Polymarket 加密货币投注者预计 SEC ETF 批准的可能性为 51%，莱特币 (LTC) 价格飙升 17%

莱特币交易所交易基金（ETF）获得批准的潜力大幅上升，导致数字资产的价格显着上涨。

The US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) might approve a Litecoin-focused exchange-traded fund (ETF) in the coming months, according to predictions by crypto bettors on Polymarket.

根据 Polymarket 上的加密货币投注者的预测，美国证券交易委员会 (SEC) 可能会在未来几个月内批准以莱特币为重点的交易所交易基金 (ETF)。

The decentralized prediction platform currently gives a 51% chance of the SEC approving a Litecoin ETF after Canary Capital amended its S-1 registration form.

在 Canary Capital 修改其 S-1 登记表后，去中心化预测平台目前给出 SEC 批准莱特币 ETF 的可能性为 51%。

Canary Capital’s amended filing has sparked speculation that the SEC is preparing to approve a Litecoin ETF. However, several analysts believe that the approval process is still complex and subject to change.

Canary Capital 修改后的文件引发了美国 SEC 准备批准莱特币 ETF 的猜测。然而，一些分析师认为，审批流程仍然复杂，并且可能会发生变化。

Here's a summary of the key points discussed in the analysis:

以下是分析中讨论的要点的摘要：

Crypto bettors on Polymarket now estimate a 51% chance of the SEC approving a Litecoin ETF. This prediction surged after Canary Capital amended its S-1 registration form.

Polymarket 上的加密货币投注者现在估计 SEC 批准莱特币 ETF 的可能性为 51%。在金丝雀资本修改其 S-1 登记表后，这一预测激增。

Canary Capital’s amended filing is the latest development in the effort to secure SEC approval for a Litecoin ETF. The S-1 form details new securities offerings, including the intended use of funds and an overview of the securities.

Canary Capital 修改后的文件是争取 SEC 批准莱特币 ETF 的最新进展。 S-1 表格详细介绍了新的证券发行，包括资金的预期用途和证券的概述。

While the amendment might indicate progress in discussions between Canary Capital and the SEC, formal approval is still uncertain.

尽管该修正案可能表明金丝雀资本与美国证券交易委员会之间的讨论取得了进展，但正式批准仍不确定。

Bloomberg ETF analyst James Seyffart noted that the amendment reflects active engagement with the SEC. However, he emphasized that success is not guaranteed without submitting a 19b-4 filing—a critical step in the approval process.

彭博 ETF 分析师 James Seyffart 指出，该修正案反映了与 SEC 的积极接触。不过，他强调，如果不提交 19b-4 申请（审批过程中的关键一步），就不能保证成功。

“Canary Capital amended their S-1 filing to include Litecoin again. This is a step in the ETF approval process, but 19b-4 filings are still needed. Without those, the SEC can continue reviewing an application indefinitely.”

“Canary Capital 修改了他们的 S-1 文件，再次将莱特币纳入其中。这是 ETF 审批流程中的一个步骤，但仍需要 19b-4 备案。如果没有这些，美国证券交易委员会可以无限期地继续审查申请。”

Eric Balchunas, Bloomberg’s Senior ETF analyst, highlighted that this development could place Litecoin ahead of other altcoins in the race for an ETF. He believes the amendment strengthens predictions that Litecoin will be next in line for SEC approval.

彭博社高级 ETF 分析师 Eric Balchunas 强调，这一发展可能使莱特币在 ETF 竞争中领先于其他山寨币。他认为该修正案强化了莱特币将成为下一个获得 SEC 批准的预测。

“This does put Litecoin ahead of other altcoins in the ETF race. Which is funny because it was ahead of Bitcoin and ether for a long time.”

“这确实使莱特币在 ETF 竞赛中领先于其他山寨币。这很有趣，因为它在很长一段时间内领先于比特币和以太币。”

Should the SEC approve the Litecoin ETF, it would be a major victory for the digital asset and bring it closer to achieving a U.S.-approved spot ETF. Currently, only Bitcoin and ether have spot ETFs approved by the SEC.

如果 SEC 批准莱特币 ETF，这将是该数字资产的重大胜利，并使其更接近美国批准的现货 ETF。目前，只有比特币和以太坊有 SEC 批准的现货 ETF。