.994.

这使得 USDT 跌至今年的最低水平，该代币脱钩至 0.994 美元。