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以太坊(ETH)价格仍在熊市中,三种风险图表模式表明,它可能很快遇到20%的崩溃

2025/02/24 22:00

以太坊(ETH)是加密货币的第二大硬币,周一退回至2,670美元,比12月的最高水平下降了35%以上。

以太坊(ETH)价格仍在熊市中,三种风险图表模式表明,它可能很快遇到20%的崩溃

Ethereum (ETH) price continued its lackluster performance on Monday, trading at $2,670, down by more than 35% from December’s highs. As the second-biggest cryptocurrency struggles with strong competition in the blockchain industry, three risky chart patterns are emerging. These patterns suggest that ETH price may experience a 20% crash soon.

以太坊(ETH)的价格在周一继续表现不足,交易价格为2,670美元,比12月的高点下降了35%以上。随着第二大加密货币在区块链行业的激烈竞争中挣扎,出现了三种风险的图表模式。这些模式表明,ETH价格很快可能会发生20%的崩溃。

Ethereum price faces strong competition and outflows from ETFs

以太坊价格面临着强烈的竞争和ETF的流出

ETH price is facing increasing competition in the blockchain industry, particularly from layer-1 networks such as Berachain (BERA), Solana (SOL), and BNB Smart Chain (BNB). Despite expanding its capacity with layer-2 blockchains like Base and Arbitrum, Ethereum is losing market share in decentralized exchange (DEX) volumes.

ETH Price面临着区块链行业的竞争,特别是从Berachain(Bera),Solana(Sol)(Sol)和BNB Smart Chain(BNB)等第1层网络。尽管以基本和仲裁等第2层区块链的能力扩大了能力,但以太坊仍在分散交易所(DEX)卷中失去市场份额。

DEX protocols on Ethereum handled volumes of $81 billion in the past 30 days. At the same time, layer-2 networks like Base (BASE) and Arbitrum (ARB) processed $35 billion and $28 billion, respectively.

在过去30天内,关于以太坊的DEX协议处理了810亿美元的卷。同时,基本(基础)和仲裁(ARB)等第2层网络分别处理了350亿美元和280亿美元。

Third-party data also reveals that Ethereum ETFs are not attracting as much interest as anticipated. In the past two trading days, they have experienced outflows, bringing the total cumulative outflows to $3.15 billion. In contrast, Bitcoin ETFs have seen massive inflows of almost $40 billion.

第三方数据还表明,以太坊ETF吸引了预期的兴趣那么多。在过去的两个交易日中,他们经历了流出,使总累积外流达到31.5亿美元。相反,比特币ETF的大量流入近400亿美元。

Moreover, Ethereum’s daily trading volume has continued to decrease, reaching $126 billion and dropping from December’s highs of $330 billion. Its revenue has also seen a significant decline, reaching $5 million on Sunday and falling from over $58 million in November last year.

此外,以太坊的日常交易量继续减少,达到1,260亿美元,并从12月的3300亿美元高点下降。它的收入也显着下降,周日达到500万美元,从去年11月的5800万美元下降。

Finally, Ethereum’s futures open interest has crashed from its 2024 highs, now showing an interest of $23.3 billion, down from this month’s highs of $35 billion.

最终,以太坊的期货开放兴趣从2024年的高点开始崩溃,现在显示出233亿美元的利息,低于本月的350亿美元。

Three risky Ethereum price patterns to watch

三种有风险的以太坊价格模式要观看

Observing the daily chart, the Ethereum price seems to be set up for further declines. On February 9, a death cross occurred as the 50-day and 200-day Weighted Moving Averages (WMA) crossed each other on the daily chart.

在观察每日图表时,以太坊价格似乎是为了进一步下降。 2月9日,随着50天和200天的加权移动平均(WMA)在每日图表上互相跨越。

Usually, a death cross, where the short-term moving average crosses below the long-term moving average, is considered a bearish signal by technical analysts.

通常,技术分析师将短期移动平均线横穿长期移动平均线以下的死亡十字架被认为是看跌信号。

Another pattern emerging on the ETH price chart is the rising wedge, which occurs when there are two ascending converging trendlines. This pattern is also considered bearish, and in most cases, its completion leads to a breakout in the direction of the prevailing trend.

ETH价格图表上出现的另一种模式是上升的楔形,这是在有两个升级的趋势线时发生的。这种模式也被认为是看跌,在大多数情况下,其完成会导致朝着现行趋势的方向突破。

Lastly, the Ethereum price chart also forms a bearish pennant pattern, which comprises a long vertical line and a triangle forming after the pole. In most cases, when this pattern completes, it tends to break out in the direction of the prevailing trend.

最后,以太坊价格图还形成了看跌五角旗的图案,该图案包括长垂直线和杆子后形成的三角形。在大多数情况下,当这种模式完成时,它往往会朝着现行趋势的方向爆发。

Considering these patterns and the bearish continuation nature of both the rising wedge and bearish pennant, we can anticipate further downside pressure on ETH price.

考虑到这些模式以及上升的楔形和看跌tenant的看跌延续性,我们可以预料到ETH价格的进一步下行压力。

The next level to watch on the downside for ETH price is $2,166, which acted as the monthly low in March. A break below this level could lead to further declines, potentially targeting the round level of $2,000.

值得关注的ETH价格的下一个水平为2,166美元,这是3月的每月低点。低于此水平的休息可能会导致进一步的下降,可能针对2,000美元的回合水平。

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