Polymarket 加密貨幣投注者預計 SEC ETF 批准的可能性為 51%，萊特幣 (LTC) 價格飆升 17%

萊特幣交易所交易基金（ETF）獲得批准的潛力大幅上升，導致數位資產的價格大幅上漲。

The US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) might approve a Litecoin-focused exchange-traded fund (ETF) in the coming months, according to predictions by crypto bettors on Polymarket.

根據 Polymarket 上的加密貨幣投注者的預測，美國證券交易委員會 (SEC) 可能會在未來幾個月內批准以萊特幣為重點的交易所交易基金 (ETF)。

The decentralized prediction platform currently gives a 51% chance of the SEC approving a Litecoin ETF after Canary Capital amended its S-1 registration form.

在 Canary Capital 修改其 S-1 登記表後，去中心化預測平台目前給出 SEC 批准萊特幣 ETF 的可能性為 51%。

Canary Capital’s amended filing has sparked speculation that the SEC is preparing to approve a Litecoin ETF. However, several analysts believe that the approval process is still complex and subject to change.

Canary Capital 修改後的文件引發了美國 SEC 準備批准萊特幣 ETF 的猜測。然而，一些分析師認為，審批流程仍然複雜，並且可能會發生變化。

Here's a summary of the key points discussed in the analysis:

以下是分析中討論的要點的摘要：

Crypto bettors on Polymarket now estimate a 51% chance of the SEC approving a Litecoin ETF. This prediction surged after Canary Capital amended its S-1 registration form.

Polymarket 上的加密貨幣投注者現在估計 SEC 批准萊特幣 ETF 的可能性為 51%。在金絲雀資本修改其 S-1 登記表後，這項預測激增。

Canary Capital’s amended filing is the latest development in the effort to secure SEC approval for a Litecoin ETF. The S-1 form details new securities offerings, including the intended use of funds and an overview of the securities.

Canary Capital 修改後的文件是爭取 SEC 批准萊特幣 ETF 的最新進展。 S-1 表格詳細介紹了新的證券發行，包括資金的預期用途和證券的概述。

While the amendment might indicate progress in discussions between Canary Capital and the SEC, formal approval is still uncertain.

儘管該修正案可能表明金絲雀資本與美國證券交易委員會之間的討論取得了進展，但正式批准仍不確定。

Bloomberg ETF analyst James Seyffart noted that the amendment reflects active engagement with the SEC. However, he emphasized that success is not guaranteed without submitting a 19b-4 filing—a critical step in the approval process.

彭博 ETF 分析師 James Seyffart 指出，該修正案反映了與 SEC 的積極接觸。不過，他強調，如果不提交 19b-4 申請（批准過程中的關鍵一步），就不能保證成功。

“Canary Capital amended their S-1 filing to include Litecoin again. This is a step in the ETF approval process, but 19b-4 filings are still needed. Without those, the SEC can continue reviewing an application indefinitely.”

「Canary Capital 修改了他們的 S-1 文件，再次將萊特幣納入其中。這是 ETF 審批流程中的一個步驟，但仍需要 19b-4 備案。如果沒有這些，美國證券交易委員會可以無限期地繼續審查申請。

Eric Balchunas, Bloomberg’s Senior ETF analyst, highlighted that this development could place Litecoin ahead of other altcoins in the race for an ETF. He believes the amendment strengthens predictions that Litecoin will be next in line for SEC approval.

彭博社高級 ETF 分析師 Eric Balchunas 強調，這項發展可能使萊特幣在 ETF 競爭中領先其他山寨幣。他認為該修正案強化了萊特幣將成為下一個獲得 SEC 批准的預測。

“This does put Litecoin ahead of other altcoins in the ETF race. Which is funny because it was ahead of Bitcoin and ether for a long time.”

「這確實使萊特幣在 ETF 競賽中領先其他山寨幣。這很有趣，因為它在很長一段時間內領先於比特幣和以太幣。

Should the SEC approve the Litecoin ETF, it would be a major victory for the digital asset and bring it closer to achieving a U.S.-approved spot ETF. Currently, only Bitcoin and ether have spot ETFs approved by the SEC.

如果 SEC 批准萊特幣 ETF，這將是該數位資產的重大勝利，並使其更接近美國批准的現貨 ETF。目前，只有比特幣和以太幣有 SEC 批准的現貨 ETF。