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加密貨幣新聞文章

隨著宏觀經濟壓力的增加

2025/04/01 06:08

該下降反映了傳統和加密市場的更廣泛的不安,部分原因是從華盛頓出發的貿易戰爭言論引發。

隨著宏觀經濟壓力的增加

NOISE (Coin Chapter) — Litecoin (LTC) price extended its decline over the weekend, slipping below the $83 mark as traders responded to growing macroeconomic pressure. The drop puts LTC in a critical support zone ahead of a crucial week for global markets.

噪音(硬幣分會) - 萊特幣(LTC)價格在周末延長了下降,隨著貿易商應對日益增長的宏觀經濟壓力的反應,下跌低於83美元。該下降使LTC在全球市場至關重要的一周之前進入關鍵支持區。

President Donald Trump escalated his tariff stance on March 31, saying he would impose reciprocal tariffs “on all countries,” not just those with significant trade surpluses against the U.S. These sweeping tariffs are set to begin on April 2, termed “Liberation Day” by the administration, and form part of what Trump called an “economic sovereignty restoration plan.”

唐納德·特朗普總統在3月31日昇級了關稅立場,稱他將“對所有國家”徵收互惠關稅,不僅是那些對美國進行貿易過多的大量盈餘的關稅,這些盛大的關稅將於4月2日開始,被稱為政府的“解放日”,並成為特朗普稱為“經濟主權恢復計劃”的一部分。

In response, U.S. equities slid sharply on Monday, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite both hitting six-month lows by midday. Investors were seen dumping risk assets, and even Bitcoin price showed increased intraday volatility as fear of retaliatory trade measures from China and the EU resurfaced.

作為回應,美國股票在周一急劇滑行,標準普爾500指數和納斯達克復合材料都在中午持續了六個月的低點。看到投資者傾銷風險資產,甚至比特幣的價格也顯示出盤中波動的增加,因為擔心中國和歐盟的報復性貿易措施的擔憂重新浮出水面。

Safe-haven assets like gold, on the other hand, surged to record highs, while the dollar saw its worst monthly performance since November 2022. Litecoin, already showing signs of technical weakness, came under additional pressure as liquidity tightened and capital rotated out of mid-cap altcoins. The timing of this breakdown, alongside a major policy pivot in global trade, sets up bearish implications for LTC in the short term.

另一方面,諸如黃金之類的避風付用資產飆升以創造高點,而美元自2022年11月以來的每月表現最差。 Litecoin(已經顯示出技術弱點的跡象),由於流動性收緊,資本從中型Altcoins旋轉,因此受到了額外的壓力。這種崩潰的時機以及全球貿易中的主要政策樞紐,在短期內對LTC產生了看跌的影響。

LTC Weekly Chart Flashes Bearish Breakdown As Bulls Retreat

LTC每週圖表閃光隨著公牛的靜修

Litecoin’s weekly chart highlights the invalidation of a previously identified bullish flag structure, with the cryptocurrency now trading well below the lower trendline of the pattern. This failure to breakout has removed the earlier upside target and flipped it into a projected downside move, aiming for around $50.8—measured from the height of the flagpole.

Litecoin的每週圖表強調了先前確定的看漲旗幟結構的無效,現在的加密貨幣現在遠低於該模式的較低趨勢線。這種未突破的突破已經刪除了較早的上行目標,並將其轉變為預計的下行行動,其目標是從旗桿的高處進行50.8美元。

The invalidation of the bullish flag signals a complete loss of bullish momentum, setting up a deeper corrective phase for Litecoin. It has also pulled back from the ascending parallel channel that began in late 2023, offering a second potential downside target at $70.6—coinciding with the 0.236 Fibonacci level from July 2023 lows to January 2025 highs.

看漲旗幟的無效標誌著看漲勢頭的完全喪失,為萊特幣建立了更深層次的糾正階段。它還從2023年底開始的上昇平行渠道中退回,以70.6美元的價格提供了第二個潛在的下跌目標,這是2023年7月從2023年7月的低點到2025年1月的Highs的0.236斐波那契水平。

This confluence of a failed bullish setup and a major breakdown sets up a technically bearish picture for Litecoin, especially if broader risk sentiment continues to deteriorate. However, there is a crucial support zone between $86 and $81 marked by the 0.382 Fib retracement. This zone acted as support throughout most of 2023 and could now serve as a battleground for bulls attempting to defend the trend.

