尽管有市场挑战，但Dogecoin（Doge）可能会因400％的突破而准备

Dogecoin最近在市场上遇到挑战，努力打破关键阻力水平。截至目前，加密货币的交易价格为0.1552美元

Dogecoin (CRYPTO: DOGE) has been encountering challenges in the market recently, struggling to break through key resistance levels. As of now, the cryptocurrency is trading at $0.1552, reflecting a minor 0.37% decline in the last 24 hours and a more substantial 2.06% drop over the past seven days.

Dogecoin（Crypto：Doge）最近在市场上遇到挑战，努力打破关键阻力水平。截至目前，加密货币的交易价格为0.1552美元，反映了过去24小时的0.37％下降了0.37％，在过去7天中下降了2.06％。

Dogecoin has been attempting to push past the $0.16 resistance several times but failed, dropping as low as $0.151 before recovering slightly. Despite this volatility, several analysts believe that Dogecoin could soon see a significant upward movement following a potential short-term dip.

Dogecoin一直试图多次超越$ 0.16的电阻，但失败了，在稍微恢复之前下降到低至0.151美元。尽管有这种波动性，但几位分析人士认为，在潜在的短期倾斜之后，多霉素很快就会看到大量向上运动。

One noteworthy analysis shared by SwallowAcademy on TradingView suggests that Dogecoin might experience a further decline before a major surge. The chart, which highlights Dogecoin’s price action against Tether (CRYPTO: USDT) on a daily timeframe, shows the significant volatility Dogecoin has experienced in the past.

Swallowacademy在TradingView上共有的一个值得注意的分析表明，Dogecoin可能会在重大激增之前进一步下降。该图表强调了Dogecoin在每日时间范围内针对Tether（Crypto：USDT）的价格行动，显示了Dogecoin过去经历的重要波动性。

Notably, early 2024 saw a sharp upward movement, followed by a significant decline after reaching a peak near $0.23. Later in 2024, the price fell to around $0.09, where it found solid support before rebounding to over $0.45.

值得注意的是，2024年初的向上运动急剧，随后在达到0.23美元的高峰后大幅下降。 2024年晚些时候，价格下降至0.09美元左右，在反弹之前，它找到了可靠的支持，至0.45美元以上。

Chart: TradingView / SwallowAcademy

图表：TradingView / SwallowAcademy

According to the analysis, a similar scenario may unfold in 2025. As depicted in the chart, the analyst predicts that Dogecoin could drop an additional 40%, retesting the $0.09 support level. Once this level is retested, the analyst predicts a 400% surge, pushing Dogecoin’s price up to $0.45.

根据分析，类似的情况可能会在2025年展开。如图所示，分析师预测，狗狗币可能会下降40％，重新测试了0.09美元的支持水平。一旦重新测试了此水平，分析师预测涨幅为400％，将Dogecoin的价格提高到0.45美元。

The analyst notes that the market may need a further dip to solidify the support zone before such a dramatic rally occurs. At present, Dogecoin is trading above $0.15, and the analyst is waiting for a dip to the $0.09 level before anticipating the potential surge.

分析师指出，在这种戏剧性的集会发生之前，市场可能需要进一步的下降来巩固支持区。目前，Dogecoin的交易价格高于0.15美元，分析师在预期潜在的激增之前正在等待下降到0.09美元。

Another factor influencing the outlook for Dogecoin is a pattern highlighted by Trader Tardigrade. This expert pointed out that Dogecoin experienced its first false breakdown since December 2024. Typically, the coin has followed a downtrend characterized by lower highs and lower lows, a pattern of bearish market sentiment. However, after dipping to $0.13 on April 7, the price rebounded briefly but was unable to sustain its momentum and quickly dropped again. This event has been interpreted as a “false breakdown,” which suggests that the downward trend may not persist much longer.

影响Dogecoin前景的另一个因素是Trader Tardigrade突出的一种模式。这位专家指出，Dogecoin经历了自2024年12月以来的第一次虚假崩溃。通常，硬币遵循的下降趋势，其特征是较低的高点和低点，这是看跌市场情绪的模式。但是，在4月7日下跌至0.13美元之后，价格短暂反弹，但无法维持其动力并迅速下降。该事件被解释为“错误的崩溃”，这表明向下趋势可能不会持续更长。

According to the analyst, this could be an early indicator of a bullish reversal. The price has remained above the support line for several days, signaling that Dogecoin might be preparing for an upward move. Based on this analysis, the next potential target for Dogecoin could be $0.42, which would indicate a moderate recovery from its current levels. The “false break” suggests that the bearish momentum might be waning, with bullish sentiment beginning to take over.

根据分析师的说法，这可能是看涨逆转的早期指标。价格一直在支撑线上方几天，这表明Dogecoin可能正在为向上移动做准备。基于此分析，Dogecoin的下一个潜在目标可能为0.42美元，这表明从其目前的水平中恢复中等。 “虚假的休息”表明看跌的动力可能正在减弱，看涨的情绪开始接管。

In addition to the technical analysis, data from blockchain analytics firm IntoTheBlock provides insights into Dogecoin’s user activity, offering a deeper understanding of the forces driving its price movements.

除技术分析外，区块链分析公司Intotheblock的数据还提供了对Dogecoin用户活动的见解，从而更深入地了解推动其价格变动的力量。

The data from IntoTheBlock shows that Dogecoin may face short-term pressure due to shifting trends among various categories of holders. Long-term holders (LTHs), defined as those holding for one year or more, have decreased by 2.67% over the past month.

来自Intotheblock的数据表明，由于各种持有人之间的趋势变化，Dogecoin可能会面临短期压力。在过去的一个月中，定义为一年或更长时间的长期持有人（LTHS）下降了2.67％。

Meanwhile, the number of short-term traders (STHs), defined as those holding for less than a month, has increased by a significant 107.45%. This observation suggests an influx of traders focused on short-term gains, which might contribute to increased volatility and price fluctuations in the near term.

同时，将短期交易者（STH）的数量定义为不到一个月的持有人数，已增加了107.45％。该观察结果表明，大量关注短期收益的商人涌入，这可能会导致在短期内的波动和价格波动的增加。

Despite this, the long-term outlook appears more promising. The data indicates a steady rise in large holder inflows, suggesting that significant investors are accumulating Dogecoin. Over the past seven days, large holder inflows increased by 5.33%, followed by a sharper 323.86% increase in the last 30 days.

尽管如此，长期前景似乎更有前途。数据表明，大量持有人流入量的稳定上升，表明重要的投资者正在积累狗狗币。在过去的七天中，大型持有人的流入量增加了5.33％，随后在过去30天中增长了323.86％。

Most impressively, there was a 3,722% increase in large holder inflows over the past 90 days, showcasing a substantial shift in institutional interest toward Dogecoin. This statistic further suggests that despite some technical challenges and user activity shifts, the long-term prospects for Dogecoin remain favorable.

最令人印象深刻的是，在过去的90天内，大型持有人流入增长了3,722％，这表明机构利益向Dogecoin发生了很大的转变。该统计数据进一步表明，尽管有一些技术挑战和用户活动改变，但Dogecoin的长期前景仍然有利。