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由於高點持續走低,萊特幣的價格面臨下行壓力,可能會導致回檔。比特幣的市場前景嚴重影響萊特幣的趨勢,如果比特幣出現回調,萊特幣可能會陷入低迷。
Litecoin's Price Movement Amidst Market Dynamics
萊特幣在市場動態中的價格變動
Litecoin (LTC) has been navigating a downtrend, marked by a succession of lower highs since its substantial 69% decline between November 2021 and February 2022. Despite the easing of selling pressure, LTC has remained confined within this descending trend line. The current attempt to retest the $100 threshold has proved unsuccessful in breaking through the prevailing trend line resistance.
萊特幣 (LTC) 一直處於下降趨勢,自 2021 年 11 月至 2022 年 2 月大幅下跌 69% 以來,其高點連續走低。儘管拋售壓力有所緩解,但 LTC 仍局限於這條下降趨勢線。目前重新測試 100 美元門檻的嘗試未能成功突破當前趨勢線阻力。
The trajectory of the Bitcoin market seems to hold significant influence over Litecoin's pricing. Should Bitcoin undergo a corrective phase, transitioning from its current sideways movement, it could trigger a similar negative shift in Litecoin's price. Investors anticipate a possible breach of the crucial $100 support level, potentially leading to a drop towards the $90 support level, representing an approximate decline of 13%.
比特幣市場的走勢似乎對萊特幣的定價有重大影響。如果比特幣經歷修正階段,從目前的橫盤走勢轉變,它可能會引發萊特幣價格類似的負面變化。投資者預計可能會突破 100 美元的關鍵支撐位,這可能導致跌向 90 美元的支撐位,跌幅約為 13%。
Amidst the looming correction, investors maintain a cautious optimism. A potential silver lining emerges if Bitcoin's outlook improves, presenting a favorable buying opportunity at the $90 support level. In such a scenario, Litecoin could potentially rally back to $119. A more bullish projection suggests that LTC could aim for a retest of the $150 or even the $200 levels, albeit with a potentially extended timeline.
在即將到來的調整中,投資人保持謹慎樂觀。如果比特幣的前景改善,就會出現潛在的一線希望,在 90 美元的支撐位提供有利的買入機會。在這種情況下,萊特幣可能會反彈至 119 美元。更樂觀的預測表明,LTC 可能會重新測試 150 美元甚至 200 美元的水平,儘管時間表可能會延長。
While the short-term outlook for Litecoin remains cautiously positive for long-term holders, the pivotal role of Bitcoin cannot be overlooked. A steeper correction in Bitcoin's price could pose challenges for Litecoin, potentially causing it to breach the $90 support level and decline further to the subsequent key support level at $75, marking a 16% decline.
雖然萊特幣的短期前景對於長期持有者來說仍然謹慎樂觀,但比特幣的關鍵作用不容忽視。比特幣價格的更大幅度調整可能會給萊特幣帶來挑戰,可能導致其突破 90 美元的支撐位,並進一步跌至隨後的關鍵支撐位 75 美元,跌幅為 16%。
Miners Drive Momentum with Accumulation
礦工透過累積推動動力
Litecoin has witnessed a notable surge in its price, reaching an eight-month peak of $106.2 on March 29th. This rally has been accompanied by significant activity among miners and speculative traders, suggesting the potential for further gains.
萊特幣的價格顯著飆升,於 3 月 29 日達到 106.2 美元的八個月高點。此次上漲伴隨著礦商和投機交易者的大量活動,顯示有進一步上漲的潛力。
During March 2024, Litecoin miners have played a pivotal role in driving the ongoing rally. On-chain data trends reveal that miners have accumulated approximately 150,000 LTC coins, increasing their balances from just over 2 million LTC in February to 2.2 million LTC by the end of March. This accumulation, valued at approximately $16 million at current prices, has significantly reduced the supply of LTC entering the market. The growing confidence of miners in LTC's near-term prospects indicates a bullish sentiment among key stakeholders.
2024 年 3 月期間,萊特幣礦商在推動持續上漲的過程中發揮了關鍵作用。鏈上數據趨勢顯示,礦工已累積了約 15 萬個 LTC 幣,其餘額從 2 月的略高於 200 萬個 LTC 增加到 3 月底的 220 萬個 LTC。以當前價格計算,這一累積價值約為 1600 萬美元,顯著減少了進入市場的 LTC 供應量。礦商對 LTC 近期前景的信心不斷增強,顯示主要利害關係人的看漲情緒。
Speculative Traders Fuel Optimism
投機交易者助長樂觀情緒
In addition to miners, speculative traders have contributed to the positive momentum surrounding Litecoin. Coinalayze's open interest chart illustrates a surge in derivatives contracts, with open interest rising from $337 million to $481 million on March 29th. This substantial increase of $144 million in fresh capital inflows signifies growing optimism among traders. Notably, the growth in open interest has outpaced the 12% price increase witnessed on the same day, suggesting a strong belief among market participants in the sustainability of the upward trend.
除了礦商之外,投機交易者也為萊特幣的積極勢頭做出了貢獻。 Coinalayze 的未平倉合約圖表顯示衍生性商品合約激增,3 月 29 日未平倉合約從 3.37 億美元增至 4.81 億美元。新資本流入大幅增加 1.44 億美元,顯示交易者的樂觀情緒日益增強。值得注意的是,未平倉合約的成長超過了當天 12% 的價格漲幅,這表明市場參與者對上漲趨勢的可持續性抱有堅定的信念。
While the recent spike in LTC prices presents promising prospects, potential challenges lie ahead. A prominent sell-wall at the $130 range, as indicated by IntoTheBlock's global in/out of money around price data, poses a barrier to further price appreciation. Additionally, should the LTC price reverse below $90, bears could regain control. However, with speculative traders continuing to invest fresh capital, the likelihood of a significant downturn in the near term appears minimal.
雖然近期萊特幣價格的飆升呈現出光明的前景,但潛在的挑戰也擺在眼前。正如 IntoTheBlock 圍繞價格數據的全球資金進出情況所示,130 美元範圍內的顯著賣盤對價格進一步升值構成了障礙。此外,如果 LTC 價格反轉至 90 美元以下,空頭可能會重新獲得控制權。然而,隨著投機交易者繼續投資新資本,短期內大幅下滑的可能性似乎很小。
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