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由于高点持续走低,莱特币的价格面临下行压力,可能会导致回调。比特币的市场前景严重影响莱特币的走势,如果比特币出现回调,莱特币可能会陷入低迷。
Litecoin's Price Movement Amidst Market Dynamics
莱特币在市场动态中的价格变动
Litecoin (LTC) has been navigating a downtrend, marked by a succession of lower highs since its substantial 69% decline between November 2021 and February 2022. Despite the easing of selling pressure, LTC has remained confined within this descending trend line. The current attempt to retest the $100 threshold has proved unsuccessful in breaking through the prevailing trend line resistance.
莱特币 (LTC) 一直处于下降趋势,自 2021 年 11 月至 2022 年 2 月大幅下跌 69% 以来,其高点连续走低。尽管抛售压力有所缓解,但 LTC 仍局限于这条下降趋势线。目前重新测试 100 美元门槛的尝试未能成功突破当前趋势线阻力。
The trajectory of the Bitcoin market seems to hold significant influence over Litecoin's pricing. Should Bitcoin undergo a corrective phase, transitioning from its current sideways movement, it could trigger a similar negative shift in Litecoin's price. Investors anticipate a possible breach of the crucial $100 support level, potentially leading to a drop towards the $90 support level, representing an approximate decline of 13%.
比特币市场的走势似乎对莱特币的定价具有重大影响。如果比特币经历一个修正阶段,从目前的横盘走势转变,它可能会引发莱特币价格类似的负面变化。投资者预计可能会突破 100 美元的关键支撑位,从而可能导致跌向 90 美元的支撑位,跌幅约为 13%。
Amidst the looming correction, investors maintain a cautious optimism. A potential silver lining emerges if Bitcoin's outlook improves, presenting a favorable buying opportunity at the $90 support level. In such a scenario, Litecoin could potentially rally back to $119. A more bullish projection suggests that LTC could aim for a retest of the $150 or even the $200 levels, albeit with a potentially extended timeline.
在即将到来的调整中,投资者保持谨慎乐观。如果比特币的前景改善,就会出现潜在的一线希望,在 90 美元的支撑位提供有利的买入机会。在这种情况下,莱特币可能会反弹至 119 美元。更乐观的预测表明,LTC 可能会重新测试 150 美元甚至 200 美元的水平,尽管时间表可能会延长。
While the short-term outlook for Litecoin remains cautiously positive for long-term holders, the pivotal role of Bitcoin cannot be overlooked. A steeper correction in Bitcoin's price could pose challenges for Litecoin, potentially causing it to breach the $90 support level and decline further to the subsequent key support level at $75, marking a 16% decline.
虽然莱特币的短期前景对于长期持有者来说仍然谨慎乐观,但比特币的关键作用不容忽视。比特币价格的更大幅度调整可能会给莱特币带来挑战,可能导致其突破 90 美元的支撑位,并进一步跌至随后的关键支撑位 75 美元,跌幅为 16%。
Miners Drive Momentum with Accumulation
矿工通过积累推动动力
Litecoin has witnessed a notable surge in its price, reaching an eight-month peak of $106.2 on March 29th. This rally has been accompanied by significant activity among miners and speculative traders, suggesting the potential for further gains.
莱特币的价格显着飙升,于 3 月 29 日达到 106.2 美元的八个月高点。此次上涨伴随着矿商和投机交易者的大量活动,表明有进一步上涨的潜力。
During March 2024, Litecoin miners have played a pivotal role in driving the ongoing rally. On-chain data trends reveal that miners have accumulated approximately 150,000 LTC coins, increasing their balances from just over 2 million LTC in February to 2.2 million LTC by the end of March. This accumulation, valued at approximately $16 million at current prices, has significantly reduced the supply of LTC entering the market. The growing confidence of miners in LTC's near-term prospects indicates a bullish sentiment among key stakeholders.
2024 年 3 月期间,莱特币矿商在推动持续上涨的过程中发挥了关键作用。链上数据趋势显示,矿工已积累了约 150,000 个 LTC 币,其余额从 2 月份的略高于 200 万个 LTC 增加到 3 月底的 220 万个 LTC。按当前价格计算,这一积累价值约为 1600 万美元,显着减少了进入市场的 LTC 供应量。矿商对 LTC 近期前景的信心不断增强,表明主要利益相关者的看涨情绪。
Speculative Traders Fuel Optimism
In addition to miners, speculative traders have contributed to the positive momentum surrounding Litecoin. Coinalayze's open interest chart illustrates a surge in derivatives contracts, with open interest rising from $337 million to $481 million on March 29th. This substantial increase of $144 million in fresh capital inflows signifies growing optimism among traders. Notably, the growth in open interest has outpaced the 12% price increase witnessed on the same day, suggesting a strong belief among market participants in the sustainability of the upward trend.
除了矿商之外,投机交易者也为莱特币的积极势头做出了贡献。 Coinalayze 的未平仓合约图表显示衍生品合约激增,3 月 29 日未平仓合约从 3.37 亿美元增至 4.81 亿美元。新资本流入大幅增加 1.44 亿美元,表明交易者的乐观情绪日益增强。值得注意的是,未平仓合约的增长超过了当天 12% 的价格涨幅,这表明市场参与者对上涨趋势的可持续性抱有坚定的信念。
While the recent spike in LTC prices presents promising prospects, potential challenges lie ahead. A prominent sell-wall at the $130 range, as indicated by IntoTheBlock's global in/out of money around price data, poses a barrier to further price appreciation. Additionally, should the LTC price reverse below $90, bears could regain control. However, with speculative traders continuing to invest fresh capital, the likelihood of a significant downturn in the near term appears minimal.
虽然近期莱特币价格的飙升呈现出光明的前景,但潜在的挑战也摆在面前。正如 IntoTheBlock 围绕价格数据的全球资金进出情况所示,130 美元范围内的显着卖盘对价格进一步升值构成了障碍。此外,如果 LTC 价格反转至 90 美元以下,空头可能会重新获得控制权。然而,随着投机交易者继续投资新资本,短期内出现大幅下滑的可能性似乎很小。
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