Litecoin（LTC）价格急剧下跌至65美元

诺伊达（Coinchapter.com） - 4月初莱特币（LTC）的价格急剧下跌至65美元，一周跌幅近7.5％

CoinChapter.com - Litecoin (LTC) price fell sharply to $65 in early April, plunging nearly 7.5% on the week as the broader crypto market grappled with a sudden and violent sell-off.

Coinchapter.com- 4月初，Litecoin（LTC）价格急剧下跌至65美元，由于更广泛的加密货币市场突然而暴力抛售，本周下跌了近7.5％。

The collapse wiped billions off the market cap, pulling Bitcoin (BTC) below $75,000 and dragging altcoins into deep red territory.

这场倒塌的市值使数十亿美元抹去了，将比特币（BTC）提高到75,000美元以下，并将山寨币拖入深红色的领土。

Macro factors, such as rising U.S. bond yields and fading rate-cut expectations, appeared to be fueling risk-off sentiment across global markets.

宏观因素，例如美国债券收益率上升和淡出率预期，似乎在加剧了全球市场的冒险情绪。

Meanwhile, large outflows from Bitcoin spot ETFs further spooked retail and institutional investors.

同时，来自比特币现场ETF的大量流出进一步吓到了零售和机构投资者。

Within this backdrop, Litecoin once again confronted its long-term nemesis—the 200-week exponential moving average (EMA), which rejected its price near $88 in July 2023.

在此背景下，莱特币再次面对了其长期的仇敌 - 200周的指数移动平均线（EMA），该平均值（EMA）在2023年7月拒绝其价格接近88美元。

Historically, LTC’s interactions with this EMA have marked major turning points, making the current setup especially crucial.

从历史上看，LTC与该EMA的互动已经标志着主要的转折点，这使得当前的设置尤为重要。

Litecoin’s price structure has also stayed within a long-term ascending channel, giving bulls a last line of defense. At the same time, fractal-based projections using past EMA rejection events suggest three possible outcomes, each with drastically different price targets.

Litecoin的价格结构也一直保持在一个长期的升级渠道中，使公牛队获得了最后的防守。同时，使用过去EMA拒绝事件的基于分形的预测提出了三个可能的结果，每个结果的目标目标差异很大。

The upcoming weeks will determine whether history repeats or diverges.

即将到来的几周将决定历史是否重复或分歧。

Can Litecoin Price Defend Its Last Bullish Structure?

Litecoin Price可以捍卫其最后一次看涨结构吗？

Litecoin’s weekly chart reveals a recurring pattern: sharp rejections from the 200-week EMA, each followed by distinctly different price trajectories. The chart visualizes three such instances.

Litecoin的每周图表揭示了一种反复出现的模式：200周EMA的急剧拒绝，每个EMA随后是截然不同的价格轨迹。图表可视化三个这样的情况。

The first occurred in Nov. 2018, when LTC faced a firm rejection and entered a prolonged accumulation phase.

第一次发生于2018年11月，当时LTC面临公司的拒绝并进入了延长的积累阶段。

The subsequent recovery unfolded gradually over the next two years. The projection based on this fractal (marked in purple) forecasts a moderate rise toward $116 by December 2025, matching the upper-mid range of the current ascending channel.

随后的恢复在未来两年内逐渐展开。基于此分形（以紫色标记）的投影预测，到2025年12月，中度上涨了$ 116，与当前上升通道的上层范围相匹配。

The second rejection came in March 2020, just as global markets crashed during the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic. However, this event became a launchpad for Litecoin, surging over 115% in the following weeks, and finally ending up with 1,320% rally to its ATH in 2021.

第二次拒绝是在2020年3月，正当全球市场在19日大流行病开始时全球市场崩溃。但是，这项活动成为Litecoin的发射台，在接下来的几周内飙升了115％以上，最终在2021年以1,320％的召集到了1,320％的集会。

The corresponding projection (shown in pink) envisions an aggressive breakout toward $288 by June 2026. The target significantly overshoots the current range and would require a major market-wide rally to validate.

相应的预测（以粉红色为例）设想到2026年6月的288美元，该目标将大大超过当前范围，并需要进行大型市场范围的集会才能验证。

The most recent rejection from the 200-week EMA occurred in July 2023 and now serves as the base for the ongoing price projection (highlighted in dark green). If this path repeats, Litecoin could climb modestly toward $95.

200周EMA的最新拒绝发生在2023年7月，现在是持续价格投影的基础（以深绿色突出显示）。如果这条路重复，Litecoin可能会适度攀升至95美元。

However, LTC is still trading within a long-term ascending channel, which forms the critical context for these projections.

但是，LTC仍在长期上升渠道中进行交易，这构成了这些预测的关键环境。

The channel’s upper boundary is around $155, aligning with previous bull market peaks and potential resistance zones. So far, the channel’s lower boundary has held, offering a final support structure for bulls.

该频道的上边界约为155美元，与以前的牛市峰和潜在的阻力区保持一致。到目前为止，该频道的下边界已经保持着，为公牛提供了最终的支撑结构。

If that level fails, Litecoin could descend toward $28, a long-standing demand zone, highlighted in red. This would confirm a full structural breakdown. Traders now face a binary setup — reclaim the EMA, retest upper resistance, or spiral toward historical lows.

如果该水平失败，Litecoin可能会降落到28美元，这是一个长期以来的需求区，以红色强调。这将确认完整的结构崩溃。现在，交易者面临二元组件 - 收回EMA，重新抵抗或针对历史低点的螺旋。