以太坊（ETH）准备在2025年2月之前进行5,000美元的集会：这就是为什么

尽管以太坊在2025年到目前为止的表现相对平稳，但仍有新兴的迹象表明，2025年2月的集会即将到来至5,000美元。

After a lackluster 2024 and early 2025, there are emerging signs that might be signaling an impending rally for Ethereum (ETH) to reach $5,000 by February 2025. Despite a relatively flat performance so far in 2025, several indicators suggest a potential shift in the market.

在2024年和2025年初的平淡无奇之后，有一些新兴的迹象可能表明，到2025年2月，以太坊（ETH）即将到来的集会将达到5,000美元。尽管到目前为止迄今为止的表现相对平稳，有几个指标表明市场可能发生了潜在的转变。 。

After a period of price decline and consolidation, indicating an interesting shift in the market, Ethereum's price experienced a surge of 5.87% on January 31, 2025. Despite the rise in ETH price, the overall market remained in a state of caution.

在价格下降和合并一段时间后，这表明市场发生了有趣的转变，以太坊的价格在2025年1月31日的价格上涨了5.87％。尽管ETH价格上涨，但总体市场仍处于谨慎状态。

According to data from Santiment, this uptick in Ethereum's price triggered a massive capitulation, with 601 million ETH being exchanged at a loss. Capitulation is often viewed as a contrarian signal, indicating that short-term holders are abandoning their positions en masse, which could signal an impending trend reversal.

根据Santiment的数据，以太坊价格的上涨引发了大规模的投降，而6.01亿ETH则亏损。投降通常被视为逆势信号，表明短期持有人放弃了他们的立场，这可能表明即将趋势逆转。

This phenomenon aligns with previous observations in the market. For instance, in December 2023, a significant capitulation event preceded a substantial rally for Bitcoin (BTC).

这种现象与以前在市场上的观察结果保持一致。例如，在2023年12月，比特币（BTC）进行了重大集会之前。

Moreover, historically, Ethereum has seen significant uptrends following capitulation events. For example:

而且，从历史上看，以太坊在投降事件后看到了重大的上升趋势。例如：

These patterns suggest that after significant sell-offs, ETH often enters a phase of recovery and growth.

这些模式表明，经过重大抛售后，ETH经常进入恢复和增长的阶段。

Further supporting the idea of a reversal is the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) Ratio, which shows the average profit or loss of investors who bought ETH during different time periods. The 30-day, 60-day, and 90-day MVRV ratios indicate that short-term holders are facing losses, signaling potential capitulation. Specifically:

进一步支持逆转的想法是实现价值（MVRV）比率的市场价值，它显示了在不同时间段内购买ETH的投资者的平均利润或损失。 30天，60天和90天的MVRV比率表明，短期持有人面临损失，信号传递潜在的投降。具体来说：

This suggests that many investors who bought Ethereum in the past few months are now holding at a loss, increasing the likelihood of a price rebound as these holders capitulate and exit the market.

这表明，在过去几个月中购买以太坊的许多投资者现在一直在亏本，随着这些持有人屈服并退出市场，价格反弹的可能性增加了。

From a technical analysis perspective, Ethereum has formed a falling wedge pattern on its daily chart, which could signal a potential price breakout after a period of consolidation. Falling wedges are typically considered bullish patterns.

从技术分析的角度来看，以太坊在其每日图表上形成了下降的楔形模式，这可能标志着一段时间的合并后的潜在价格突破。掉落的楔子通​​常被认为是看涨的模式。

This formation is created by connecting Ethereum's four lower highs and three lower lows since December 16, 2024. Technical analysts usually derive a price target by adding the distance between the first swing high and swing low of the wedge to the breakout point.

自2024年12月16日以来，通过将以太坊的四个下部高点和三个较低的低点连接起来。技术分析师通常通过在楔形点上的第一个秋千和弯曲低点之间的距离来得出目标目标。

In this case, the price target would be $4,000 after a 17% rally from the breakout. If we apply this measure from the breakout around December 21, that would put ETH around $3,222 at the time of the breakout.

在这种情况下，距离突破的17％集会后，目标目标将为4,000美元。如果我们从12月21日左右的突破中采用此措施，那将使ETH在突破时将ETH约为3,222美元。

After clearing this level, the next key resistance would be at $3,592, followed by $3,975, and $4,069. Once these resistance levels are breached, ETH would be looking at its all-time high of $4,877.

清除此水平后，下一个关键阻力为3,592美元，其次是3,975美元和4,069美元。一旦这些阻力水平被违反了，ETH将考虑其历史最高的4,877美元。

After breaching the ATH, the next level of resistance would be at $5,000. If the market continues to support Ethereum's growth, the price could eventually reach this psychological level.

违反ATH之后，下一个阻力级别为5,000美元。如果市场继续支持以太坊的增长，价格最终可能达到这一心理水平。

Collectively, these indicators suggest a potential for significant price movement for Ethereum in the coming weeks, with a possibility of reaching $5,000 by February 2025.

总的来说，这些指标表明，在未来几周内，以太坊的价格转移有可能发生，可能在2025年2月之前达到5,000美元。