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憑藉過去週期的各種數據和參考,加密行業的許多人從一開始就預測 10 月將是綠色的。他們將其標記為“Uptober”。
CryptoSlate has covered the topic of “Uptober” extensively in the past. As we approach the middle of October, many are wondering when—if ever—the market will begin to trend upwards.
CryptoSlate 過去曾廣泛討論過「Uptober」主題。隨著十月中旬的臨近,許多人想知道市場何時(如果有的話)將開始呈現上升趨勢。
In a recent video, crypto YouTuber Tommy Does Crypto shared his thoughts on the matter, discussing Bitcoin and Kaspa price action and potential exchange listings that could impact their respective price trajectories.
在最近的一段影片中,加密貨幣 YouTuber TommyDosCrypto 分享了他對此事的看法,討論了比特幣和 Kaspa 的價格走勢以及可能影響各自價格軌蹟的潛在交易所清單。
The analyst began by discussing Kaspa’s recent price drop from 16 cents to 14 cents, presenting an opportunity for investors to buy at a discount. He highlighted that Kaspa is currently at a critical support level, having reached 14 cents three times in the past five months, suggesting that this level could serve as a local bottom for the token.
這位分析師首先討論了 Kaspa 最近的價格從 16 美分下跌至 14 美分,這為投資者提供了折扣購買的機會。他強調,Kaspa 目前處於關鍵支撐位,在過去 5 個月內曾 3 次達到 14 美分,這表明該水平可以作為該代幣的局部底部。
Moreover, he mentioned the possibility of Kaspa being listed on Tier 1 exchange Kraken, an event that has been highly anticipated by the community. While this listing has not yet been officially announced, the analyst speculated that Kraken may be waiting for the optimal moment to do so, perhaps once Kaspa’s price surpasses the level at which Kraken was accumulating.
此外,他還提到了Kaspa可能登陸一級交易所Kraken的可能性,這一事件受到了社區的高度期待。雖然此次上市尚未正式宣布,但分析師推測 Kraken 可能正在等待上市的最佳時機,也許一旦 Kaspa 的價格超過 Kraken 的累積水平。
Such a listing could have a domino effect, potentially leading to listings on other major exchanges like Binance. The timing of this event is suggested to be before the end of October, aligning with the anticipated bullish trend for the month.
這樣的上市可能會產生骨牌效應,有可能導致在幣安等其他主要交易所上市。建議該事件的時間安排在 10 月底之前,與本月預期的看漲趨勢保持一致。
Shifting focus to Bitcoin, the analyst examined its historical cycles and recent price movements. He noted that BTC experienced a bullish surge at the end of September, driven by announcements from the Federal Reserve regarding interest rates, but this was followed by a healthy correction that brought its price down towards $60,000.
這位分析師將注意力轉向比特幣,研究了其歷史週期和近期價格走勢。他指出,在聯準會有關利率的公告的推動下,BTC 在 9 月底經歷了牛市飆升,但隨後進行了健康調整,使其價格跌至 60,000 美元。
The analyst interpreted this correction as expected since Bitcoin had not yet broken through its major resistance level.
分析師將此次調整解讀為預期,因為比特幣尚未突破其主要阻力位。
According to the analyst, the current downward trend in Bitcoin may represent a final bear trap before the market enters a bull phase. He anticipates that either October or November could signal the beginning of a significant bull run, potentially leading to a new all-time high for Bitcoin before 2025.
這位分析師表示,比特幣目前的下跌趨勢可能代表市場進入多頭階段之前的最後一個熊市陷阱。他預計 10 月或 11 月可能預示著一場重大多頭市場的開始,有可能導致比特幣在 2025 年之前創下歷史新高。
He also highlighted that geopolitical tensions, such as the recent conflict involving Iran and Israel, might create temporary negative impacts on Bitcoin’s price; however, he remained confident that such events will lead to only short-lived market fluctuations.
他也強調,地緣政治緊張局勢,例如最近涉及伊朗和以色列的衝突,可能會對比特幣的價格造成暫時的負面影響;不過,他仍然相信這類事件只會導致短暫的市場波動。
The analyst backed his bullish outlook for Bitcoin with several indicators, including expectations of lower interest rates and a weakening dollar, both of which would make risk assets like Bitcoin more attractive.
這位分析師透過多個指標支持了他對比特幣的看漲前景,包括利率下降和美元疲軟的預期,這兩者都將使比特幣等風險資產更具吸引力。
He also noted that the Global Liquidity Index is expected to rise, potentially directing capital into Bitcoin and driving up its price. The analyst believes that once Bitcoin breaks through its resistance level, this could catalyze a bull market for the entire crypto space, with Bitcoin leading the surge.
他還指出,全球流動性指數預計將上升,可能會引導資金流入比特幣並推高其價格。該分析師認為,一旦比特幣突破其阻力位,這可能會催化整個加密貨幣領域的牛市,其中比特幣將引領漲勢。
Finally, the analyst reflected on the four-year Bitcoin cycle, observing that historically, bull markets have often begun in October or November following a halving event. With the most recent Bitcoin halving occurring in April 2024, he projects a bullish period for the crypto market towards the end of 2024 and into early 2025. He expressed optimism that this October or November could mark the start of an aggressive bull run, lasting through 2025.
最後,分析師回顧了比特幣的四年週期,觀察到從歷史上看,牛市通常在減半事件後的 10 月或 11 月開始。最近一次比特幣減半發生在2024 年4 月,他預計加密市場將在2024 年底至2025 年初進入看漲期。將持續到2025 年。
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