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以太坊(ETH)是市场资本化的第二大加密货币,正面临着销售压力的增加,努力维持价格水平以上$ 1800。
The second-largest cryptocurrency, Ethereum (ETH), is faced with increasing selling pressure as it struggles to stay above the $1,800 price level. This downward trend is unfolding as investors are seen pivoting back into Bitcoin (BTC), which recently touched the $84,000 mark.
第二大加密货币以太坊(ETH)面临着销售压力的增加,因为它努力保持高于1,800美元的价格水平。随着投资者被旋转回比特币(BTC),这种下降趋势正在发展,该投资者最近触及了84,000美元的成绩。
This selling pressure on Ethereum could worsen if the price drops below $1,600, putting 8.73 million ETH addresses, currently holding 3.61 million ETH in the $1,596 – $1,790 accumulation zone, into liquidation.
如果价格下跌以下1,600美元以下,将873万座地址降至1,600美元以下,目前持有361万ETH的销售压力可能会加剧,目前在1,596美元 - 1,790美元的累积区中持有361万ETH,将其付诸实践。
What’s more, institutional interest in Ethereum has fizzled in recent weeks, with several key metrics indicating a lack of institutional demand for ETH at current price levels.
更重要的是,最近几周对以太坊的机构兴趣逐渐消失,其中几个关键指标表明在当前价格水平上对ETH的机构需求不足。
Why Is Ethereum’s Price Declining?
为什么以太坊的价格下降?
Ethereum’s price struggles are driven by several key factors, including:
以太坊的价格斗争是由几个关键因素驱动的,包括:
Growing Regulatory Uncertainty: The nomination of Paul Atkins as the new SEC chair was initially seen as a positive development for crypto. However, opposition from Congress due to concerns over potential conflicts of interest has clouded the regulatory landscape. This pushes pro-crypto policies, such as Trump’s proposal to include ETH in the Crypto Strategic Reserve, at risk of delay or rejection.
越来越多的监管不确定性:作为新的SEC主席的提名保罗·阿特金斯(Paul Atkins)最初被视为加密货币的积极发展。但是,由于对潜在利益冲突的担忧,国会的反对使监管局势蒙上了阴影。这推动了亲克赖特(Crypto)政策,例如特朗普(Trump)将ETH纳入加密战略储备中的提议,面临延迟或拒绝的风险。
As a result, investors are adopting a more risk-averse approach, seeking refuge in Bitcoin, which is viewed as a more stable asset in times of uncertainty.
结果,投资者正在采用一种更具风险的方法,寻求比特币的避难所,在不确定性时期,这被视为一种更稳定的资产。
Bitcoin’s recent price surge to $84,000 has further diverted capital from Ethereum, leading to weaker demand for ETH and more price pressure.
比特币最近的价格上涨至84,000美元,已进一步从以太坊转移了资金,导致对ETH的需求较弱和价格压力更大。
Ethereum Price Analysis: March 30
以太坊价格分析:3月30日
On the technical front, Ethereum is currently trading below several key resistance levels, and market trends suggest further downside risks. The asset struggled to break past the $1,800 mark, indicating weakening bullish momentum.
在技术方面,以太坊目前的交易低于几个关键的阻力水平,市场趋势表明进一步的下行风险。资产努力超越了1,800美元的大关,表明看涨的势头减弱。
What’s more, the daily trading volume in Ethereum’s spot market dropped by 26% in the last 24 hours, signaling a lack of strong buying interest at current price levels.
更重要的是,以太坊现货市场的每日交易量在过去24小时内下降了26%,这表明在当前价格水平上缺乏强大的购买兴趣。
Key Support and Resistance Levels:
关键支持和阻力水平:
$2,000: A key psychological resistance level that could spark a fresh wave of bullish interest if reached.
$ 2,000:一个关键的心理阻力水平,如果达到的话,可能会引发新的看涨兴趣。
$1,800: A strong resistance zone that has stalled Ethereum’s recent recovery attempts.
$ 1,800:一个强大的阻力区,使以太坊最近的恢复尝试停滞了。
$1,600: A crucial support level to watch out for. Breaking below this level could invite more selling pressure and open the door for a deeper correction towards $1,500 or lower.
