以太坊 ETF 審批機會因監管障礙和政治壓力而陷入困境

在人們對美國批准的以太坊 ETF 的預期不斷波動的情況下，分析師提出了一個發人深省的現實檢驗，並預測由於監管障礙和政治壓力，獲得批准的機會很小。然而，Solana 執行長 Anatoly Yakovenko 透過他虛構的「BunkerCoin」提供了一個幽默的喘息機會，展示了愚人節加密貨幣領導者的頑皮精神。

Ethereum ETF Approval Chances Dwindle Amid Regulatory Woes and Political Pressures

由於監管困境和政治壓力，以太坊 ETF 的批准機會減少

In a sobering twist to the roller-coaster ride of expectations for a U.S.-approved Ethereum ETF, Bloomberg analyst James Seyffart's April Fools' Day prank of predicting a 99% probability of approval has been met with a stern reality check from industry experts.

彭博分析師 James Seyffart 的愚人節惡作劇預測美國批准以太坊 ETF 的機率為 99%，但這一惡作劇卻遭到了行業專家的嚴厲現實檢驗。

James Seyffart, a Bloomberg analyst, indulged in an April Fools' Day prank by predicting a 99% likelihood of Ethereum ETF approval, igniting excitement within the cryptocurrency community. However, his lighthearted forecast stands in stark contrast to the pessimistic outlook emerging from analysts and regulatory bodies.

彭博分析師 James Seyffart 陷入愚人節惡作劇，預測以太坊 ETF 獲得批准的可能性為 99%，引發了加密貨幣社群的興奮。然而，他輕鬆的預測與分析師和監管機構的悲觀前景形成鮮明對比。

Bitwise, a cryptocurrency asset manager, recently submitted an Ethereum ETF application to the U.S. Securities & Exchange Commission (SEC), reigniting hopes for an ETF approval. However, Bloomberg's senior ETF analyst, Eric Balchunas, swiftly poured cold water on Bitwise's efforts, asserting that the chances of approval remain at a "pessimistic" 25%. Balchunas went so far as to suggest that he might even assign a lower probability if necessary.

加密貨幣資產管理公司 Bitwise 最近向美國證券交易委員會 (SEC) 提交了以太坊 ETF 申請，重新點燃了 ETF 獲得批准的希望。然而，彭博社的高級 ETF 分析師 Eric Balchunas 很快就為 Bitwise 的努力潑了冷水，聲稱獲得批准的機會仍處於「悲觀」的 25%。巴爾丘納斯甚至表示，如果有必要，他甚至可能會給出更低的機率。

"Again, personally, I want them to approve, but I also want to get the call right so we will be a perfect 4 for 4 in crypto ETF predictions," Balchunas remarked.

Balchunas 表示：“就我個人而言，我再次希望他們能夠批准，但我也希望做出正確的決定，以便我們在加密 ETF 預測中成為完美的 4 對 4。”

The SEC's recent postponement of decisions on several Ethereum ETF proposals has further dampened spirits, casting a pall over the prospects of approval. Legal analyst Jake Chervinsky speculates that political pressure may be a significant factor behind the SEC's reluctance.

美國證券交易委員會最近推遲對幾項以太坊 ETF 提案做出決定，進一步打擊了人們的情緒，給批准的前景蒙上了陰影。法律分析師 Jake Chervinsky 推測，政治壓力可能是 SEC 不情願的重要因素。

Adding to the complexities, there are reports that the SEC intends to classify Ethereum, the second-largest cryptocurrency, as a security, a move that could further complicate the approval process.

雪上加霜的是，有報告指出，美國證券交易委員會打算將第二大加密貨幣以太坊歸類為證券，此舉可能會使審批流程更加複雜。

Despite these setbacks, there remains a glimmer of optimism. Larry Fink, CEO of financial behemoth BlackRock, recently expressed his belief that a spot Ethereum ETF could be approved, even if the cryptocurrency is deemed a security. BlackRock itself filed for an Ethereum ETF in November, based on spot prices.

儘管遇到這些挫折，但仍存在一線樂觀情緒。金融巨頭貝萊德執行長拉里·芬克(Larry Fink)最近表示，他相信現貨以太坊ETF可能會獲得批准，即使加密貨幣被視為證券。貝萊德本身於 11 月根據現貨價格申請了以太坊 ETF。

In a positive development, the SEC approved several spot Bitcoin ETFs in January, backed by prominent names such as BlackRock and Fidelity.

一個積極的進展是，美國證券交易委員會 (SEC) 在 1 月批准了幾隻現貨比特幣 ETF，並得到了貝萊德 (BlackRock) 和富達 (Fidelity) 等知名公司的支持。

Solana CEO's April Fools' Day Jest: BunkerCoin, a Low-Bandwidth Blockchain

Solana 執行長的愚人節玩笑：BunkerCoin，一種低頻寬區塊鏈

In the realm of April Fools' Day revelry, Solana Labs CEO Anatoly Yakovenko has injected a playful twist with the unveiling of "BunkerCoin," a tongue-in-cheek cryptocurrency designed for low-bandwidth networks.

在愚人節狂歡的領域，Solana Labs 首席執行官 Anatoly Yakovenko 推出了“BunkerCoin”，這是一種專為低頻寬網路設計的半開玩笑的加密貨幣，注入了有趣的元素。

Yakovenko released a mock whitepaper for BunkerCoin, poking fun at the mainstream adoption of cryptocurrencies. "If you are into mainstream adoption, pivot to bunkers," he quipped on his X social media profile.

Yakovenko 發布了 BunkerCoin 的模擬白皮書，嘲笑加密貨幣的主流採用。 「如果你想成為主流採用者，那就轉向掩體吧，」他在自己的 X 社群媒體資料中打趣道。

According to Yakovenko's whimsical concept, BunkerCoin is a "groundbreaking blockchain protocol designed to operate under the constraints of low bandwidth networks." The coin is envisioned to operate via shortwave radio channels.

根據 Yakovenko 的異想天開的概念，BunkerCoin 是一個「突破性的區塊鏈協議，旨在以低頻寬網路的限制運行」。該硬幣預計將透過短波無線電頻道運作。

Miners would be incentivized to confirm blocks and maintain network security using "a novel proof of elapsed time verifiable delay function (VDF)." The protocol's consensus mechanism would be based on the Nakamoto-style longest chain rule, ensuring agreement among all nodes on the definitive version of the blockchain.

礦工將被激勵使用「經過時間可驗證延遲函數（VDF）的新穎證明」來確認區塊並維護網路安全。該協議的共識機制將基於中本聰式的最長鏈規則，確保所有節點就區塊鏈的最終版本達成協議。

The mock cryptocurrency is intended to provide stable communication in "bandwidth-constrained environments." Yakovenko's tongue-in-cheek creation is a lighthearted reminder that the cryptocurrency landscape is not devoid of humor.

模擬加密貨幣旨在在「頻寬受限的環境」中提供穩定的通訊。雅科文科半開玩笑的創作輕鬆提醒人們，加密貨幣領域並不缺乏幽默。

It is crucial to note that BunkerCoin is purely a joke. Any BunkerCoins that may surface following Yakovenko's post should be regarded as scams.

值得注意的是，BunkerCoin 純粹是個笑話。雅科文科發文後可能出現的任何邦克幣都應被視為詐騙。