唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）的解放日关税使全球金融市场蓬勃发展

唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）的解放日关税使全球金融市场蓬勃发展，甚至在周四的黄金（$ xau）之类的风险避风港资产下降。

Donald Trump's Liberation Day tariffs have sent global financial markets tumbling, with even risk-haven assets like Gold (XAU) sharply lower on Thursday.

唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）的解放日关税使全球金融市场蓬勃发展，甚至在周四的黄金（XAU）等风险资产中也急剧下降。

Experts like Wedbush's Dan Ives have described Trump's tariffs as "worse than the worst-case scenario" expected by the market. Major stock indices are deep in the red, with the S&P 500 down 4.6% and the tech-heavy Nasdaq sliding 5% on the day.

像Wedbush的丹·艾夫斯（Dan Ives）这样的专家将特朗普的关税称为“比市场预期的最差情况”。主要的库存指数深入红色，标准普尔500指数下跌4.6％，当天较重的纳斯达克滑行5％。

Crypto prices have crashed as well, even though Bitcoin (BTC) has impressed some with its resilience, trading above the $81,600 support at press time. Altcoins, on the other hand, are faring much worse, with Pi, Hyperliquid, Pepe and Fartcoin among the worst performers.

即使比特币（BTC）的弹性给一些人留下了深刻的印象，即使比特币（BTC）在发稿时的支持高于81,600美元的支持以上，但加密价格也崩溃了。另一方面，AltCoins的表现要差得多，表现最差的人，PI，Hyproliquid，Pepe和Fartcoin。

Yet, Bitcoin price predictions from prominent analysts suggest that the crypto market is days away from a bullish reversal and the next "up only" rally.

然而，著名分析师的比特币价格预测表明，加密货币市场距离看涨的逆转和下一个“仅”集会距离几天。

What Trump's Tariffs Mean For Bitcoin?

特朗普的关税对比特币意味着什么？

Bitcoin continues to have a strong correlation with US equities, particularly the tech-heavy NASDAQ 100.

比特币继续与美国股票（尤其是纳斯达克高科技100号技术）有着密切的关联。

Unsurprisingly, it is reacting negatively to Trump's steep tariffs on major including partners, including 54% on China, 46% on Vietnam, 32% on Taiwan, 26% on India and 20% on the European Union. The president also announced a 10% baseline tariff on all nations.

毫不奇怪，它对包括副伙伴在内的特朗普对少校的巨大关税产生了负面反应，其中包括中国的54％，越南的46％，台湾的32％，印度26％，欧盟为20％。总统还宣布对所有国家都有10％的基准关税。

The steep tariff hikes have sparked fresh stagflation fears — a troubling mix of high inflation and sluggish economic growth.

陡峭的关税远足引发了新的停滞恐惧，这令人不安地融合了高通货膨胀和经济增长缓慢。

For instance, the US Dollar (DXY) is down by 1.6% on Thursday, indicating that investors aren't bullish on the US growth prospects and anticipate looser monetary policy from the Federal Reserve this year. The weakness in the dollar is counter-intuitive since usually the currency of tariff imposing country rises. Seems investors are more focused on potential weakness in US growth as a result of tariffs. It's a substantial regressive tax – about 2% of GDP.

例如，美元（DXY）周四下跌了1.6％，表明投资者并不乐观美国的增长前景，并预计今年美联储今年将从美联储获得更宽松的货币政策。美元的弱点是违反直觉的，因为通常是关税施加的国家的货币上升。由于关税，投资者似乎更专注于美国增长的潜在弱点。这是一项重大的回归税 - 约占GDP的2％。

Industrial commodities like Oil and Copper are also down, a sign of the aforemention recession worries.

石油和铜等工业商品也已经下降，这是上述经济衰退的标志。

With Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick claiming that Trump wouldn't back down on tariffs, equities and crypto prices could extend their decline in the coming days.

在商务部长霍华德·卢特尼克（Howard Lutnick）声称，特朗普不会拒绝关税，股票和加密价格可能会延长未来几天的下降。

However, several macroeconomic experts are still confident that a crypto bull rally is imminent.

