随着现货 ETF（交易所交易基金）逼近，以太坊 (ETH) 可能已准备好重新测试关键阻力位

在市场放缓的情况下，加密货币分析师认为以太坊（ETH）可能已准备好再次重新测试关键阻力位

Cryptocurrency investors are keeping a close eye on the latest developments regarding the approval of spot Ethereum exchange-traded funds (ETFs), as the anticipation builds for their launch.

加密货币投资者正在密切关注有关现货以太坊交易所交易基金（ETF）获批的最新进展，因为人们对它们的推出抱有越来越多的预期。

Several analysts have shared their insights on the matter, speculating on its potential impact on ETH’s price and offering varying perspectives on the outlook for the second-largest cryptocurrency.

几位分析师分享了他们对此事的见解，推测其对 ETH 价格的潜在影响，并对第二大加密货币的前景提出了不同的看法。

One crypto investor, known as Daan Crypto Trades, believes that the news about the S-1 form approval will not have a significant effect on Ethereum’s price.

一位名为 Daan Crypto Trades 的加密货币投资者认为，有关 S-1 表格批准的消息不会对以太坊的价格产生重大影响。

According to the trader, the announcement will likely play out similarly to the 19b-4 approval news in May, which had minimal effect on ETH’s price.

据该交易员称，该公告的结果可能与 5 月份 19b-4 批准的消息类似，这对 ETH 的价格影响很小。

Earlier, rumors about the SEC’s decision on ETH ETFs sparked a rally in the cryptocurrency.

早些时候，有关 SEC 对 ETH ETF 决定的传言引发了加密货币的反弹。

Anticipating the approval, ETH surged over 30% from $3,000 to $3,900. However, after the official announcement, there was no further impact on the token's price.

由于预期获得批准，ETH 上涨了 30% 以上，从 3,000 美元涨至 3,900 美元。不过，官方公告发布后，并未对代币价格产生进一步影响。

“I don’t think the SEC approval will be bullish or bearish, it’s 99%+ priced in. The real test will be the actual flows once the ETFs are live,” the analyst noted.

“我认为 SEC 的批准不会是看涨或看跌，99% 以上的价格都已反映在 ETF 上线后的实际流量上，”该分析师指出。

Moreover, the trader anticipates a significant outflow from the Grayscale Ethereum Trust (ETHE) market, although “not as bad as we saw with GBTC.”

此外，该交易员预计灰度以太坊信托（ETHE）市场将出现大量资金外流，尽管“没有我们在 GBTC 看到的那么糟糕”。

Regarding the demand for the Ethereum ETFs, the crypto investor stated that they expect "20% of spot BTC ETF inflows."

关于以太坊 ETF 的需求，该加密货币投资者表示，他们预计“现货 BTC ETF 流入量将达到 20%”。

“The expectations will be that it’s anywhere from 10-30% of what BTC got in terms of inflows. I think ~20% is a pretty safe estimate. Anything higher would obviously be a nice surprise. ETH doesn’t need as many flows as BTC does to make it move after all. The market cap is 1/3th and there’s a lot of supply locked up in staking/defi products etc. Pretty thin market compared to BTC,” the analysis concluded.

“预计流入量将占 BTC 流入量的 10-30%。我认为~20% 是一个相当安全的估计。任何更高的值显然都会是一个不错的惊喜。毕竟，ETH 不需要像 BTC 那样多的流量来使其流动。市值仅为 1/3，并且有大量供应被锁定在质押/defi 产品等中。与 BTC 相比，市场相当清淡。”分析得出结论。

Meanwhile, crypto analyst Jelle highlighted that ETH could be ready to retest key resistance levels again.

与此同时，加密货币分析师 Jelle 强调，ETH 可能已准备好再次重新测试关键阻力位。

According to the post, the second-largest cryptocurrency is “reclaiming the 200-day EMA, with the ETFs approaching fast.”

根据这篇文章，第二大加密货币正在“夺回 200 日均线，ETF 正在快速逼近”。

If ETH manages to hold this level, the cryptocurrency could be eyeing the $4,000 mark.

如果 ETH 能够保持这一水平，该加密货币可能会瞄准 4,000 美元大关。

The analyst anticipates that Ethereum will likely outperform Bitcoin in the upcoming weeks, whereas the flagship cryptocurrency is set to have a “boring next few weeks” moving sideways.

分析师预计，以太坊在未来几周内的表现可能会超过比特币，而旗舰加密货币将在“无聊的未来几周”横盘整理。

“Not that you guys are ready for it to melt faces, but every cycle people give up on ETH, saying it’s ‘dead tech’ – only to be proven wrong again,” the post added, commenting on those who continue to doubt ETH's potential.

“并不是说你们已经准备好让它融化，而是每个周期人们都会放弃 ETH，说它是‘死技术’——结果又被证明是错误的，”该帖子补充道，对那些继续怀疑 ETH 潜力的人发表了评论。

ETH’s price has increased by 5.4% in the last week, and it is currently trading at $3,121 at the time of writing.

ETH 的价格上周上涨了 5.4%，截至撰写本文时目前交易价格为 3,121 美元。

Despite registering a 13% decrease in the past month, some market observers believe ETH’s current price is a good inversion.

尽管过去一个月下跌了 13%，但一些市场观察人士认为 ETH 目前的价格是一个很好的反转。

“Anything close to $3k or below is free 3x in the next 12 months,” said pseudonym crypto analyst Poseidon.

“未来 12 个月内，任何接近 3000 美元或以下的东西都会免费 3 倍，”化名加密货币分析师 Poseidon 表示。