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以太坊价格延长了3月11日的损失,下降了9%,至1,888美元。现在,第二大加密货币在一个月内下降了30%,在过去三个月中已下降50%
Ethereum price extended its losses on Friday, plunging 9% to $1,888 as the second-largest cryptocurrency continues to sell off sharply.
以太坊价格在周五延长了损失,由于第二大加密货币继续急剧出售,因此下跌了9%至1,888美元。
The post Ethereum Price Plunges 9% as Key Support Fails, Could Drop to $400, Warns Analyst appeared first on Tokenhell.
以太坊后的价格下降了9%,因为主要支持失败,可能会降至400美元,警告分析师首先出现在Tokenhell上。
Despite charting a recovery from lows of $1,000 in March, Ethereum price has now dropped over 30% in a month and 50% over the last three months.
尽管三月份的低点从1,000美元的低点恢复了,但以太坊的价格现在在一个月内下降了30%以上,在过去三个月中降低了50%。
This downturn has raised concerns about a deeper market downturn, especially with several key support levels breaking.
这种低迷引起了人们对更深层次的衰退的担忧,尤其是在几个关键的支持水平破裂的情况下。
Breaking Down: Ethereum Price Faces Multiple Challenges
分解:以太坊价格面临多个挑战
As the broader crypto market experiences heightened volatility, total liquidations in the past 24 hours reached $246 million, according to Coinglass.
根据Coinglass的数据,随着更广泛的加密市场经历的波动提高,过去24小时的总清算率达到了2.46亿美元。
Among the pressing issues is the breakdown of a long-term trendline, which crypto analyst Ali Martinez warns could open the door for a deeper decline.
在紧迫的问题中,加密分析师阿里·马丁内斯(Ali Martinez)警告说,这是长期趋势线的细分,可以为更深的下降打开大门。
“If sellers can manage to keep pushing lower and break the lower parallel channel line, then we could retest the Fib level at $1,250,” he explained.
他解释说:“如果卖家可以设法继续推动并打破较低的平行通道线,那么我们可以以1,250美元的价格重新测试FIB水平。”
This view is supported by the Realized Price at $2,060, which is being tested, according to analyst Ali Charts.
根据分析师Ali Charts的说法,该观点得到了实现的价格为2,060美元的支持,该观点正在测试中。
"If this Realized Price holds, we might see a bounce back up towards the Fib level at $2,523, aiming for a retest of the parallel channel resistance, which is currently around $2,600, according to Fib levels, on MVRV Pricing Bands, if the Realized Price fails to hold, the next major Fib level provides support at $1,440.
“如果这个实现的价格成立,我们可能会看到,向FIB级别的反弹往返了2,523美元,旨在重新测试平行频道阻力,目前,根据FIB水平,MVRV定价频段上的价格约为2,600美元,如果实现的价格无法支付,那么下一个主要的FIB水平,下一个主要的FIB水平就会提供支持,即以1,440美元的价格提供支持。
"If this level breaks, we could see a continuation towards the Fib level at $1,250, which is around $900, providing a final point of resistance before a potential rebound," he added.
他补充说:“如果这个水平破裂,我们可以看到FIB级别的延续为1,250美元,约为900美元,在潜在反弹之前提供了阻力的最后一点。”
Unlikely Scenario But Not Impossible
不太可能的情况,但不是不可能的
Going even further, Quit, vice president of blockchain at Yuga Labs, envisioned an extreme scenario where Ethereum could plummet to a range of $200-$400.
进一步的是,Yuga Labs区块链副总裁辞职,设想了一个极端情况,以太坊可能会下降到$ 200- $ 400。
In a Friday post on X, he questioned whether the downturn was only beginning, considering that a true bear market usually results in an 80–90% drawdown from the peak.
在X上的星期五帖子中,他质疑下滑是否才刚刚开始,考虑到真正的熊市通常会导致高峰降低80-90%。
“Is this really the beginning of the bear market? Because if it is, and we know that bear markets see an 80–90% drawdown from peak to trough, then we've much further to fall. From the all-time highs, we're looking at a range of $200–$400 for optimal entry based on historical trends, he stated.
