Litecoin（LTC）價格急劇下跌至65美元

諾伊達（Coinchapter.com） - 4月初萊特幣（LTC）的價格急劇下跌至65美元，一周跌幅近7.5％

CoinChapter.com - Litecoin (LTC) price fell sharply to $65 in early April, plunging nearly 7.5% on the week as the broader crypto market grappled with a sudden and violent sell-off.

Coinchapter.com- 4月初，Litecoin（LTC）價格急劇下跌至65美元，由於更廣泛的加密貨幣市場突然而暴力拋售，本週下跌了近7.5％。

The collapse wiped billions off the market cap, pulling Bitcoin (BTC) below $75,000 and dragging altcoins into deep red territory.

這場倒塌的市值使數十億美元抹去了，將比特幣（BTC）提高到75,000美元以下，並將山寨幣拖入深紅色的領土。

Macro factors, such as rising U.S. bond yields and fading rate-cut expectations, appeared to be fueling risk-off sentiment across global markets.

宏觀因素，例如美國債券收益率上升和淡出率預期，似乎在加劇了全球市場的冒險情緒。

Meanwhile, large outflows from Bitcoin spot ETFs further spooked retail and institutional investors.

同時，來自比特幣現場ETF的大量流出進一步嚇到了零售和機構投資者。

Within this backdrop, Litecoin once again confronted its long-term nemesis—the 200-week exponential moving average (EMA), which rejected its price near $88 in July 2023.

在此背景下，萊特幣再次面對了其長期的仇敵 - 200週的指數移動平均線（EMA），該平均值（EMA）在2023年7月拒絕其價格接近88美元。

Historically, LTC’s interactions with this EMA have marked major turning points, making the current setup especially crucial.

從歷史上看，LTC與該EMA的互動已經標誌著主要的轉折點，這使得當前的設置尤為重要。

Litecoin’s price structure has also stayed within a long-term ascending channel, giving bulls a last line of defense. At the same time, fractal-based projections using past EMA rejection events suggest three possible outcomes, each with drastically different price targets.

Litecoin的價格結構也一直保持在一個長期的升級渠道中，使公牛隊獲得了最後的防守。同時，使用過去EMA拒絕事件的基於分形的預測提出了三個可能的結果，每個結果的目標目標差異很大。

The upcoming weeks will determine whether history repeats or diverges.

即將到來的幾週將決定歷史是否重複或分歧。

Can Litecoin Price Defend Its Last Bullish Structure?

Litecoin Price可以捍衛其最後一次看漲結構嗎？

Litecoin’s weekly chart reveals a recurring pattern: sharp rejections from the 200-week EMA, each followed by distinctly different price trajectories. The chart visualizes three such instances.

Litecoin的每週圖表揭示了一種反復出現的模式：200週EMA的急劇拒絕，每個EMA隨後是截然不同的價格軌跡。圖表可視化三個這樣的情況。

The first occurred in Nov. 2018, when LTC faced a firm rejection and entered a prolonged accumulation phase.

第一次發生於2018年11月，當時LTC面臨公司的拒絕並進入了延長的積累階段。

The subsequent recovery unfolded gradually over the next two years. The projection based on this fractal (marked in purple) forecasts a moderate rise toward $116 by December 2025, matching the upper-mid range of the current ascending channel.

隨後的恢復在未來兩年內逐漸展開。基於此分形（以紫色標記）的投影預測，到2025年12月，中度上漲了$ 116，與當前上升通道的上層範圍相匹配。

The second rejection came in March 2020, just as global markets crashed during the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic. However, this event became a launchpad for Litecoin, surging over 115% in the following weeks, and finally ending up with 1,320% rally to its ATH in 2021.

第二次拒絕是在2020年3月，正當全球市場在19日大流行病開始時全球市場崩潰。但是，這項活動成為Litecoin的發射台，在接下來的幾週內飆升了115％以上，最終在2021年以1,320％的召集到了1,320％的集會。

The corresponding projection (shown in pink) envisions an aggressive breakout toward $288 by June 2026. The target significantly overshoots the current range and would require a major market-wide rally to validate.

相應的預測（以粉紅色為例）設想到2026年6月的288美元，該目標將大大超過當前範圍，並需要進行大型市場範圍的集會才能驗證。

The most recent rejection from the 200-week EMA occurred in July 2023 and now serves as the base for the ongoing price projection (highlighted in dark green). If this path repeats, Litecoin could climb modestly toward $95.

200週EMA的最新拒絕發生在2023年7月，現在是持續價格投影的基礎（以深綠色突出顯示）。如果這條路重複，Litecoin可能會適度攀升至95美元。

However, LTC is still trading within a long-term ascending channel, which forms the critical context for these projections.

但是，LTC仍在長期上升渠道中進行交易，這構成了這些預測的關鍵環境。

The channel’s upper boundary is around $155, aligning with previous bull market peaks and potential resistance zones. So far, the channel’s lower boundary has held, offering a final support structure for bulls.

該頻道的上邊界約為155美元，與以前的牛市峰和潛在的阻力區保持一致。到目前為止，該頻道的下邊界已經保持著，為公牛提供了最終的支撐結構。

If that level fails, Litecoin could descend toward $28, a long-standing demand zone, highlighted in red. This would confirm a full structural breakdown. Traders now face a binary setup — reclaim the EMA, retest upper resistance, or spiral toward historical lows.

如果該水平失敗，Litecoin可能會降落到28美元，這是一個長期以來的需求區，以紅色強調。這將確認完整的結構崩潰。現在，交易者面臨二元組件 - 收回EMA，重新抵抗或針對歷史低點的螺旋。