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该下降反映了传统和加密市场的更广泛的不安,部分原因是从华盛顿出发的贸易战争言论引发。
NOISE (Coin Chapter) — Litecoin (LTC) price extended its decline over the weekend, slipping below the $83 mark as traders responded to growing macroeconomic pressure. The drop puts LTC in a critical support zone ahead of a crucial week for global markets.
噪音(硬币分会) - 莱特币(LTC)价格在周末延长了下降,随着贸易商应对日益增长的宏观经济压力的反应,下跌低于83美元。该下降使LTC在全球市场至关重要的一周之前进入关键支持区。
President Donald Trump escalated his tariff stance on March 31, saying he would impose reciprocal tariffs “on all countries,” not just those with significant trade surpluses against the U.S. These sweeping tariffs are set to begin on April 2, termed “Liberation Day” by the administration, and form part of what Trump called an “economic sovereignty restoration plan.”
唐纳德·特朗普总统在3月31日升级了关税立场,称他将“对所有国家”征收互惠关税,不仅是那些对美国进行贸易过多的大量盈余的关税,这些盛大的关税将于4月2日开始,被称为政府的“解放日”,并成为特朗普称为“经济主权恢复计划”的一部分。
In response, U.S. equities slid sharply on Monday, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite both hitting six-month lows by midday. Investors were seen dumping risk assets, and even Bitcoin price showed increased intraday volatility as fear of retaliatory trade measures from China and the EU resurfaced.
作为回应,美国股票在周一急剧滑行,标准普尔500指数和纳斯达克综合材料都在中午处达到六个月的低点。看到投资者倾销风险资产,甚至比特币的价格也显示出盘中波动的增加,因为担心中国和欧盟的报复性贸易措施的担忧重新浮出水面。
Safe-haven assets like gold, on the other hand, surged to record highs, while the dollar saw its worst monthly performance since November 2022. Litecoin, already showing signs of technical weakness, came under additional pressure as liquidity tightened and capital rotated out of mid-cap altcoins. The timing of this breakdown, alongside a major policy pivot in global trade, sets up bearish implications for LTC in the short term.
另一方面,诸如黄金之类的避风付用资产飙升以创造高点,而美元自2022年11月以来的每月表现最差。Litecoin(已经显示出技术弱点的迹象),由于流动性收紧,资本从中型Altcoins旋转,因此受到了额外的压力。这种崩溃的时机以及全球贸易中的主要政策枢纽,在短期内对LTC产生了看跌的影响。
LTC Weekly Chart Flashes Bearish Breakdown As Bulls Retreat
LTC每周图表闪光随着公牛的静修
Litecoin’s weekly chart highlights the invalidation of a previously identified bullish flag structure, with the cryptocurrency now trading well below the lower trendline of the pattern. This failure to breakout has removed the earlier upside target and flipped it into a projected downside move, aiming for around $50.8—measured from the height of the flagpole.
Litecoin的每周图表强调了先前确定的看涨旗帜结构的无效,现在的加密货币现在远低于该模式的较低趋势线。这种未突破的突破已经删除了较早的上行目标,并将其转变为预计的下行行动,其目标是从旗杆的高处进行50.8美元。
The invalidation of the bullish flag signals a complete loss of bullish momentum, setting up a deeper corrective phase for Litecoin. It has also pulled back from the ascending parallel channel that began in late 2023, offering a second potential downside target at $70.6—coinciding with the 0.236 Fibonacci level from July 2023 lows to January 2025 highs.
看涨旗帜的无效标志着看涨势头的完全丧失,为莱特币建立了更深层次的纠正阶段。它还从2023年底开始的上升平行渠道中退回,以70.6美元的价格提供了第二个潜在的下跌目标,这是2023年7月从2023年7月的低点到2025年1月的Highs的0.236斐波那契水平。
This confluence of a failed bullish setup and a major breakdown sets up a technically bearish picture for Litecoin, especially if broader risk sentiment continues to deteriorate. However, there is a crucial support zone between $86 and $81 marked by the 0.382 Fib retracement. This zone acted as support throughout most of 2023 and could now serve as a battleground for bulls attempting to defend the trend.