“这真的是熊市的开始吗?因为如果是这样,我们知道熊市从高峰到谷的80–90%的跌幅,那么我们还有更远的地方。他说,从历史上的高点来看,根据历史趋势,我们将寻找200-400美元的范围。
suggesting that a move to $1,500 would be a "no brainer" if the Fib level holds. However, Quit argued that many traders are focused on the $1,500 support, while historical trends suggest otherwise.
如果FIB水平成立,则表明将搬到1,500美元的搬迁将是“无脑力”。但是,辞职认为,许多交易者专注于1,500美元的支持,而历史趋势则表明。
“If this is a full-scale bear market, ETH has much further to fall. But if we're seeing the lows of the bear market, then we're close to finding a good entry point optimal for optimal return over the long term optimal return over the long term
“如果这是一个全尺寸的熊市,ETH将进一步下降。但是,如果我们看到熊市的低点,那么我们将在长期长期最佳回报中找到一个良好的入口点,以最佳回报
Huge investors are adjusting their strategies. Lookonchain flagged a major Ethereum Foundation transaction involving 30,098 ETH (~$56.08 million) being deposited into MakerDAO to lower its liquidation price. The foundation’s wallet now holds 100,394 ETH ($182 million) on Maker, with a liquidation threshold of $1,127.
庞大的投资者正在调整他们的策略。 Lookonchain标记了一项主要的以太坊基金会交易,涉及30,098 ETH(约5608万美元),以降低其清算价格。该基金会的钱包现在拥有100,394 ETH(1.82亿美元)的制造商,清算门槛为1,127美元。
At the same time, an early Ethereum ICO whale transferred 7,000 ETH (~$12.94 million) to Kraken, a move often interpreted as a sign of impending sell pressure. These transactions indicate that large holders are either preparing for lower prices or securing their positions amid the uncertainty.
同时,一条早期的以太坊ICO鲸鱼将7,000 ETH(约129.4万美元)转移到了Kraken,这一举动通常被解释为即将出售压力的标志。这些交易表明,在不确定性的情况下,大型持有人要么为较低的价格做准备,要么确保其头寸。
Moreover, DefiLlama data shows that around $366 million in DeFi loans could face liquidation if ETH drops another 20%, adding additional risks to the current sell-off.
此外,Defillama的数据显示,如果ETH再下降20%,则可能会面临约3.66亿美元的Defi贷款,从而增加了当前抛售的额外风险。
Stiff Competition and Declining Network Activity
激烈的竞争和网络活动下降
Data from SoSoValue indicates that spot Ethereum exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have seen net outflows of $278.55 million over the past week, suggesting weakening institutional demand.
来自Sosovalue的数据表明,过去一周中,现货以太坊交换基金(ETF)的净流出为2.7855亿美元,表明机构需求减弱了。
The absence of staking incentives in these ETFs makes them less attractive compared to decentralized finance (DeFi) yields of around 4.5%.
与分散的融资(DEFI)产量约为4.5%,这些ETF中缺乏积分激励措施的吸引力降低了。
Meanwhile, cheaper and faster blockchains, such as Berachain and Hyperliquid, are eating into Ethereum’s DeFi dominance, attracting billions in total value locked.
同时,诸如Berachain和Hyproliqu的较便宜,更快的区块链正在饮食以太坊的偏好优势,吸引了数十亿美元的总价值锁定。
Will Ethereum Price Recover or Slide Further?
以太坊价格会进一步恢复还是滑行?
The ability of Ethereum to reclaim its previous support at $2,600 remains uncertain. Bulls need to push ETH above $2,523 to regain momentum, according to analyst Junaid Dar.
以太坊在2,600美元中收回其先前支持的能力尚不确定。分析师Junaid Dar表示,公牛队需要将ETH提高到2,523美元以上,以恢复动力。
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