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过去一周,比特币(BTC)和以太坊(ETH)等蓝筹资产成为加密货币领域讨论的主要话题
Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) had a strong week, naturally attracting a lot of attention in the crypto space. But meme coins like Dogecoin (DOGE) and Shiba Inu (SHIB) also had their moments in the past seven days.
比特币(BTC)和以太坊(ETH)本周表现强劲,自然吸引了加密货币领域的大量关注。但像狗狗币(DOGE)和柴犬(SHIB)这样的模因币在过去的 7 天里也有过辉煌。
According to the latest on-chain data, these asset classes topped the social charts, with the majority of the crypto crowd talking about them, especially after the price rallies. Here’s how the rising social sentiment can impact the prices of DOGE and SHIB.
根据最新的链上数据,这些资产类别位居社交排行榜榜首,大多数加密货币人群都在谈论它们,尤其是在价格上涨之后。以下是不断上升的社会情绪如何影响 DOGE 和 SHIB 的价格。
FOMO May Be Key In Meme Coin Rally – DOGE, SHIB Surging
FOMO 可能是 Meme 币上涨的关键——DOGE、SHIB 飙升
In a recent post on the X platform, Santiment shared that large-cap meme tokens are garnering a significant amount of attention on social media. According to the blockchain analytics firm, top meme coins are seeing their most crowd discussion since May.
在 X 平台上最近发布的一篇文章中,Santiment 表示,大盘 Meme 代币在社交媒体上吸引了大量关注。据区块链分析公司称,自 5 月份以来,顶级 meme 代币正在经历最多的人群讨论。
This on-chain observation is based on the Santiment Social Dominance metric, which reflects the share of the discussions in crypto media referring to a particular asset or phrase. Santiment said in the post on X, “Top meme coins (DOGE, SHIB, etc.) [are] seeing [their] most crowd discussion since May (crowd FOMO may soon cause top).”
这种链上观察基于 Santiment Social Dominance 指标,该指标反映了加密媒体中涉及特定资产或短语的讨论份额。 Santiment 在 X 上的帖子中表示,“顶级 meme 代币(DOGE、SHIB 等)正在看到自 5 月份以来最多的人群讨论(人群 FOMO 可能很快就会成为顶峰)。”
This positive shift in investor sentiment might signal renewed faith in the meme coin market. However, the increasing crowd hype is often a warning sign of a potential price top, as rising FOMO (fear of missing out) can dampen the momentum of developing price rallies.
投资者情绪的这种积极转变可能预示着人们对模因币市场的新信心。然而,不断增加的人群炒作往往是潜在价格见顶的警告信号,因为 FOMO(害怕错过)的上升可能会抑制价格上涨的势头。
FOMO, or fear of missing out, is a phenomenon where investors hastily purchase assets in high demand out of fear of forfeiting potential gains. While FOMO has been known to drive a coin to a higher value in the short term, excessive FOMO often leads to unsustainable upward trends and subsequent corrections.
FOMO(害怕错过)是一种投资者因担心失去潜在收益而匆忙购买需求旺盛的资产的现象。虽然众所周知,FOMO 会在短期内推动代币升值,但过度的 FOMO 往往会导致不可持续的上涨趋势和随后的调整。
Moreover, crypto prices historically tend to move in the opposite direction of the crowd. Hence, if the crypto crowd is paying this much attention to top meme coins, investors might want to approach the market with caution.
此外,从历史上看,加密货币价格往往与大众的相反方向变动。因此,如果加密人群对顶级模因币如此关注,投资者可能需要谨慎进入市场。
Interestingly, Santiment pinpointed top Layer 2 tokens, including Arbitrum and Optimism, as potentially lucrative investment alternatives due to their extremely low social dominance. “Speculative coins can certainly still pump a bit longer, but historical data shows that it pays to go where the crowd isn’t looking,” the on-chain firm added.
有趣的是,Santiment 将 Arbitrum 和 Optimism 等顶级 Layer 2 代币定位为潜在利润丰厚的投资选择,因为它们的社会主导地位极低。这家链上公司补充道:“投机性代币肯定还能持续更长时间,但历史数据表明,去人群看不到的地方是值得的。”
Dogecoin price chart for 07/21/23 on FTX | Source: DOGE/USD on TradingView
FTX 2023 年 7 月 21 日狗狗币价格图表 |资料来源:TradingView 上的 DOGE/USD
As of this writing, the price of Dogecoin (DOGE) has broken above the $0.14 level, reflecting an almost 6% increase in the past day. The world’s largest meme coin has been surging since the beginning of the week, rallying from a low of around $0.124 on Monday.
截至撰写本文时,狗狗币 (DOGE) 的价格已突破 0.14 美元的水平,过去一天上涨了近 6%。自本周初以来,全球最大的模因代币一直在飙升,从周一约 0.124 美元的低点反弹。
After forming a local top at $0.132 on Wednesday, DOGE price corrected slightly before resuming its uptrend later in the day. The meme coin reached a high of $0.142 before facing another wave of selling pressure, which pushed the price down to its current level.
在周三形成 0.132 美元的局部顶部后,DOGE 价格小幅修正,然后在当天晚些时候恢复上升趋势。 Meme 币达到 0.142 美元的高位,然后面临另一波抛售压力,导致价格下跌至当前水平。
DOGE price is now trading above several key technical indicators, including the 50-day moving average ($0.133) and the 100-day moving average ($0.127). The meme coin is also encountering resistance at the 200-day moving average ($0.148), which could limit further gains in the short term.
DOGE 价格目前高于几个关键技术指标,包括 50 日移动平均线(0.133 美元)和 100 日移动平均线(0.127 美元)。 Meme 代币还在 200 日移动平均线(0.148 美元)处遇到阻力,这可能会限制短期内的进一步上涨。
On the other hand, if DOGE price manages to break through the 200-day moving average, it could pave the way for a stronger rally towards the recent swing high at $0.16.
另一方面,如果 DOGE 价格成功突破 200 日移动均线,则可能为进一步反弹至近期波动高点 0.16 美元铺平道路。
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