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这种向下的移动导致了一个延长的合并期,资产逐渐形成了0.05– $ 0.06范围内的圆形底部。
This analysis piece claims that Dogecoin (DOGE) is potentially forming a cup and handle pattern on the weekly chart, which could signal a significant price increase. The analyst predicts that, if confirmed, Dogecoin could be targeting an ambitious price target of $4.
该分析文章声称,Dogecoin(Doge)可能在每周图表上形成杯子和手柄模式,这可能标志着价格大幅上涨。分析师预测,如果确认,Dogecoin可能以4美元的价格目标目标目标。
The first stage of this pattern, the cup, began taking shape when Dogecoin initially declined from its May 2021 all-time high at $0.74. This downward movement led to an extended consolidation period, where the asset gradually formed a rounded bottom in the $0.05-$0.06 range. The curvature of the price action suggests a slow but steady shift in market sentiment, where selling pressure was gradually absorbed by buyers accumulating DOGE at lower levels.
该模式的第一阶段,即杯杯开始成形,当Dogecoin最初从2021年5月的历史高处下降,$ 0.74。这种向下的移动导致了一个延长的合并期,资产逐渐形成了$ 0.05- $ 0.06的圆底底部。价格行动的曲率表明,市场情绪的缓慢但稳定的转变,在这种情况下,销售压力逐渐被较低水平的买家积累的买家所吸收。
As time progressed, Dogecoin started to recover from this bottom, pushing back towards its December 2024 high at $0.48. The gradual and steady rise back to this high signals that bullish momentum has been building, with increasing interest from market participants.
随着时间的流逝,Dogecoin开始从这个底部恢复,返回其2024年12月的高点,为0.48美元。随着市场参与者的兴趣越来越多的兴趣,逐渐而稳定的兴趣可以追溯到看涨势头一直在建立的高信号。
After reaching the $0.48 resistance level, Dogecoin faced a rejection, leading to a moderate pullback. This decline formed the handle, a smaller downward retracement that typically precedes the final breakout. The handle in this setup is forming around the $0.14-$0.17 price zone, where the market is currently consolidating.
达到0.48美元的电阻水平后,Dogecoin面临拒绝,导致中度回调。这种下降形成了手柄,这是一个较小的向下回试,通常在最终突破之前。此设置中的手柄构成了$ 0.14- $ 0.17的价格区,市场目前正在合并。
The handle serves as the last phase where weaker hands exit, and stronger buying interest gathers momentum before a decisive move higher. If Dogecoin successfully breaks out of the cup and handle pattern, the projected price target can be estimated using the measured move technique. This involves calculating the depth of the cup and adding that value to the breakout point. Based on this method, the expected target is around $4, according to the chart shared by analyst Kevin.
手柄是较弱的手退出的最后阶段,而更强大的购买兴趣收集到决定性移动更高之前的动力。如果Dogecoin成功脱离了杯子和手柄模式,则可以使用测量的移动技术估算预计的目标目标。这涉及计算杯子的深度并将该值添加到突破点。根据分析师凯文(Kevin)共享的图表,基于此方法,预期目标约为4美元。
A textbook cup and handle requires specific structural characteristics, including a rounded bottom and a shallow handle, forming near a prior all-time high or key resistance zone before a breakout. However, there are critical deviations in this analysis that cast doubt on its validity.
教科书杯和手柄需要特定的结构特征,包括圆形底部和浅的手柄,在突破之前在先前的历史高或钥匙阻力区附近形成。但是,在这种分析中存在关键的偏差,使其对其有效性产生怀疑。
The decline from $0.74 (May 2021 ATH) to $0.05-$0.06 is too deep and prolonged to be considered a proper cup formation. Classic cup patterns typically form over weeks to months, not multiple years of extended downtrend. The recovery from $0.05-$0.06 to $0.48 is not symmetrical with the initial drop, making the “rounded bottom” aspect of the cup questionable. Instead, the price action resembles a multi-year accumulation phase rather than a continuous rounding structure.
从0.74美元(2021 ATH)下降到0.05- $ 0.06的下降太深了,延长了,无法被视为适当的杯形阵型。经典的杯子图案通常在数周到几个月内形成,而不是多年的延长下降趋势。从$ 0.05- $ 0.06到$ 0.48的回收与初始下降并不是对称的,这使得杯子的“圆底”方面令人质疑。相反,价格行动类似于一个多年的积累阶段,而不是连续的圆形结构。
Moreover, the handle is forming too deep in the structure. A valid handle should develop near the rim (i.e., close to $0.48), but in this case, Dogecoin has retraced all the way down to $0.14-$0.17—which is a massive drop of over 65% from the supposed cup rim. A healthy handle should not drop below 50% of the cup’s depth, but here, it retraces nearly to the lower third of the structure, invalidating the classical pattern.
此外,手柄在结构中形成太深。有效的手柄应在轮辋附近开发(即接近$ 0.48),但是在这种情况下,Dogecoin一直回落至$ 0.14- $ 0.17,这是从假定的杯篮板上大量下降了65%以上。健康的手柄不应将杯子深度的50%降至50%以下,但是在这里,它几乎将其检索到结构的下三分之一,从而使经典模式无效。
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