$ 1,600:要注意的关键支持水平。突破此水平以下可能会引起更多的销售压力,并打开门,以更深入的更正至1,500美元或更低。
8.73 Million ETH Addresses at Risk
873万ETH处于危险之中
Zoom in on the lower time frame, and the picture for long-term Ethereum holders becomes bleaker. On-chain data from IntoTheBlock reveals that 8.73 million ETH addresses are currently holding their coins in the $1,596 – $1,790 range. This capital at risk is a staggering 3.61 million ETH.
放大较低的时间范围,长期以太坊持有者的图片变得黯淡。来自Intotheblock的链链数据表明,目前有873万个ETH地址在1,596美元至1,790美元的范围内持有硬币。这项处于风险的资本是一个惊人的361万ETH。
Crucially, if the price drops below $1,600, many of these addresses could be pushed into liquidation. This could trigger a vicious cycle of more selling pressure and further price declines, spelling trouble for already burdened ETH holders.
至关重要的是,如果价格下跌低于1,600美元,则其中许多地址可能会被推入清算。这可能会触发一个更大的销售压力和进一步下降的恶性循环,这给已经负担重的ETH持有人带来了麻烦。
Impact of Weak Institutional Demand
机构需求弱的影响
Institutional interest in Ethereum has also dwindled in recent weeks, with several key metrics signaling a lack of institutional demand for ETH at current price levels. Several factors contribute to this decline:
最近几周,对以太坊的机构兴趣也会减少,几个关键指标表明,在当前价格水平上对ETH的机构需求不足。有几个因素导致这种下降:
ETH vs. BTC: A Shift in Investor Sentiment
ETH与BTC:投资者情绪的转变
Historically, Ethereum and Bitcoin have shared a strong correlation, with ETH often following BTC’s price movements. However, the recent market dynamics indicate a shift in investor sentiment.
从历史上看,以太坊和比特币具有很强的相关性,ETH经常跟随BTC的价格变动。但是,最近的市场动态表明投资者情绪发生了变化。
While Bitcoin has sustained a strong upward trajectory, Ethereum has struggled to attract buyers, reflecting a growing preference for BTC as a store of value during times of economic uncertainty. This divergence highlights the fragility of Ethereum’s short-term prospects.
尽管比特币具有强大的向上轨迹,但以太坊一直在努力吸引买家,这反映了对BTC作为经济不确定性时期的价值储存的越来越多。这种差异凸显了以太坊短期前景的脆弱性。
ETH Price Forecast: Risks of a Breakdown Below $1,750
ETH价格预测:细分低于$ 1,750的风险
To sum up, Ethereum is currently facing significant headwinds as it trades at $1,808.82. Technical indicators suggest further downside risks, especially if ETH fails to hold above the $1,750 support level. A breakdown below this level could invite a steeper decline towards $1,600 or lower.
总而言之,以太坊目前面临重大的逆风,因为它的交易价格为1,808.82美元。技术指标提出了进一步的下行风险,尤其是如果ETH未能超过1,750美元的支持水平。低于此水平的故障可能会使急剧下降到1,600美元或更低。
This move would put millions of ETH holders in the $1,596 – $1,790 accumulation zone at risk of liquidation, potentially triggering a cascade of sell-offs and accelerating the bear market.
这一举动将使数百万的ETH持有人在1,596美元至1,790美元的累积区中面临着清算风险,有可能触发一系列抛售并加速熊市。
Several bearish indicators support this outlook:
几个看跌指标支持这种看法:
Despite the recent bullish narrative surrounding crypto, the broader market trends suggest otherwise. The market cap of the total crypto market has dropped by 2.24% in the last 24 hours, signaling a lack of overall strength.
尽管最近围绕加密货币的看涨叙述,但更广泛的市场趋势暗示了相反。在过去的24小时内,总加密货币市场的市值下降了2.24%,这表明缺乏总体力量。
Moreover, the crypto market volume has decreased by 20.34% in the past 24 hours, indicating reduced trading activity and weaker interest in cryptocurrencies at current price levels.
此外,在过去的24小时内,加密货币市场量减少了20.34%,这表明交易活动减少,对加密货币的兴趣较弱。
This lack of volume could be attributed
缺乏卷可以归因于
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