以太坊（ETH）準備在2025年2月之前進行5,000美元的集會：這就是為什麼

儘管以太坊在2025年到目前為止的表現相對平穩，但仍有新興的跡象表明，2025年2月的集會即將到來至5,000美元。

After a lackluster 2024 and early 2025, there are emerging signs that might be signaling an impending rally for Ethereum (ETH) to reach $5,000 by February 2025. Despite a relatively flat performance so far in 2025, several indicators suggest a potential shift in the market.

在2024年和2025年初的平淡無奇之後，有一些新興的跡象可能表明，到2025年2月，以太坊（ETH）即將到來的集會將達到5,000美元。儘管到目前為止迄今為止的表現相對平穩，有幾個指標表明市場可能發生了潛在的轉變。 。

After a period of price decline and consolidation, indicating an interesting shift in the market, Ethereum's price experienced a surge of 5.87% on January 31, 2025. Despite the rise in ETH price, the overall market remained in a state of caution.

在價格下降和合併一段時間後，這表明市場發生了有趣的轉變，以太坊的價格在2025年1月31日的價格上漲了5.87％。儘管ETH價格上漲，但總體市場仍處於謹慎狀態。

According to data from Santiment, this uptick in Ethereum's price triggered a massive capitulation, with 601 million ETH being exchanged at a loss. Capitulation is often viewed as a contrarian signal, indicating that short-term holders are abandoning their positions en masse, which could signal an impending trend reversal.

根據Santiment的數據，以太坊價格的上漲引發了大規模的投降，而6.01億ETH則虧損。投降通常被視為逆勢信號，表明短期持有人放棄了他們的立場，這可能表明即將趨勢逆轉。

This phenomenon aligns with previous observations in the market. For instance, in December 2023, a significant capitulation event preceded a substantial rally for Bitcoin (BTC).

這種現象與以前在市場上的觀察結果保持一致。例如，在2023年12月，比特幣（BTC）進行了重大集會之前。

Moreover, historically, Ethereum has seen significant uptrends following capitulation events. For example:

而且，從歷史上看，以太坊在投降事件後看到了重大的上升趨勢。例如：

These patterns suggest that after significant sell-offs, ETH often enters a phase of recovery and growth.

這些模式表明，經過重大拋售後，ETH經常進入恢復和增長的階段。

Further supporting the idea of a reversal is the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) Ratio, which shows the average profit or loss of investors who bought ETH during different time periods. The 30-day, 60-day, and 90-day MVRV ratios indicate that short-term holders are facing losses, signaling potential capitulation. Specifically:

進一步支持逆轉的想法是實現價值（MVRV）比率的市場價值，它顯示了在不同時間段內購買ETH的投資者的平均利潤或損失。 30天，60天和90天的MVRV比率表明，短期持有人面臨損失，信號傳遞潛在的投降。具體來說：

This suggests that many investors who bought Ethereum in the past few months are now holding at a loss, increasing the likelihood of a price rebound as these holders capitulate and exit the market.

這表明，在過去幾個月中購買以太坊的許多投資者現在一直在虧本，隨著這些持有人屈服並退出市場，價格反彈的可能性增加了。

From a technical analysis perspective, Ethereum has formed a falling wedge pattern on its daily chart, which could signal a potential price breakout after a period of consolidation. Falling wedges are typically considered bullish patterns.

從技術分析的角度來看，以太坊在其每日圖表上形成了下降的楔形模式，這可能標誌著一段時間的合併後的潛在價格突破。掉落的楔子通​​常被認為是看漲的模式。

This formation is created by connecting Ethereum's four lower highs and three lower lows since December 16, 2024. Technical analysts usually derive a price target by adding the distance between the first swing high and swing low of the wedge to the breakout point.

自2024年12月16日以來，通過將以太坊的四個下部高點和三個較低的低點連接起來。技術分析師通常通過在楔形點上的第一個鞦韆和彎曲低點之間的距離來得出目標目標。

In this case, the price target would be $4,000 after a 17% rally from the breakout. If we apply this measure from the breakout around December 21, that would put ETH around $3,222 at the time of the breakout.

在這種情況下，距離突破的17％集會後，目標目標將為4,000美元。如果我們從12月21日左右的突破中採用此措施，那將使ETH在突破時將ETH約為3,222美元。

After clearing this level, the next key resistance would be at $3,592, followed by $3,975, and $4,069. Once these resistance levels are breached, ETH would be looking at its all-time high of $4,877.

清除此水平後，下一個關鍵阻力為3,592美元，其次是3,975美元和4,069美元。一旦這些阻力水平被違反了，ETH將考慮其歷史最高的4,877美元。

After breaching the ATH, the next level of resistance would be at $5,000. If the market continues to support Ethereum's growth, the price could eventually reach this psychological level.

違反ATH之後，下一個阻力級別為5,000美元。如果市場繼續支持以太坊的增長，價格最終可能達到這一心理水平。

Collectively, these indicators suggest a potential for significant price movement for Ethereum in the coming weeks, with a possibility of reaching $5,000 by February 2025.

總的來說，這些指標表明，在未來幾週內，以太坊的價格轉移有可能發生，可能在2025年2月之前達到5,000美元。