比特币（BTC）的价格下跌低于其关键的111天移动平均线，建立了潜在的讨价还价机会

这种技术发展是因为BTC面临短期下降压力。

Crypto analyst Rekt Capital is keeping an eye on a technical development that could have implications for the price of Bitcoin (BTC).

加密分析师Rekt Capital正在关注可能对比特币价格（BTC）产生影响的技术发展。

In a recent X post, the analyst observed that the apex cryptocurrency is currently trading below its critical 111-day moving average.

在最近的X帖子中，分析师观察到，Apex加密货币目前的交易低于其关键的111天移动平均线。

This technical development comes as BTC faces short-term downward pressure, having dropped below the key support level of $7,000 and continuing to move lower.

这一技术发展是因为BTC面临短期下降压力，跌至7,000美元的关键支持水平低于较低的压力，并继续下降。

However, these technical setbacks might present a unique opportunity for investors, according to Rekt Capital.

但是，根据Rekt Capital的说法，这些技术挫折可能为投资者带来独特的机会。

Highlighting that these downside deviations from the 111-day moving average have historically presented “fantastic opportunities in terms of bargain moments,” the analyst anticipates that these deviations could offer interesting entry points for those looking to accumulate Bitcoin.

分析师预计，这些偏差的偏差表明，这些下行偏差与111天移动平均平均水平有关“在讨价还价的时刻方面的绝佳机会”，分析师预计，这些偏差可能会为那些希望积累比特币的人提供有趣的入口点。

Chart: Rekt CapitalExamining the historical patterns of Bitcoin's price action around the 111-day moving average (orange line) and the 350-day moving average multiplied by two (green line) used in the Pi Cycle Top indicator, Rekt Capital explained that Bitcoin's price behavior follows consistent patterns throughout market cycles.

图表：Rekt Capitalexamimexmoxamimexam，Rekt Capital解释说，比特币Capital在PI Cycle Top指标中使用的350天移动平均线和350天移动平均线乘以两个（绿线）的历史模式，Rekt Capital解释说，比特币的价格行为均遵循整个市场周期的一致模式。

“In bull cycles, price action tends to deviate below the orange moving average,” the analyst stated while examining multiple market cycles dating back to 2012-2013.

该分析师在检查可追溯到2012 - 2013年的多个市场周期时说：“在公牛周期中，价格行动往往偏离橙色移动平均水平。”

He added that these deviations used to be brief and momentary during strong bull trends.

他补充说，在强烈的牛趋势中，这些偏差曾经是短暂的。

Pointing out that the 2017 bull run featured quite small and really momentary deviations, and 2021 saw only one major deviation, which presented a bargain opportunity before prices rallied again, Rekt Capital stated that the current cycle has seen quite a few of these deviations, rendering these events a little bit more common.

Rekt Capital指出，2017年的公牛奔跑的特征是相当小且真正的瞬间偏差，而2021年只有一个重大偏差，在价格再次集结之前，它带来了讨价还价的机会，Rekt Capital表示，当前的周期已经看到了很多这些偏差，使这些事件更加普遍。

Despite this change in frequency, Rekt Capital noted that these moments function as buying opportunities.

尽管频率发生了这种变化，但Rekt Capital指出，这些时刻是购买机会。

The orange 111-day moving average, which currently sits at around $96,500, acts as resistance during bear markets until the market is ready to reverse into a new bull cycle, which is why Rekt Capital identifies it as the key resistance that needs to be reclaimed to validate a new uptrend going forward.

目前，橙色的111天移动平均线位于96,500美元左右，在熊市中充当阻力，直到市场准备好逆转新的公牛周期，这就是为什么Rekt Capital将其确定为需要恢复的关键阻力，以确保验证新的上升趋势。

Meanwhile, the recent downward price action has created an interesting effect on the predicted timing of the Pi Cycle Top crossover, which is now being pushed to February 2032 with the substantial move to the downside.

同时，最近的下跌价格行动对PI Cycle Top跨界的预测时间产生了有趣的影响，该时间跨度现在已将其推向2032年2月，并进行了实质性的转变。

“When we have tremendous downside momentum and tremendous stretching of the price action towards the downside—which is what we're seeing here—it does suggest that this current downward move is an extreme move that's not sustainable, at least in terms of time and price to the downside,” explained the analyst.

分析师解释说：“当我们具有巨大的下行势头和巨大的价格行动向下的价格行动时（这就是我们在这里看到的），这确实表明，这种当前的下行移动是一种极端的举动，至少在时间和价格上至少在不利方面是不可持续的。”

The timing of the Pi Cycle crossover varies with recent price action. Before the recent price decline, the indicator was projecting a market top around July 2025. Strong upward rallies tend to bring the projected crossover date closer, while sharp downtrends push it further into the future.

PI周期跨界的时机随着最近的价格行动而有所不同。在最近的价格下跌之前，该指标将在2025年7月左右投射出市场。强劲的向上集会往往会使预计的跨界日期更接近，而Sharp Powstrends则将其进一步推向了未来。

As for what's next, the current price action is forming what Rekt Capital calls a “downside deviation range” that will likely persist for some time before Bitcoin attempts to reclaim the 111-day moving average and the orange 350-day moving average.

至于下一步，当前的价格行动是构成Rekt Capital所说的“下行偏差范围”，在比特币试图收回111天移动平均线和橙色350天移动平均线之前，它可能会持续一段时间。

The analyst will be keenly watching for the development of specific technical structures that could signal the next directional move.

分析师将敏锐地关注开发特定的技术结构，这可能标志着下一个方向性移动。

“It'll be very interesting to see what sort of structure we're able to develop here,” noted the analyst while examining the charts and pointing out a similar situation earlier in the cycle where Bitcoin formed a double bottom pattern during a deviation.

分析师在检查图表并指出了比特币在偏差期间形成双底模式的周期中指出类似情况时指出：“看到我们能够在这里开发哪种结构会非常有趣。”

Looking at the current setup, the analyst is monitoring for potential formations such as a “lower low,” an “inverse head and shoulders,” or another “double bottom” pattern.

查看当前的设置，分析师正在监视潜在的地层，例如“较低的低”，“反向头和肩膀”或其他“双底部”模式。

According to the analyst, these conditions of overselling tend to precede a move to the upside “before too many buyers come into the market and then it’s overbought.”

根据分析师的说法，这些超额销售的条件往往是在转向上行空间之前“在太多的买家进入市场之前，然后过高。”