失败的看涨设置和重大故障的汇合处为莱特币创造了一张技术看不见的图片,尤其是在更广泛的风险情绪继续恶化的情况下。但是,由0.382 FIB回撤标记为86美元至81美元之间的至关重要的支撑区。该区域在2023年的大部分时间里都充当了支持,现在可以作为试图捍卫这一趋势的公牛的战场。
The volume profile shows increased selling pressure during the recent rejection, indicating that bears are in greater control. If Litecoin manages to break through this support range, a move toward $70 becomes increasingly likely. Further breakdowns from there would make $50.8 a valid technical target heading into Q2.
体积曲线显示在最近拒绝期间销售压力增加,表明熊处于更大的控制状态。如果Litecoin设法突破了这一支持范围,则越来越有可能向70美元转移。从那里进一步的细分将使$ 50.8成为Q2的有效技术目标。
On the other hand, a rebound from here would see LTC price face resistance near $90, where the 100-week (blue) and 200-week (green) EMA trendlines form a confluence. Breaking above this resistance could help Litecoin price target the resistance near $102, where bulls would try to re-enter the channel pattern. Yet, LTC price has a lot of hurdles to cross before turning its current price action bullish.
另一方面,这里的反弹将使LTC价格面部阻力接近90美元,而100周(蓝色)和200周(绿色)EMA Trendlines构成了汇合处。超越这种阻力可以帮助Litecoin Plage目标的电阻接近102美元,而公牛队将试图重新进入渠道模式。然而,LTC价格在转变为目前的价格行动之前有很多障碍要越过。
Falling Wedge Pattern Emerges But Fortunes Remain Bearish For Now
出现了掉落的楔形图案,但现在的命运仍然是看跌
The daily chart for Litecoin highlights the development of a falling wedge pattern—typically viewed as a bullish reversal setup when confirmed by a breakout above the upper trendline. The pattern began forming in early February after LTC topped out around $138. Since then, the price has posted a series of lower highs and lower lows, respecting the narrowing boundaries of the wedge. Volume has also declined throughout the formation, matching textbook characteristics of this setup.
Litecoin的每日图表突出了掉落的楔形模式的发展,当通过上方趋势线以上的突破确认时,通常将其视为看涨的逆转设置。 LTC最高$ 138之后,该模式于2月初开始形成。从那以后,价格发布了一系列较低的高点和较低的低点,尊重楔形的狭窄界限。在整个编队中,音量也有所下降,匹配此设置的教科书特征。
Despite the potential for a bullish reversal, the structure remains incomplete. Litecoin continues to post lower highs, a clear indication that sellers are still in command. The lower boundary of the wedge is currently being tested, but without a strong impulse, a breakout seems unlikely in the near term.
尽管有可能逆转看涨,但该结构仍然不完整。 Litecoin继续发布较低的高点,这清楚地表明卖家仍在指挥。楔形的下边界目前正在测试中,但是没有强烈的冲动,在短期内似乎不太可能进行突破。
However, even a short-term relief rally could push LTC toward the upper trendline of the wedge, which aligns with the $96 level. That would represent a roughly 15% move from current prices—notably large in the context of a broader downtrend.
但是,即使是短期救济集会,也可以将LTC推向楔形的上层趋势线,这与96美元的水平保持一致。这将与当前价格相比大约15%,这在更广泛的下降趋势的背景下尤为大。
If bulls do manage to generate enough momentum for a breakout, the target would be determined by measuring the height of the wedge at its thickest point and projecting it upward from the breakout zone. That calculation arrives at a theoretical price objective around $138, coinciding with the February high.
如果公牛确实设法产生足够的势头以进行突破,则可以通过测量楔子在其最厚的点上的高度并从突破区向上投射出来来确定目标。该计算的理论价格目标约为138美元,与2月高。
Until then, the pattern remains just a possibility, not a signal. Overall, bears are still in control, and without a decisive breakout, the wedge could simply be a resting point before another leg down. A move below the lower boundary of the wedge
在此之前,模式只是一种可能性,而不是信号。总体而言,熊仍然处于控制之中,没有决定性的突破,楔形物可能只是另一只腿倒下之前的休息点。楔子下边界以下的移动
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