隨著現貨 ETF（交易所交易基金）逼近，以太坊 (ETH) 可能已準備好重新測試關鍵阻力位

在市場放緩的情況下，加密貨幣分析師認為以太坊（ETH）可能已準備好再次重新測試關鍵阻力位

Cryptocurrency investors are keeping a close eye on the latest developments regarding the approval of spot Ethereum exchange-traded funds (ETFs), as the anticipation builds for their launch.

加密貨幣投資者正密切關注現貨以太坊交易所交易基金（ETF）獲批的最新進展，因為人們對它們的推出抱有越來越多的預期。

Several analysts have shared their insights on the matter, speculating on its potential impact on ETH’s price and offering varying perspectives on the outlook for the second-largest cryptocurrency.

幾位分析師分享了他們對此事的見解，推測其對 ETH 價格的潛在影響，並對第二大加密貨幣的前景提出了不同的看法。

One crypto investor, known as Daan Crypto Trades, believes that the news about the S-1 form approval will not have a significant effect on Ethereum’s price.

一位名為 Daan Crypto Trades 的加密貨幣投資者認為，有關 S-1 表格批准的消息不會對以太坊的價格產生重大影響。

According to the trader, the announcement will likely play out similarly to the 19b-4 approval news in May, which had minimal effect on ETH’s price.

據該交易員稱，該公告的結果可能與 5 月 19b-4 批准的消息類似，這對 ETH 的價格影響很小。

Earlier, rumors about the SEC’s decision on ETH ETFs sparked a rally in the cryptocurrency.

早些時候，有關 SEC 對 ETH ETF 決定的傳言引發了加密貨幣的反彈。

Anticipating the approval, ETH surged over 30% from $3,000 to $3,900. However, after the official announcement, there was no further impact on the token's price.

由於預期獲得批准，ETH 上漲了 30% 以上，從 3,000 美元漲至 3,900 美元。不過，官方公告發布後，並未對代幣價格產生進一步影響。

“I don’t think the SEC approval will be bullish or bearish, it’s 99%+ priced in. The real test will be the actual flows once the ETFs are live,” the analyst noted.

「我認為 SEC 的批准不會是看漲或看跌，99% 以上的價格都已反映在 ETF 上線後的實際流量上，」分析師指出。

Moreover, the trader anticipates a significant outflow from the Grayscale Ethereum Trust (ETHE) market, although “not as bad as we saw with GBTC.”

此外，該交易員預計灰階以太坊信託（ETHE）市場將出現大量資金外流，儘管「沒有我們在 GBTC 看到的那麼糟糕」。

Regarding the demand for the Ethereum ETFs, the crypto investor stated that they expect "20% of spot BTC ETF inflows."

關於以太幣 ETF 的需求，該加密貨幣投資者表示，他們預計「現貨 BTC ETF 流入量將達到 20%」。

“The expectations will be that it’s anywhere from 10-30% of what BTC got in terms of inflows. I think ~20% is a pretty safe estimate. Anything higher would obviously be a nice surprise. ETH doesn’t need as many flows as BTC does to make it move after all. The market cap is 1/3th and there’s a lot of supply locked up in staking/defi products etc. Pretty thin market compared to BTC,” the analysis concluded.

「預計流入量將是 BTC 的 10-30%。我認為~20% 是一個相當安全的估計。任何更高的值顯然都會是一個不錯的驚喜。畢竟，ETH 不需要像 BTC 那樣多的流量來使其流動。市值僅為 1/3，並且有大量供應被鎖定在 stake/defi 產品等。

Meanwhile, crypto analyst Jelle highlighted that ETH could be ready to retest key resistance levels again.

同時，加密貨幣分析師 Jelle 強調，ETH 可能已準備好再次重新測試關鍵阻力位。

According to the post, the second-largest cryptocurrency is “reclaiming the 200-day EMA, with the ETFs approaching fast.”

根據這篇文章，第二大加密貨幣正在「奪回 200 日均線，ETF 正在快速逼近」。

If ETH manages to hold this level, the cryptocurrency could be eyeing the $4,000 mark.

如果 ETH 能夠保持這一水平，該加密貨幣可能會瞄準 4,000 美元大關。

The analyst anticipates that Ethereum will likely outperform Bitcoin in the upcoming weeks, whereas the flagship cryptocurrency is set to have a “boring next few weeks” moving sideways.

分析師預計，以太坊在未來幾週內的表現可能會超過比特幣，而旗艦加密貨幣將在「無聊的未來幾週」橫盤整理。

“Not that you guys are ready for it to melt faces, but every cycle people give up on ETH, saying it’s ‘dead tech’ – only to be proven wrong again,” the post added, commenting on those who continue to doubt ETH's potential.

「並不是說你們已經準備好讓它融化，而是每個週期人們都會放棄ETH，說它是『死技術』——結果又被證明是錯誤的，」該帖子補充道，對那些繼續懷疑ETH潛力的人發表了評論。

ETH’s price has increased by 5.4% in the last week, and it is currently trading at $3,121 at the time of writing.

ETH 的價格上週上漲了 5.4%，截至撰寫本文時目前交易價格為 3,121 美元。

Despite registering a 13% decrease in the past month, some market observers believe ETH’s current price is a good inversion.

儘管過去一個月下跌了 13%，但一些市場觀察家認為 ETH 目前的價格是一個很好的反轉。

“Anything close to $3k or below is free 3x in the next 12 months,” said pseudonym crypto analyst Poseidon.

「未來 12 個月內，任何接近 3000 美元或以下的東西都會免費 3 倍，」化名加密貨幣分析師 Poseidon 表示。