在市場動盪中，以太坊價格下跌$ 1,900

以太坊價格延長了3月11日的損失，下降了9％，至1,888美元。現在，第二大加密貨幣在一個月內下降了30％，在過去三個月中已下降50％

Ethereum price extended its losses on Friday, plunging 9% to $1,888 as the second-largest cryptocurrency continues to sell off sharply.

以太坊價格在周五延長了損失，由於第二大加密貨幣繼續急劇出售，因此下跌了9％至1,888美元。

The post Ethereum Price Plunges 9% as Key Support Fails, Could Drop to $400, Warns Analyst appeared first on Tokenhell.

以太坊後的價格下降了9％，因為主要支持失敗，可能會降至400美元，警告分析師首先出現在Tokenhell上。

Despite charting a recovery from lows of $1,000 in March, Ethereum price has now dropped over 30% in a month and 50% over the last three months.

儘管三月份的低點從1,000美元的低點恢復了，但以太坊的價格現在在一個月內下降了30％以上，在過去三個月中降低了50％。

This downturn has raised concerns about a deeper market downturn, especially with several key support levels breaking.

這種低迷引起了人們對更深層次的衰退的擔憂，尤其是在幾個關鍵的支持水平破裂的情況下。

Breaking Down: Ethereum Price Faces Multiple Challenges

分解：以太坊價格面臨多個挑戰

As the broader crypto market experiences heightened volatility, total liquidations in the past 24 hours reached $246 million, according to Coinglass.

根據Coinglass的數據，隨著更廣泛的加密市場經歷的波動提高，過去24小時的總清算率達到了2.46億美元。

Among the pressing issues is the breakdown of a long-term trendline, which crypto analyst Ali Martinez warns could open the door for a deeper decline.

在緊迫的問題中，加密分析師阿里·馬丁內斯（Ali Martinez）警告說，這是長期趨勢線的細分，可以為更深的下降打開大門。

“If sellers can manage to keep pushing lower and break the lower parallel channel line, then we could retest the Fib level at $1,250,” he explained.

他解釋說：“如果賣家可以設法繼續推動並打破較低的平行通道線，那麼我們可以以1,250美元的價格重新測試FIB水平。”

This view is supported by the Realized Price at $2,060, which is being tested, according to analyst Ali Charts.

根據分析師Ali Charts的說法，該觀點得到了實現的價格為2,060美元的支持，該觀點正在測試中。

"If this Realized Price holds, we might see a bounce back up towards the Fib level at $2,523, aiming for a retest of the parallel channel resistance, which is currently around $2,600, according to Fib levels, on MVRV Pricing Bands, if the Realized Price fails to hold, the next major Fib level provides support at $1,440.

“如果這個實現的價格成立，我們可能會看到，向FIB級別的反彈往返了2,523美元，旨在重新測試平行頻道阻力，目前，根據FIB水平，MVRV定價頻段上的價格約為2,600美元，如果實現的價格無法支付，那麼下一個主要的FIB水平，下一個主要的FIB水平就會提供支持，即以1,440美元的價格提供支持。

"If this level breaks, we could see a continuation towards the Fib level at $1,250, which is around $900, providing a final point of resistance before a potential rebound," he added.

他補充說：“如果這個水平破裂，我們可以看到FIB級別的延續為1,250美元，約為900美元，在潛在反彈之前提供了阻力的最後一點。”

Unlikely Scenario But Not Impossible

不太可能的情況，但不是不可能的

Going even further, Quit, vice president of blockchain at Yuga Labs, envisioned an extreme scenario where Ethereum could plummet to a range of $200-$400.

進一步的是，Yuga Labs區塊鏈副總裁辭職，設想了一個極端情況，以太坊可能會下降到$ 200- $ 400。

In a Friday post on X, he questioned whether the downturn was only beginning, considering that a true bear market usually results in an 80–90% drawdown from the peak.

