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尽管最近的比特币[BTC]损失和熊市呼吁,ARK Invest的首席执行官Cathie Wood对加密货币的前景仍然很肯定。
Ark Invest CEO Cathie Wood continues to be upbeat on Bitcoin despite recent losses and bear market calls. In a recent interview, the exec said that the cryptocurrency’s market was still in a bull market.
尽管最近遭受了损失和熊市的呼吁,但ARK投资首席执行官Cathie Wood仍然对比特币保持乐观。执行官在最近的一次采访中说,加密货币的市场仍在牛市。
“Bitcoin is a little bit halfway through the 4-year cycle. We think we’re still in a bull market, and U.S. deregulation is important for institutions moving into this new asset class.”
“比特币在4年周期中有点一点点。
The exec went on to maintain her $1.5M BTC price target by 2030.
该执行官继续在2030年维持她的150万美元BTC价格目标。
Mixed views on Bitcoin
比特币的混合视图
Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan also agreed with the bullish outlook, stating that if current macro uncertainty was lifted, the asset could top $200K by the end of the year.
Bitwise Cio Matt Hougan还同意看涨的前景,并指出,如果取消了当前的宏观不确定性,那么到年底,资产可能会超过200万美元。
The bullish projections were aligned with the MVRV-Z score, a common valuation model and cycle top indicator. It was at 1.5 and close to last year’s local bottom. Interestingly, the indicator topped out in December nearly at the same level it did in Q1 2024.
看涨的预测与MVRV-Z评分(一个常见的估值模型和周期顶部指标)对齐。它在1.5,接近去年的本地底部。有趣的是,该指标在12月的第1季度在12月的同一水平上登上了最高水平。
However, compared to past cycle tops above 6 (upper band), BTC had room for growth if historical trends were repeated.
但是,与过去6(上带)的过去周期顶部相比,如果重复历史趋势,BTC有生长空间。
But, CryptoQuant’s CEO, Ki Young Ju, made a bear call and noted that the bull market was over for the next 6–12 months. The analyst cited weak ETF flows and volume to push BTC beyond $100K.
但是,CryptoQuant的首席执行官Ki Young Ju召集了一个熊的电话,并指出牛市在接下来的6-12个月内已经结束。分析师引用了ETF流量和数量较弱,将BTC推到了10万美元以上。
Here, it’s worth noting that the ETF products logged three consecutive days of inflows, reversing the worrying outflow trend seen in the past three weeks.
在这里,值得注意的是,ETF产品连续三天记录了流入,扭转了过去三周中令人担忧的流出趋势。
On the 17th of March, they saw $274.5M inflows, followed by another $209M demand on the 18th of March, per Soso Value data.
3月17日,他们看到2.745亿美元的流入,随后3月18日,根据SOSO Value Data的价格另外还有2.09亿美元的需求。
Whether the renewed demand will extend and boost BTC recovery in the short term remains to be seen. As of this writing, BTC was valued at $83K ahead of the Fed rate announcement.
在短期内,更新的需求是否会延长并提高BTC的恢复尚待观察。截至撰写本文时,BTC的价值比美联储宣布的估价为83,000美元。
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