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唐納德·特朗普(Donald Trump)的解放日關稅使全球金融市場蓬勃發展,甚至在周四的黃金($ xau)之類的風險避風港資產下降。
Donald Trump's Liberation Day tariffs have sent global financial markets tumbling, with even risk-haven assets like Gold (XAU) sharply lower on Thursday.
唐納德·特朗普(Donald Trump)的解放日關稅使全球金融市場蓬勃發展,甚至在周四的黃金(XAU)等風險資產中也急劇下降。
Experts like Wedbush's Dan Ives have described Trump's tariffs as "worse than the worst-case scenario" expected by the market. Major stock indices are deep in the red, with the S&P 500 down 4.6% and the tech-heavy Nasdaq sliding 5% on the day.
像Wedbush的丹·艾夫斯(Dan Ives)這樣的專家將特朗普的關稅稱為“比市場預期的最差情況”。主要的庫存指數深入紅色,標準普爾500指數下跌4.6%,當天較重的納斯達克滑行5%。
Crypto prices have crashed as well, even though Bitcoin (BTC) has impressed some with its resilience, trading above the $81,600 support at press time. Altcoins, on the other hand, are faring much worse, with Pi, Hyperliquid, Pepe and Fartcoin among the worst performers.
即使比特幣(BTC)的彈性給一些人留下了深刻的印象,即使比特幣(BTC)在發稿時的支持高於81,600美元的支持以上,但加密價格也崩潰了。另一方面,AltCoins的表現要差得多,表現最差的人,PI,Hyproliquid,Pepe和Fartcoin。
Yet, Bitcoin price predictions from prominent analysts suggest that the crypto market is days away from a bullish reversal and the next "up only" rally.
然而,著名分析師的比特幣價格預測表明,加密貨幣市場距離看漲的逆轉和下一個“僅”集會距離幾天。
What Trump's Tariffs Mean For Bitcoin?
特朗普的關稅對比特幣意味著什麼?
Bitcoin continues to have a strong correlation with US equities, particularly the tech-heavy NASDAQ 100.
比特幣繼續與美國股票(尤其是納斯達克高科技100號技術)有著密切的關聯。
Unsurprisingly, it is reacting negatively to Trump's steep tariffs on major including partners, including 54% on China, 46% on Vietnam, 32% on Taiwan, 26% on India and 20% on the European Union. The president also announced a 10% baseline tariff on all nations.
毫不奇怪,它對包括副夥伴在內的特朗普對少校的巨大關稅產生了負面反應,其中包括中國的54%,越南的46%,台灣的32%,印度26%,歐盟為20%。總統還宣布對所有國家都有10%的基準關稅。
The steep tariff hikes have sparked fresh stagflation fears — a troubling mix of high inflation and sluggish economic growth.
陡峭的關稅遠足引發了新的停滯恐懼,這令人不安地融合了高通貨膨脹和經濟增長緩慢。
For instance, the US Dollar (DXY) is down by 1.6% on Thursday, indicating that investors aren't bullish on the US growth prospects and anticipate looser monetary policy from the Federal Reserve this year. The weakness in the dollar is counter-intuitive since usually the currency of tariff imposing country rises. Seems investors are more focused on potential weakness in US growth as a result of tariffs. It's a substantial regressive tax – about 2% of GDP.
例如,美元(DXY)週四下跌了1.6%,表明投資者並不樂觀美國的增長前景,並預計今年美聯儲今年將從美聯儲獲得更寬鬆的貨幣政策。美元的弱點是違反直覺的,因為通常是關稅施加的國家的貨幣上升。由於關稅,投資者似乎更專注於美國增長的潛在弱點。這是一項重大的回歸稅 - 約佔GDP的2%。
Industrial commodities like Oil and Copper are also down, a sign of the aforemention recession worries.
石油和銅等工業商品也已經下降,這是上述經濟衰退的標誌。
With Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick claiming that Trump wouldn't back down on tariffs, equities and crypto prices could extend their decline in the coming days.
在商務部長霍華德·盧特尼克(Howard Lutnick)聲稱,特朗普不會拒絕關稅,股票和加密價格可能會延長未來幾天的下降。
However, several macroeconomic experts are still confident that a crypto bull rally is imminent.
