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凭借过去周期的各种数据和参考,加密行业的许多人从一开始就预测 10 月将是绿色的。他们将其标记为“Uptober”。
CryptoSlate has covered the topic of “Uptober” extensively in the past. As we approach the middle of October, many are wondering when—if ever—the market will begin to trend upwards.
CryptoSlate 过去曾广泛讨论过“Uptober”主题。随着十月中旬的临近,许多人想知道市场何时(如果有的话)将开始呈上升趋势。
In a recent video, crypto YouTuber Tommy Does Crypto shared his thoughts on the matter, discussing Bitcoin and Kaspa price action and potential exchange listings that could impact their respective price trajectories.
在最近的一段视频中,加密货币 YouTuber TommyDosCrypto 分享了他对此事的看法,讨论了比特币和 Kaspa 的价格走势以及可能影响各自价格轨迹的潜在交易所列表。
The analyst began by discussing Kaspa’s recent price drop from 16 cents to 14 cents, presenting an opportunity for investors to buy at a discount. He highlighted that Kaspa is currently at a critical support level, having reached 14 cents three times in the past five months, suggesting that this level could serve as a local bottom for the token.
这位分析师首先讨论了 Kaspa 最近的价格从 16 美分下跌至 14 美分,这为投资者提供了打折购买的机会。他强调,Kaspa 目前处于关键支撑位,在过去 5 个月内曾 3 次达到 14 美分,这表明该水平可以作为该代币的局部底部。
Moreover, he mentioned the possibility of Kaspa being listed on Tier 1 exchange Kraken, an event that has been highly anticipated by the community. While this listing has not yet been officially announced, the analyst speculated that Kraken may be waiting for the optimal moment to do so, perhaps once Kaspa’s price surpasses the level at which Kraken was accumulating.
此外,他还提到了Kaspa可能登陆一级交易所Kraken的可能性,这一事件受到了社区的高度期待。虽然此次上市尚未正式宣布,但分析师推测 Kraken 可能正在等待上市的最佳时机,也许一旦 Kaspa 的价格超过 Kraken 的累积水平。
Such a listing could have a domino effect, potentially leading to listings on other major exchanges like Binance. The timing of this event is suggested to be before the end of October, aligning with the anticipated bullish trend for the month.
这样的上市可能会产生多米诺骨牌效应,有可能导致在币安等其他主要交易所上市。建议该事件的时间安排在 10 月底之前,与本月预期的看涨趋势保持一致。
Shifting focus to Bitcoin, the analyst examined its historical cycles and recent price movements. He noted that BTC experienced a bullish surge at the end of September, driven by announcements from the Federal Reserve regarding interest rates, but this was followed by a healthy correction that brought its price down towards $60,000.
这位分析师将注意力转向比特币,研究了其历史周期和近期价格走势。他指出,在美联储有关利率的公告的推动下,BTC 在 9 月底经历了牛市飙升,但随后进行了健康调整,使其价格跌至 60,000 美元。
The analyst interpreted this correction as expected since Bitcoin had not yet broken through its major resistance level.
分析师将此次调整解读为预期,因为比特币尚未突破其主要阻力位。
According to the analyst, the current downward trend in Bitcoin may represent a final bear trap before the market enters a bull phase. He anticipates that either October or November could signal the beginning of a significant bull run, potentially leading to a new all-time high for Bitcoin before 2025.
这位分析师表示,比特币目前的下跌趋势可能代表着市场进入牛市阶段之前的最后一个熊市陷阱。他预计 10 月或 11 月可能预示着一场重大牛市的开始,有可能导致比特币在 2025 年之前创下历史新高。
He also highlighted that geopolitical tensions, such as the recent conflict involving Iran and Israel, might create temporary negative impacts on Bitcoin’s price; however, he remained confident that such events will lead to only short-lived market fluctuations.
他还强调,地缘政治紧张局势,例如最近涉及伊朗和以色列的冲突,可能会对比特币的价格造成暂时的负面影响;不过,他仍然相信此类事件只会导致短暂的市场波动。
The analyst backed his bullish outlook for Bitcoin with several indicators, including expectations of lower interest rates and a weakening dollar, both of which would make risk assets like Bitcoin more attractive.
这位分析师通过多项指标支持了他对比特币的看涨前景,包括利率下降和美元疲软的预期,这两者都将使比特币等风险资产更具吸引力。
He also noted that the Global Liquidity Index is expected to rise, potentially directing capital into Bitcoin and driving up its price. The analyst believes that once Bitcoin breaks through its resistance level, this could catalyze a bull market for the entire crypto space, with Bitcoin leading the surge.
他还指出,全球流动性指数预计将上升,可能会引导资金流入比特币并推高其价格。该分析师认为,一旦比特币突破其阻力位,这可能会催化整个加密货币领域的牛市,其中比特币将引领涨势。
Finally, the analyst reflected on the four-year Bitcoin cycle, observing that historically, bull markets have often begun in October or November following a halving event. With the most recent Bitcoin halving occurring in April 2024, he projects a bullish period for the crypto market towards the end of 2024 and into early 2025. He expressed optimism that this October or November could mark the start of an aggressive bull run, lasting through 2025.
最后,分析师回顾了比特币的四年周期,观察到从历史上看,牛市通常在减半事件后的 10 月或 11 月开始。最近一次比特币减半发生在 2024 年 4 月,他预计加密市场将在 2024 年底至 2025 年初进入看涨期。他乐观地认为,今年 10 月或 11 月可能标志着激进牛市的开始,并将持续到 2025 年。 2025 年。
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