2024 年选举困境：先发制人地宣布欺骗行为威胁选举基金会

在即将到来的 2024 年总统选举中，美国的民主面临着严重威胁。共和党候选人唐纳德·特朗普长期以来都会提前宣布他可能参加的任何竞选都是针对他的，以防万一他输了。这种行为模式在许多支持特朗普的共和党人中已经根深蒂固，他们现在质疑选举过程的完整性。特朗普无情地、毫无证据地声称普遍存在舞弊行为，加剧了人们对选举制度的缺乏信心，导致人们对美国民主的信任度下降。特朗普的支持者试图重新定义欺诈行为，包括邮寄投票、提前投票和无障碍投票站，而特朗普本人甚至将积极的经济数据斥为“虚假”和“被操纵”。

The Essence of a Dire Situation: The Impending Presidential Election of 2024

严峻形势的本质：即将到来的 2024 年总统选举

As the United States grapples with the impending presidential election of 2024, a profound challenge looms over the electoral process, threatening the very foundations of American democracy. The situation mirrors a disturbing coin toss scenario: with far more at stake than mere monetary gain, the rules are skewed to favor one side, casting a dark shadow over the legitimacy of the outcome.

美国正在努力应对即将到来的 2024 年总统选举，选举进程面临着深刻的挑战，威胁着美国民主的根基。这种情况反映了一种令人不安的掷硬币场景：利益攸关的不仅仅是金钱利益，规则偏向于一方，给结果的合法性蒙上了阴影。

The putative Republican candidate, Donald Trump, possesses a well-documented history of preemptively declaring any contest he enters as rigged against him, effectively hedging his bets in case of defeat. This strategy, akin to fluffing pillows in anticipation of a theatrical swoon, has become a consistent pattern in his political endeavors.

公认的共和党候选人唐纳德·特朗普(Donald Trump)有着有据可查的历史，他会先发制人地宣布他参加的任何一场竞选都是针对他的，在失败的情况下有效地对冲他的赌注。这种策略类似于在戏剧性的昏迷中抖松枕头，已成为他政治努力中的一贯模式。

During his 2016 presidential run, Trump alleged that the caucuses were rigged and that the general election was marred by widespread voter fraud, accusations devoid of any credible evidence. Republican leaders have largely aligned themselves with this rhetoric, echoing Trump's baseless claims in an apparent audition for his vice presidential selection.

在 2016 年总统竞选期间，特朗普声称预选会议受到操纵，大选因广泛的选民欺诈而受到损害，但这些指控没有任何可信的证据。共和党领导人在很大程度上赞同这种言论，呼应了特朗普在副总统选举的明显试镜中毫无根据的说法。

In the aftermath of his defeat by Joe Biden in 2020, Trump's accusations escalated into a full-blown assault on the electoral process, culminating in the abhorrent attack on the Capitol on January 6th, 2021. This societal manifestation of a "punch in the mouth" following a coin toss loss underscores the escalating stakes and the potential for even graver consequences in 2024.

2020年输给乔·拜登后，特朗普的指控升级为对选举进程的全面攻击，最终于2021年1月6日对国会大厦进行了令人发指的袭击。这种“打嘴巴”的社会表现“抛硬币失败之后，突显了赌注不断升级，以及 2024 年可能产生更严重后果的可能性。

Faith in the electoral process, the cornerstone of American democracy, has been relentlessly eroded by years of this baseless rhetoric. In the absence of any evidence of widespread fraud, many Trump-supporting Republicans have sought to redefine the concept of electoral integrity, labeling mail-in voting, early voting, and accessible polling places as fraudulent.

人们对选举过程的信心是美国民主的基石，但多年来这种毫无根据的言论无情地侵蚀了人们对选举过程的信心。在没有任何证据表明欺诈行为广泛存在的情况下，许多支持特朗普的共和党人试图重新定义选举诚信的概念，将邮寄投票、提前投票和无障碍投票站标记为欺诈行为。

Trump has extended his aspersions to the economy, dismissing positive job numbers as "fake" and "rigged," further blurring the lines between reality and deception. An external observer might reasonably question why Trump would persist in running for office if he is so adamant about the system being rigged. The answer lies in the insincerity of his accusations, a ruse designed to seize power regardless of the outcome.

特朗普将他的中伤延伸到了经济，将积极的就业数据斥为“虚假”和“操纵”，进一步模糊了现实与欺骗之间的界限。外部观察人士可能会合理地质疑，如果特朗普如此坚决地认为系统被操纵，为什么他还会坚持竞选公职。答案在于他的指控不真诚，这是一种不顾结果夺取权力的诡计。

This strategy of crying foul preemptively is not merely a cynical attempt to sow doubt and distrust; it is a deliberate ploy to manipulate the system. It is a form of gaslighting, a hall of mirrors that has ensnared millions of Americans, blinding them to the true nature of the threat. While some Republicans may have genuinely fallen for Trump's lies, their sincerity is ultimately irrelevant, akin to the online scammer who claims to be a prince despite their fraudulent intentions.

这种先发制人的策略不仅是一种愤世嫉俗的尝试，目的是散布怀疑和不信任；这是操纵系统的故意策略。这是一种煤气灯操纵的形式，是一个镜子大厅，已经让数百万美国人陷入困境，使他们看不到威胁的真正本质。虽然一些共和党人可能真的相信了特朗普的谎言，但他们的诚意最终是无关紧要的，就像网上骗子尽管有欺诈意图，却自称是王子。

At this critical juncture, the prospect of hope and solutions seems elusive. If presented with the coin toss scenario outlined at the outset, any rational individual would dismiss it with contempt and walk away. Yet, there is no escaping the impending election. November 5th, 2024, looms large, and the uncertainty surrounding its outcome casts a long shadow over the future of American democracy.

在这个关键时刻，希望和解决方案的前景似乎难以捉摸。如果呈现一开始概述的抛硬币场景，任何理性的人都会轻蔑地忽略它并走开。然而，即将到来的选举是不可避免的。 2024 年 11 月 5 日即将到来，其结果的不确定性给美国民主的未来投下了长长的阴影。