但是,幾位宏觀經濟專家仍然有信心即將進行加密公牛集會。
Bitcoin Price Prediction – When Will The Crypto Market Recover?
比特幣價格預測 - 加密市場何時恢復?
Every recent Bitcoin bottom is formed out of bad news. Could it be that Donald Trump's Liberation Day tariffs lead to a macro bottom?
最近的每個比特幣底部都是出於壞消息。難道唐納德·特朗普的解放日關稅導致了宏觀底層嗎?
The steep tariffs on certain trading partners, including the 54% tariff on China, have led experts to believe that the President isn't serious about sticking with these rates long term.
某些貿易夥伴的巨大關稅,包括中國的54%關稅,使專家認為總統長期堅持這些利率並不認真。
Moreover, Trump's announcement could force the Federal Reserve's hand, accelerating the case for rate cuts. Interest rate traders are now pricing in 3 rate cuts this year, up from one.
此外,特朗普的宣布可能會迫使美聯儲的手加速降低稅率。利率交易者現在的價格為今年的3次降價,高於1。
Crucially, GMI's Head of Macro Research Julien Bittel had projected that the Bitcoin price would bottom in the first week of April, citing the soaring global liquidity. Indeed, the Global M2 money supply has an extremely strong correlation with BTC, with a ~12-week lag.
至關重要的是,GMI宏觀研究負責人Julien Bittel預計,比特幣價格將在4月的第一周最低,理由是全球流動性高漲。實際上,全球M2貨幣供應與BTC的相關性非常密切,約為12週的滯後。
Considering that the Global M2 has been rallying since early January, the Bitcoin price could see a bullish reversal as early as the second week of May.
考慮到自1月初以來全球M2一直在集會,比特幣價格早在5月的第二週就可能會逆轉。
Bitcoin price predictions from prominent analysts like Fundstrat's Tom Lee suggest that the largest cryptocurrency will hit $150,000 in 2025. Dips in the $75,000 - $80,000 range are excellent buying opportunities.
來自Fundstrat的湯姆·李(Tom Lee)等著名分析師的比特幣價格預測表明,最大的加密貨幣將在2025年達到150,000美元。在$ 75,000- $ 80,000範圍內下降是絕佳的購買機會。
These Cryptos Could See The Most Demand
這些加密貨幣可能看到的最高需求
Experts expect the tariff uncertainty to supercharge the demand for Bitcoin over altcoins. Experts suggest that the Bitcoin Dominance is trending upwards again and could hit 66 - 71% in the coming week.
專家預計,關稅不確定性可以增強對比特幣對替代幣的需求。專家認為,比特幣的優勢越來越高,並且在未來一周可能會達到66-71%。
Altcoins showing a strong correlation to BTC are also among the best cryptos to buy now.
與BTC相關的山寨幣也是現在購買的最佳加密貨幣之一。
For instance, Fartcoin (FRT) has emerged as an excellent beta play on Bitcoin. The Fartcoin price has declined sharply in correlation to BTC but continues to hold above the $0.33 swing low, preserving the bullish market structure.
例如,Fartcoin(FRT)已成為比特幣上出色的Beta遊戲。 Fartcoin價格與BTC的相關性急劇下降,但仍在低於0.33美元的搖擺不足之上,保留了看漲的市場結構。
Smart money investors could also continue to bet on low-caps. The recent $ROUTINE, $GHIBLI and $TITCOIN explosive rallies indicate that small-cap cryptos won't be impacted by the broader market outlook and continue to offer 100x opportunities.
聰明的貨幣投資者也可以繼續賭注低帽子。最近的$ ghibli $ ghibli和$ titcoin爆炸性集會表明,小型加密貨幣不會受到更廣泛的市場前景的影響,並繼續提供100倍的機會。
Investors are now eyeing Solaxy (SOLX) as the next potential 10x crypto. The first-ever prominent Solana layer-2 coin has raised nearly $30 million in its ICO behind continuous six-figure investments from whales.
現在,投資者將Solaxy(Solx)視為下一個潛在的10倍加密。有史以來第一個著名的Solana第2款硬幣已在鯨魚的連續六位數投資後籌集了將近3000萬美元的ICO。
Solaxy's zero-
Solaxy的零 -
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