分析師稱，比特幣的完美風暴正在醞釀

比特幣似乎終於突破了過去幾個月大部分時間都處於的交易區域。 BTC 從 53 美元低點開始反彈

Bitcoin (BTC) price action has been rallying to new highs this week, and now BTC price is close to touching the US$70,000 (AU$106,218) mark for the first time since June.

比特幣 (BTC) 價格本週一直上漲至新高，目前 BTC 價格自 6 月以來首次接近 70,000 美元（106,218 澳元）大關。

However, despite the trend seemingly pointing up, and suggesting that the price swings of the past few months could be a thing of the past, analysts at Bitfinex believe we’ll see a bit more volatility.

然而，儘管趨勢似乎呈上升趨勢，並且表明過去幾個月的價格波動可能已成為過去，但 Bitfinex 的分析師認為，我們將看到更多的波動。

Perfect Storm for Bitcoin is Brewing, According to Analysts

分析師稱，比特幣的完美風暴正在醞釀

In their most recent market analysis report, they wrote that “driven by a potent mix of geopolitical uncertainty, macroeconomic factors, and the intensifying “Trump Tradeˮ narrative, BTC volatility has intensified”.

他們在最新的市場分析報告中寫道，「在地緣政治不確定性、宏觀經濟因素和不斷加劇的『川普貿易』敘事的共同推動下，比特幣波動性加劇」。

As a Trump win is largely seen as bullish for risk assets such as Bitcoin, the “correlation between Trumpʼs election odds and Bitcoinʼs upward trajectory has increased”, the report added.

報告補充說，由於川普獲勝在很大程度上被視為對比特幣等風險資產有利，因此「川普的當選幾率與比特幣上漲軌跡之間的相關性有所增加」。

And, as anticipation around the US election is building, the analysts remind us that the fourth quarter of a halving year is usually bullish “with a median quarterly return of 31.34 percent”. Combine the historically strong seasonality effect with currently high levels of open interest and you get a “perfect storm”, according to the Bitfinex analysts.

而且，隨著對美國大選的預期不斷增強，分析師提醒我們，減半年的第四季通常是看漲的，「季度回報率中位數為 31.34%」。 Bitfinex 分析師表示，將歷史上強烈的季節性效應與當前高水準的未平倉合約結合起來，就會引發一場「完美風暴」。

Although the analysts are confident about the long-term outlook for Bitcoin, they expect short-term volatility to be high, regardless of who wins the election, adding that the “market is bracing for potential turbulence”.

儘管分析師對比特幣的長期前景充滿信心，但他們預計，無論誰贏得選舉，短期波動性都會很高，並補充說「市場正在為潛在的動盪做好準備」。

Tether Stablecoin Depegs on Less Than Favourable News

Tether 穩定幣依賴於不太有利的消息

Meanwhile, the largest stablecoin, USDT, is headed for some headwinds. As reported, Tether faced some rumours that US authorities are investigating it, despite its CEO brushing the reports aside calling them “pure speculation”.

同時，最大的穩定幣 USDT 也面臨一些阻力。據報道，Tether 面臨一些美國當局正在調查的傳言，儘管其首席執行官對這些報道不予理睬，稱其為“純粹的猜測”。

And it seems that the news, true or not, had an effect on the USDT price. Analysts at Kaiko report that the rumours about a money laundering and sanctions-evasions probe have led to panic selling of USDT.

而且無論真假，這個消息似乎都對 USDT 價格產生了影響。 Kaiko 分析師報告稱，有關洗錢和逃避制裁調查的傳言導致 USDT 出現恐慌性拋售。

This has pushed USDT to its lowest levels this year, with the token depegging to US$0.994.

這使得 USDT 跌至今年的最低水平，該代幣脫鉤至 0.994 美元。