2024 年選舉困境：先發制人地宣布欺騙行為威脅選舉基金會

在即將到來的 2024 年總統大選中，美國的民主面臨嚴重威脅。共和黨候選人唐納德·川普長期以來都會提前宣布他可能參加的任何競選都是針對他的，以防萬一他輸了。這種行為模式在許多支持川普的共和黨人中已經根深蒂固，他們現在質疑選舉過程的完整性。川普無情地、毫無證據地聲稱普遍存在舞弊行為，加劇了人們對選舉制度的缺乏信心，導致人們對美國民主的信任度下降。川普的支持者試圖重新定義詐欺行為，包括郵寄投票、提前投票和無障礙投票站，而川普本人甚至將積極的經濟數據斥為「虛假」和「被操縱」。

The Essence of a Dire Situation: The Impending Presidential Election of 2024

嚴峻情勢的本質：即將到來的 2024 年總統選舉

As the United States grapples with the impending presidential election of 2024, a profound challenge looms over the electoral process, threatening the very foundations of American democracy. The situation mirrors a disturbing coin toss scenario: with far more at stake than mere monetary gain, the rules are skewed to favor one side, casting a dark shadow over the legitimacy of the outcome.

美國正努力應對即將到來的 2024 年總統選舉，選舉過程面臨著深刻的挑戰，威脅著美國民主的根基。這種情況反映了一種令人不安的擲硬幣場景：利益攸關的不僅僅是金錢利益，規則偏向於一方，給結果的合法性蒙上了陰影。

The putative Republican candidate, Donald Trump, possesses a well-documented history of preemptively declaring any contest he enters as rigged against him, effectively hedging his bets in case of defeat. This strategy, akin to fluffing pillows in anticipation of a theatrical swoon, has become a consistent pattern in his political endeavors.

公認的共和黨候選人唐納德·特朗普(Donald Trump)有著有據可查的歷史，他會先發製人地宣布他參加的任何一場競選都是針對他的，在失敗的情況下有效地對沖他的賭注。這種策略類似於在戲劇性的昏迷中抖松枕頭，已成為他政治努力中的一貫模式。

During his 2016 presidential run, Trump alleged that the caucuses were rigged and that the general election was marred by widespread voter fraud, accusations devoid of any credible evidence. Republican leaders have largely aligned themselves with this rhetoric, echoing Trump's baseless claims in an apparent audition for his vice presidential selection.

在 2016 年總統競選期間，川普聲稱預選會議受到操縱，大選因廣泛的選民欺詐而受到損害，但這些指控沒有任何可信的證據。共和黨領導人在很大程度上贊同這種言論，呼應了川普在副總統選舉的明顯試鏡中毫無根據的說法。

In the aftermath of his defeat by Joe Biden in 2020, Trump's accusations escalated into a full-blown assault on the electoral process, culminating in the abhorrent attack on the Capitol on January 6th, 2021. This societal manifestation of a "punch in the mouth" following a coin toss loss underscores the escalating stakes and the potential for even graver consequences in 2024.

2020年輸給喬·拜登後，川普的指控升級為對選舉進程的全面攻擊，最終於2021年1月6日對國會大廈進行了令人髮指的襲擊。社會表現「拋硬幣失敗之後，突顯了賭注不斷升級，以及 2024 年可能產生更嚴重後果的可能性。

Faith in the electoral process, the cornerstone of American democracy, has been relentlessly eroded by years of this baseless rhetoric. In the absence of any evidence of widespread fraud, many Trump-supporting Republicans have sought to redefine the concept of electoral integrity, labeling mail-in voting, early voting, and accessible polling places as fraudulent.

人們對選舉過程的信心是美國民主的基石，但多年來這種毫無根據的言論無情地侵蝕了人們對選舉過程的信心。在沒有任何證據表明欺詐行為廣泛存在的情況下，許多支持川普的共和黨人試圖重新定義選舉誠信的概念，將郵寄投票、提前投票和無障礙投票站標記為欺詐行為。

Trump has extended his aspersions to the economy, dismissing positive job numbers as "fake" and "rigged," further blurring the lines between reality and deception. An external observer might reasonably question why Trump would persist in running for office if he is so adamant about the system being rigged. The answer lies in the insincerity of his accusations, a ruse designed to seize power regardless of the outcome.

川普將他的中傷延伸到了經濟，將積極的就業數據斥為“虛假”和“操縱”，進一步模糊了現實與欺騙之間的界限。外部觀察家可能會合理地質疑，如果川普如此堅決地認為系統被操縱，為什麼他還會堅持競選公職。答案在於他的指控不真誠，這是不顧結果奪取權力的詭計。

This strategy of crying foul preemptively is not merely a cynical attempt to sow doubt and distrust; it is a deliberate ploy to manipulate the system. It is a form of gaslighting, a hall of mirrors that has ensnared millions of Americans, blinding them to the true nature of the threat. While some Republicans may have genuinely fallen for Trump's lies, their sincerity is ultimately irrelevant, akin to the online scammer who claims to be a prince despite their fraudulent intentions.

這種先發制人的策略不僅是一種憤世嫉俗的嘗試，目的是散播懷疑和不信任；這是操縱系統的故意策略。這是一種煤氣燈操縱的形式，是一個鏡子大廳，已經讓數百萬美國人陷入困境，使他們看不到威脅的真正本質。雖然有些共和黨人可能真的相信了川普的謊言，但他們的誠意最終是無關緊要的，就像網路騙子儘管有欺詐意圖，卻自稱是王子。

At this critical juncture, the prospect of hope and solutions seems elusive. If presented with the coin toss scenario outlined at the outset, any rational individual would dismiss it with contempt and walk away. Yet, there is no escaping the impending election. November 5th, 2024, looms large, and the uncertainty surrounding its outcome casts a long shadow over the future of American democracy.

在這個關鍵時刻，希望和解決方案的前景似乎難以捉摸。如果呈現一開始概述的拋硬幣場景，任何理性的人都會輕蔑地忽略它並走開。然而，即將到來的選舉是不可避免的。 2024 年 11 月 5 日即將到來，其結果的不確定性給美國民主的未來投下了長長的陰影。