但是，几位宏观经济专家仍然有信心即将进行加密公牛集会。

Bitcoin Price Prediction – When Will The Crypto Market Recover?

比特币价格预测 - 加密市场何时恢复？

Every recent Bitcoin bottom is formed out of bad news. Could it be that Donald Trump's Liberation Day tariffs lead to a macro bottom?

最近的每个比特币底部都是出于坏消息。难道唐纳德·特朗普的解放日关税导致了宏观底层吗？

The steep tariffs on certain trading partners, including the 54% tariff on China, have led experts to believe that the President isn't serious about sticking with these rates long term.

某些贸易伙伴的巨大关税，包括中国的54％关税，使专家认为总统长期坚持这些利率并不认真。

Moreover, Trump's announcement could force the Federal Reserve's hand, accelerating the case for rate cuts. Interest rate traders are now pricing in 3 rate cuts this year, up from one.

此外，特朗普的宣布可能会迫使美联储的手加速降低税率。利率交易者现在的价格为今年的3次降价，高于1。

Crucially, GMI's Head of Macro Research Julien Bittel had projected that the Bitcoin price would bottom in the first week of April, citing the soaring global liquidity. Indeed, the Global M2 money supply has an extremely strong correlation with BTC, with a ~12-week lag.

至关重要的是，GMI宏观研究负责人Julien Bittel预计，比特币价格将在4月的第一周最低，理由是全球流动性高涨。实际上，全球M2货币供应与BTC的相关性非常密切，约为12周的滞后。

Considering that the Global M2 has been rallying since early January, the Bitcoin price could see a bullish reversal as early as the second week of May.

考虑到自1月初以来全球M2一直在集会，比特币价格早在5月的第二周就可能会逆转。

Bitcoin price predictions from prominent analysts like Fundstrat's Tom Lee suggest that the largest cryptocurrency will hit $150,000 in 2025. Dips in the $75,000 - $80,000 range are excellent buying opportunities.

来自Fundstrat的汤姆·李（Tom Lee）等著名分析师的比特币价格预测表明，最大的加密货币将在2025年达到150,000美元。在$ 75,000- $ 80,000范围内下降是绝佳的购买机会。

These Cryptos Could See The Most Demand

这些加密货币可能看到的最高需求

Experts expect the tariff uncertainty to supercharge the demand for Bitcoin over altcoins. Experts suggest that the Bitcoin Dominance is trending upwards again and could hit 66 - 71% in the coming week.

专家预计，关税不确定性可以增强对比特币对替代币的需求。专家认为，比特币的优势越来越高，并且在未来一周可能会达到66-71％。

Altcoins showing a strong correlation to BTC are also among the best cryptos to buy now.

与BTC相关的山寨币也是现在购买的最佳加密货币之一。

For instance, Fartcoin (FRT) has emerged as an excellent beta play on Bitcoin. The Fartcoin price has declined sharply in correlation to BTC but continues to hold above the $0.33 swing low, preserving the bullish market structure.

例如，Fartcoin（FRT）已成为比特币上出色的Beta游戏。 Fartcoin价格与BTC的相关性急剧下降，但仍在低于0.33美元的摇摆不足之上，保留了看涨的市场结构。

Smart money investors could also continue to bet on low-caps. The recent $ROUTINE, $GHIBLI and $TITCOIN explosive rallies indicate that small-cap cryptos won't be impacted by the broader market outlook and continue to offer 100x opportunities.

聪明的货币投资者也可以继续赌注低帽子。最近的$ ghibli $ ghibli和$ titcoin爆炸性集会表明，小型加密货币不会受到更广泛的市场前景的影响，并继续提供100倍的机会。

Investors are now eyeing Solaxy (SOLX) as the next potential 10x crypto. The first-ever prominent Solana layer-2 coin has raised nearly $30 million in its ICO behind continuous six-figure investments from whales.

现在，投资者将Solaxy（Solx）视为下一个潜在的10倍加密。有史以来第一个著名的Solana第2款硬币已在鲸鱼的连续六位数投资后筹集了将近3000万美元的ICO。

Solaxy's zero-

Solaxy的零 -