以太坊 ETF 审批机会因监管障碍和政治压力而陷入困境

在人们对美国批准的以太坊 ETF 的预期不断波动的情况下，分析师提出了一个发人深省的现实检验，并预测由于监管障碍和政治压力，获得批准的机会很小。然而，Solana 首席执行官 Anatoly Yakovenko 通过他虚构的“BunkerCoin”提供了一个幽默的喘息机会，展示了愚人节加密货币领导者的顽皮精神。

Ethereum ETF Approval Chances Dwindle Amid Regulatory Woes and Political Pressures

由于监管困境和政治压力，以太坊 ETF 的批准机会减少

In a sobering twist to the roller-coaster ride of expectations for a U.S.-approved Ethereum ETF, Bloomberg analyst James Seyffart's April Fools' Day prank of predicting a 99% probability of approval has been met with a stern reality check from industry experts.

彭博社分析师 James Seyffart 的愚人节恶作剧预测美国批准以太坊 ETF 的概率为 99%，但这一恶作剧却遭到了行业专家的严厉现实检验。

James Seyffart, a Bloomberg analyst, indulged in an April Fools' Day prank by predicting a 99% likelihood of Ethereum ETF approval, igniting excitement within the cryptocurrency community. However, his lighthearted forecast stands in stark contrast to the pessimistic outlook emerging from analysts and regulatory bodies.

彭博社分析师 James Seyffart 陷入愚人节恶作剧，预测以太坊 ETF 获得批准的可能性为 99%，引发了加密货币社区的兴奋。然而，他轻松的预测与分析师和监管机构的悲观前景形成鲜明对比。

Bitwise, a cryptocurrency asset manager, recently submitted an Ethereum ETF application to the U.S. Securities & Exchange Commission (SEC), reigniting hopes for an ETF approval. However, Bloomberg's senior ETF analyst, Eric Balchunas, swiftly poured cold water on Bitwise's efforts, asserting that the chances of approval remain at a "pessimistic" 25%. Balchunas went so far as to suggest that he might even assign a lower probability if necessary.

加密货币资产管理公司 Bitwise 最近向美国证券交易委员会 (SEC) 提交了以太坊 ETF 申请，重新点燃了 ETF 获得批准的希望。然而，彭博社的高级 ETF 分析师 Eric Balchunas 很快就给 Bitwise 的努力泼了冷水，声称获得批准的机会仍处于“悲观”的 25%。巴尔丘纳斯甚至表示，如果有必要，他甚至可能会给出更低的概率。

"Again, personally, I want them to approve, but I also want to get the call right so we will be a perfect 4 for 4 in crypto ETF predictions," Balchunas remarked.

Balchunas 表示：“就我个人而言，我再次希望他们能够批准，但我也希望做出正确的决定，以便我们在加密 ETF 预测中成为完美的 4 对 4。”

The SEC's recent postponement of decisions on several Ethereum ETF proposals has further dampened spirits, casting a pall over the prospects of approval. Legal analyst Jake Chervinsky speculates that political pressure may be a significant factor behind the SEC's reluctance.

美国证券交易委员会最近推迟对几项以太坊 ETF 提案做出决定，进一步打击了人们的情绪，给批准的前景蒙上了阴影。法律分析师 Jake Chervinsky 推测，政治压力可能是 SEC 不情愿的一个重要因素。

Adding to the complexities, there are reports that the SEC intends to classify Ethereum, the second-largest cryptocurrency, as a security, a move that could further complicate the approval process.

雪上加霜的是，有报道称，美国证券交易委员会打算将第二大加密货币以太坊归类为证券，此举可能会使审批流程进一步复杂化。

Despite these setbacks, there remains a glimmer of optimism. Larry Fink, CEO of financial behemoth BlackRock, recently expressed his belief that a spot Ethereum ETF could be approved, even if the cryptocurrency is deemed a security. BlackRock itself filed for an Ethereum ETF in November, based on spot prices.

尽管遇到这些挫折，但仍然存在一线乐观情绪。金融巨头贝莱德首席执行官拉里·芬克(Larry Fink)最近表示，他相信现货以太坊ETF可能会获得批准，即使加密货币被视为证券。贝莱德本身于 11 月根据现货价格申请了以太坊 ETF。

In a positive development, the SEC approved several spot Bitcoin ETFs in January, backed by prominent names such as BlackRock and Fidelity.

一个积极的进展是，美国证券交易委员会 (SEC) 在 1 月份批准了几只现货比特币 ETF，并得到了贝莱德 (BlackRock) 和富达 (Fidelity) 等知名公司的支持。

Solana CEO's April Fools' Day Jest: BunkerCoin, a Low-Bandwidth Blockchain

Solana 首席执行官的愚人节玩笑：BunkerCoin，一种低带宽区块链

In the realm of April Fools' Day revelry, Solana Labs CEO Anatoly Yakovenko has injected a playful twist with the unveiling of "BunkerCoin," a tongue-in-cheek cryptocurrency designed for low-bandwidth networks.

在愚人节狂欢的领域，Solana Labs 首席执行官 Anatoly Yakovenko 推出了“BunkerCoin”，这是一种专为低带宽网络设计的半开玩笑的加密货币，注入了有趣的元素。

Yakovenko released a mock whitepaper for BunkerCoin, poking fun at the mainstream adoption of cryptocurrencies. "If you are into mainstream adoption, pivot to bunkers," he quipped on his X social media profile.

Yakovenko 发布了 BunkerCoin 的模拟白皮书，嘲笑加密货币的主流采用。 “如果你想成为主流采用者，那就转向掩体吧，”他在自己的 X 社交媒体资料中打趣道。

According to Yakovenko's whimsical concept, BunkerCoin is a "groundbreaking blockchain protocol designed to operate under the constraints of low bandwidth networks." The coin is envisioned to operate via shortwave radio channels.

根据 Yakovenko 的异想天开的概念，BunkerCoin 是一个“突破性的区块链协议，旨在在低带宽网络的限制下运行”。该硬币预计将通过短波无线电频道运行。

Miners would be incentivized to confirm blocks and maintain network security using "a novel proof of elapsed time verifiable delay function (VDF)." The protocol's consensus mechanism would be based on the Nakamoto-style longest chain rule, ensuring agreement among all nodes on the definitive version of the blockchain.

矿工将被激励使用“经过时间可验证延迟函数（VDF）的新颖证明”来确认区块并维护网络安全。该协议的共识机制将基于中本聪式的最长链规则，确保所有节点就区块链的最终版本达成一致。

The mock cryptocurrency is intended to provide stable communication in "bandwidth-constrained environments." Yakovenko's tongue-in-cheek creation is a lighthearted reminder that the cryptocurrency landscape is not devoid of humor.

模拟加密货币旨在在“带宽受限的环境”中提供稳定的通信。雅科文科半开玩笑的创作轻松地提醒人们，加密货币领域并不缺乏幽默。

It is crucial to note that BunkerCoin is purely a joke. Any BunkerCoins that may surface following Yakovenko's post should be regarded as scams.

值得注意的是，BunkerCoin 纯粹是一个笑话。雅科文科发帖后可能出现的任何邦克币都应被视为诈骗。