失敗的看漲設置和重大故障的匯合處為萊特幣創造了一張技術看不見的圖片,尤其是在更廣泛的風險情緒繼續惡化的情況下。但是,由0.382 FIB回撤標記為86美元至81美元之間的至關重要的支撐區。該區域在2023年的大部分時間裡都充當了支持,現在可以作為試圖捍衛這一趨勢的公牛的戰場。

The volume profile shows increased selling pressure during the recent rejection, indicating that bears are in greater control. If Litecoin manages to break through this support range, a move toward $70 becomes increasingly likely. Further breakdowns from there would make $50.8 a valid technical target heading into Q2.

體積曲線顯示在最近拒絕期間銷售壓力增加,表明熊處於更大的控制狀態。如果Litecoin設法突破了這一支持範圍,則越來越有可能向70美元轉移。從那裡進一步的細分將使$ 50.8成為Q2的有效技術目標。

On the other hand, a rebound from here would see LTC price face resistance near $90, where the 100-week (blue) and 200-week (green) EMA trendlines form a confluence. Breaking above this resistance could help Litecoin price target the resistance near $102, where bulls would try to re-enter the channel pattern. Yet, LTC price has a lot of hurdles to cross before turning its current price action bullish.

另一方面,這裡的反彈將使LTC價格面部阻力接近90美元,而100週(藍色)和200週(綠色)EMA Trendlines構成了匯合處。超越這種阻力可以幫助Litecoin Plage目標的電阻接近102美元,而公牛隊將試圖重新進入渠道模式。然而,LTC價格在轉變為目前的價格行動之前有很多障礙要越過。

Falling Wedge Pattern Emerges But Fortunes Remain Bearish For Now

出現了掉落的楔形圖案,但現在的命運仍然是看跌

The daily chart for Litecoin highlights the development of a falling wedge pattern—typically viewed as a bullish reversal setup when confirmed by a breakout above the upper trendline. The pattern began forming in early February after LTC topped out around $138. Since then, the price has posted a series of lower highs and lower lows, respecting the narrowing boundaries of the wedge. Volume has also declined throughout the formation, matching textbook characteristics of this setup.

Litecoin的每日圖表突出了掉落的楔形模式的發展,當通過上方趨勢線以上的突破確認時,通常將其視為看漲的逆轉設置。 LTC最高$ 138之後,該模式於2月初開始形成。從那以後,價格發布了一系列較低的高點和較低的低點,尊重楔形的狹窄界限。在整個編隊中,音量也有所下降,匹配此設置的教科書特徵。

Despite the potential for a bullish reversal, the structure remains incomplete. Litecoin continues to post lower highs, a clear indication that sellers are still in command. The lower boundary of the wedge is currently being tested, but without a strong impulse, a breakout seems unlikely in the near term.

儘管有可能逆轉看漲,但該結構仍然不完整。 Litecoin繼續發布較低的高點,這清楚地表明賣家仍在指揮。當前正在測試楔形的下邊界,但沒有強烈的衝動,在短期內似乎不太可能發生突破。

However, even a short-term relief rally could push LTC toward the upper trendline of the wedge, which aligns with the $96 level. That would represent a roughly 15% move from current prices—notably large in the context of a broader downtrend.

但是,即使是短期救濟集會,也可以將LTC推向楔形的上層趨勢線,這與96美元的水平保持一致。這將與當前價格相比大約15%,這在更廣泛的下降趨勢的背景下尤為大。

If bulls do manage to generate enough momentum for a breakout, the target would be determined by measuring the height of the wedge at its thickest point and projecting it upward from the breakout zone. That calculation arrives at a theoretical price objective around $138, coinciding with the February high.

如果公牛確實設法產生足夠的勢頭以進行突破,則可以通過測量楔子在其最厚的點上的高度並從突破區向上投射出來來確定目標。該計算的理論價格目標約為138美元,與2月高。

Until then, the pattern remains just a possibility, not a signal. Overall, bears are still in control, and without a decisive breakout, the wedge could simply be a resting point before another leg down. A move below the lower boundary of the wedge

在此之前,模式只是一種可能性,而不是信號。總體而言,熊仍然處於控制之中,沒有決定性的突破,楔形物可能只是另一隻腿倒下之前的休息點。楔子下邊界以下的移動

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