在X上的星期五帖子中，他質疑下滑是否才剛剛開始，考慮到真正的熊市通常會導致高峰降低80-90％。

“Is this really the beginning of the bear market? Because if it is, and we know that bear markets see an 80–90% drawdown from peak to trough, then we've much further to fall. From the all-time highs, we're looking at a range of $200–$400 for optimal entry based on historical trends, he stated.

“這真的是熊市的開始嗎？因為如果是這樣，我們知道熊市從高峰到谷的80–90％的跌幅，那麼我們還有更遠的地方。他說，從歷史上的高點來看，根據歷史趨勢，我們將尋找200-400美元的範圍。

suggesting that a move to $1,500 would be a "no brainer" if the Fib level holds. However, Quit argued that many traders are focused on the $1,500 support, while historical trends suggest otherwise.

如果FIB水平成立，則表明將搬到1,500美元的搬遷將是“無腦力”。但是，辭職認為，許多交易者專注於1,500美元的支持，而歷史趨勢則表明。

“If this is a full-scale bear market, ETH has much further to fall. But if we're seeing the lows of the bear market, then we're close to finding a good entry point optimal for optimal return over the long term optimal return over the long term

“如果這是一個全尺寸的熊市，ETH將進一步下降。但是，如果我們看到熊市的低點，那麼我們將在長期長期最佳回報中找到一個良好的入口點，以最佳回報

Huge investors are adjusting their strategies. Lookonchain flagged a major Ethereum Foundation transaction involving 30,098 ETH (~$56.08 million) being deposited into MakerDAO to lower its liquidation price. The foundation’s wallet now holds 100,394 ETH ($182 million) on Maker, with a liquidation threshold of $1,127.

龐大的投資者正在調整他們的策略。 Lookonchain標記了一項主要的以太坊基金會交易，涉及30,098 ETH（約5608萬美元），以降低其清算價格。該基金會的錢包現在擁有100,394 ETH（1.82億美元）的製造商，清算門檻為1,127美元。

At the same time, an early Ethereum ICO whale transferred 7,000 ETH (~$12.94 million) to Kraken, a move often interpreted as a sign of impending sell pressure. These transactions indicate that large holders are either preparing for lower prices or securing their positions amid the uncertainty.

同時，一條早期的以太坊ICO鯨魚將7,000 ETH（約129.4萬美元）轉移到了Kraken，這一舉動通常被解釋為即將出售壓力的標誌。這些交易表明，在不確定性的情況下，大型持有人要么為較低的價格做準備，要么確保其頭寸。

Moreover, DefiLlama data shows that around $366 million in DeFi loans could face liquidation if ETH drops another 20%, adding additional risks to the current sell-off.

此外，Defillama的數據顯示，如果ETH再下降20％，則可能會面臨約3.66億美元的Defi貸款，從而增加了當前拋售的額外風險。

Stiff Competition and Declining Network Activity

激烈的競爭和網絡活動下降

Data from SoSoValue indicates that spot Ethereum exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have seen net outflows of $278.55 million over the past week, suggesting weakening institutional demand.

來自Sosovalue的數據表明，過去一周中，現貨以太坊交換基金（ETF）的淨流出為2.7855億美元，表明機構需求減弱了。

The absence of staking incentives in these ETFs makes them less attractive compared to decentralized finance (DeFi) yields of around 4.5%.

與分散的融資（DEFI）產量約為4.5％，這些ETF中缺乏積分激勵措施的吸引力降低了。

Meanwhile, cheaper and faster blockchains, such as Berachain and Hyperliquid, are eating into Ethereum’s DeFi dominance, attracting billions in total value locked.

同時，諸如Berachain和Hyproliqu的較便宜，更快的區塊鏈正在飲食以太坊的偏好優勢，吸引了數十億美元的總價值鎖定。

Will Ethereum Price Recover or Slide Further?

以太坊價格會進一步恢復還是滑行？

The ability of Ethereum to reclaim its previous support at $2,600 remains uncertain. Bulls need to push ETH above $2,523 to regain momentum, according to analyst Junaid Dar.

以太坊在2,600美元中收回其先前支持的能力尚不確定。分析師Junaid Dar表示，公牛隊需要將ETH提高到2,523美元以上，以恢復動力。