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以太坊(ETH)是加密貨幣的第二大硬幣,週一退回至2,670美元,比12月的最高水平下降了35%以上。
Ethereum (ETH) price continued its lackluster performance on Monday, trading at $2,670, down by more than 35% from December’s highs. As the second-biggest cryptocurrency struggles with strong competition in the blockchain industry, three risky chart patterns are emerging. These patterns suggest that ETH price may experience a 20% crash soon.
以太坊(ETH)的價格在周一繼續表現不足,交易價格為2,670美元,比12月的高點下降了35%以上。隨著第二大加密貨幣在區塊鏈行業的激烈競爭中掙扎,出現了三種風險的圖表模式。這些模式表明,ETH價格很快可能會發生20%的崩潰。
Ethereum price faces strong competition and outflows from ETFs
以太坊價格面臨著強烈的競爭和ETF的流出
ETH price is facing increasing competition in the blockchain industry, particularly from layer-1 networks such as Berachain (BERA), Solana (SOL), and BNB Smart Chain (BNB). Despite expanding its capacity with layer-2 blockchains like Base and Arbitrum, Ethereum is losing market share in decentralized exchange (DEX) volumes.
ETH Price面臨著區塊鏈行業的競爭,特別是從Berachain(Bera),Solana(Sol)(Sol)和BNB Smart Chain(BNB)等第1層網絡。儘管以基本和仲裁等第2層區塊鏈的能力擴大了能力,但以太坊仍在分散交易所(DEX)卷中失去市場份額。
DEX protocols on Ethereum handled volumes of $81 billion in the past 30 days. At the same time, layer-2 networks like Base (BASE) and Arbitrum (ARB) processed $35 billion and $28 billion, respectively.
在過去30天內,關於以太坊的DEX協議處理了810億美元的捲。同時,基本(基礎)和仲裁(ARB)等第2層網絡分別處理了350億美元和280億美元。
Third-party data also reveals that Ethereum ETFs are not attracting as much interest as anticipated. In the past two trading days, they have experienced outflows, bringing the total cumulative outflows to $3.15 billion. In contrast, Bitcoin ETFs have seen massive inflows of almost $40 billion.
第三方數據還表明,以太坊ETF吸引了預期的興趣那麼多。在過去的兩個交易日中,他們經歷了流出,使總累積外流達到31.5億美元。相反,比特幣ETF的大量流入近400億美元。
Moreover, Ethereum’s daily trading volume has continued to decrease, reaching $126 billion and dropping from December’s highs of $330 billion. Its revenue has also seen a significant decline, reaching $5 million on Sunday and falling from over $58 million in November last year.
此外,以太坊的日常交易量繼續減少,達到1,260億美元,並從12月的3300億美元高點下降。它的收入也顯著下降,週日達到500萬美元,從去年11月的5800萬美元下降。
Finally, Ethereum’s futures open interest has crashed from its 2024 highs, now showing an interest of $23.3 billion, down from this month’s highs of $35 billion.
最終,以太坊的期貨開放興趣從2024年的高點開始崩潰,現在顯示出233億美元的利息,低於本月的350億美元。
Three risky Ethereum price patterns to watch
三種有風險的以太坊價格模式要觀看
Observing the daily chart, the Ethereum price seems to be set up for further declines. On February 9, a death cross occurred as the 50-day and 200-day Weighted Moving Averages (WMA) crossed each other on the daily chart.
在觀察每日圖表時,以太坊價格似乎是為了進一步下降。 2月9日,隨著50天和200天的加權移動平均(WMA)在每日圖表上互相跨越。
Usually, a death cross, where the short-term moving average crosses below the long-term moving average, is considered a bearish signal by technical analysts.
通常,技術分析師將短期移動平均線橫穿長期移動平均線以下的死亡十字架被認為是看跌信號。
Another pattern emerging on the ETH price chart is the rising wedge, which occurs when there are two ascending converging trendlines. This pattern is also considered bearish, and in most cases, its completion leads to a breakout in the direction of the prevailing trend.
ETH價格圖表上出現的另一種模式是上升的楔形,這是在有兩個升級的趨勢線時發生的。這種模式也被認為是看跌,在大多數情況下,其完成會導致朝著現行趨勢的方向突破。
Lastly, the Ethereum price chart also forms a bearish pennant pattern, which comprises a long vertical line and a triangle forming after the pole. In most cases, when this pattern completes, it tends to break out in the direction of the prevailing trend.
最後,以太坊價格圖還形成了看跌五角旗的圖案,該圖案包括長垂直線和桿子後形成的三角形。在大多數情況下,當這種模式完成時,它往往會朝著現行趨勢的方向爆發。
Considering these patterns and the bearish continuation nature of both the rising wedge and bearish pennant, we can anticipate further downside pressure on ETH price.
考慮到這些模式以及上升的楔形和看跌tenant的看跌延續性,我們可以預料到ETH價格的進一步下行壓力。
The next level to watch on the downside for ETH price is $2,166, which acted as the monthly low in March. A break below this level could lead to further declines, potentially targeting the round level of $2,000.
值得關注的ETH價格的下一個水平為2,166美元,這是3月的每月低點。低於此水平的休息可能會導致進一步的下降,可能針對2,000美元的回合水平。
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