儘管有市場挑戰，但Dogecoin（Doge）可能會因400％的突破而準備

Dogecoin最近在市場上遇到挑戰，努力打破關鍵阻力水平。截至目前，加密貨幣的交易價格為0.1552美元

Dogecoin (CRYPTO: DOGE) has been encountering challenges in the market recently, struggling to break through key resistance levels. As of now, the cryptocurrency is trading at $0.1552, reflecting a minor 0.37% decline in the last 24 hours and a more substantial 2.06% drop over the past seven days.

Dogecoin（Crypto：Doge）最近在市場上遇到挑戰，努力打破關鍵阻力水平。截至目前，加密貨幣的交易價格為0.1552美元，反映了過去24小時的0.37％下降了0.37％，在過去7天中下降了2.06％。

Dogecoin has been attempting to push past the $0.16 resistance several times but failed, dropping as low as $0.151 before recovering slightly. Despite this volatility, several analysts believe that Dogecoin could soon see a significant upward movement following a potential short-term dip.

Dogecoin一直試圖多次超越$ 0.16的電阻，但失敗了，在稍微恢復之前下降到低至0.151美元。儘管有這種波動性，但幾位分析人士認為，在潛在的短期傾斜之後，多黴素很快就會看到大量向上運動。

One noteworthy analysis shared by SwallowAcademy on TradingView suggests that Dogecoin might experience a further decline before a major surge. The chart, which highlights Dogecoin’s price action against Tether (CRYPTO: USDT) on a daily timeframe, shows the significant volatility Dogecoin has experienced in the past.

Swallowacademy在TradingView上共有的一個值得注意的分析表明，Dogecoin可能會在重大激增之前進一步下降。該圖表強調了Dogecoin在每日時間範圍內針對Tether（Crypto：USDT）的價格行動，顯示了Dogecoin過去經歷的重要波動性。

Notably, early 2024 saw a sharp upward movement, followed by a significant decline after reaching a peak near $0.23. Later in 2024, the price fell to around $0.09, where it found solid support before rebounding to over $0.45.

值得注意的是，2024年初的向上運動急劇，隨後在達到0.23美元的高峰後大幅下降。 2024年晚些時候，價格下降至0.09美元左右，在反彈之前，它找到了可靠的支持，至0.45美元以上。

Chart: TradingView / SwallowAcademy

圖表：TradingView / SwallowAcademy

According to the analysis, a similar scenario may unfold in 2025. As depicted in the chart, the analyst predicts that Dogecoin could drop an additional 40%, retesting the $0.09 support level. Once this level is retested, the analyst predicts a 400% surge, pushing Dogecoin’s price up to $0.45.

根據分析，類似的情況可能會在2025年展開。如圖所示，分析師預測，狗狗幣可能會下降40％，重新測試了0.09美元的支持水平。一旦重新測試了此水平，分析師預測漲幅為400％，將Dogecoin的價格提高到0.45美元。

The analyst notes that the market may need a further dip to solidify the support zone before such a dramatic rally occurs. At present, Dogecoin is trading above $0.15, and the analyst is waiting for a dip to the $0.09 level before anticipating the potential surge.

分析師指出，在這種戲劇性的集會發生之前，市場可能需要進一步的下降來鞏固支持區。目前，Dogecoin的交易價格高於0.15美元，分析師在預期潛在的激增之前正在等待下降到0.09美元。

Another factor influencing the outlook for Dogecoin is a pattern highlighted by Trader Tardigrade. This expert pointed out that Dogecoin experienced its first false breakdown since December 2024. Typically, the coin has followed a downtrend characterized by lower highs and lower lows, a pattern of bearish market sentiment. However, after dipping to $0.13 on April 7, the price rebounded briefly but was unable to sustain its momentum and quickly dropped again. This event has been interpreted as a “false breakdown,” which suggests that the downward trend may not persist much longer.

影響Dogecoin前景的另一個因素是Trader Tardigrade突出的一種模式。這位專家指出，Dogecoin經歷了自2024年12月以來的第一次虛假崩潰。通常，硬幣遵循的下降趨勢，其特徵是較低的高點和低點，這是看跌市場情緒的模式。但是，在4月7日下跌至0.13美元之後，價格短暫反彈，但無法維持其動力並迅速下降。該事件被解釋為“錯誤的崩潰”，這表明向下趨勢可能不會持續更長。

According to the analyst, this could be an early indicator of a bullish reversal. The price has remained above the support line for several days, signaling that Dogecoin might be preparing for an upward move. Based on this analysis, the next potential target for Dogecoin could be $0.42, which would indicate a moderate recovery from its current levels. The “false break” suggests that the bearish momentum might be waning, with bullish sentiment beginning to take over.

根據分析師的說法，這可能是看漲逆轉的早期指標。價格一直在支撐線上方幾天，這表明Dogecoin可能正在為向上移動做準備。基於此分析，Dogecoin的下一個潛在目標可能為0.42美元，這表明從其目前的水平中恢復中等。 “虛假的休息”表明看跌的動力可能正在減弱，看漲的情緒開始接管。

In addition to the technical analysis, data from blockchain analytics firm IntoTheBlock provides insights into Dogecoin’s user activity, offering a deeper understanding of the forces driving its price movements.

除技術分析外，區塊鏈分析公司Intotheblock的數據還提供了對Dogecoin用戶活動的見解，從而更深入地了解推動其價格變動的力量。

The data from IntoTheBlock shows that Dogecoin may face short-term pressure due to shifting trends among various categories of holders. Long-term holders (LTHs), defined as those holding for one year or more, have decreased by 2.67% over the past month.

來自Intotheblock的數據表明，由於各種持有人之間的趨勢變化，Dogecoin可能會面臨短期壓力。在過去的一個月中，定義為一年或更長時間的長期持有人（LTHS）下降了2.67％。

Meanwhile, the number of short-term traders (STHs), defined as those holding for less than a month, has increased by a significant 107.45%. This observation suggests an influx of traders focused on short-term gains, which might contribute to increased volatility and price fluctuations in the near term.

同時，將短期交易者（STH）的數量定義為不到一個月的持有人數，已增加了107.45％。該觀察結果表明，大量關注短期收益的商人湧入，這可能會導致在短期內的波動和價格波動的增加。

Despite this, the long-term outlook appears more promising. The data indicates a steady rise in large holder inflows, suggesting that significant investors are accumulating Dogecoin. Over the past seven days, large holder inflows increased by 5.33%, followed by a sharper 323.86% increase in the last 30 days.

儘管如此，長期前景似乎更有前途。數據表明，大量持有人流入量的穩定上升，表明重要的投資者正在積累狗狗幣。在過去的七天中，大型持有人的流入量增加了5.33％，隨後在過去30天中增長了323.86％。

Most impressively, there was a 3,722% increase in large holder inflows over the past 90 days, showcasing a substantial shift in institutional interest toward Dogecoin. This statistic further suggests that despite some technical challenges and user activity shifts, the long-term prospects for Dogecoin remain favorable.

最令人印象深刻的是，在過去的90天內，大型持有人流入增長了3,722％，這表明機構利益向Dogecoin發生了很大的轉變。該統計數據進一步表明，儘管有一些技術挑戰和用戶活動改變，但Dogecoin的長期前景仍然有利。