比特幣（BTC）的價格下跌低於其關鍵的111天移動平均線，建立了潛在的討價還價機會

這種技術發展是因為BTC面臨短期下降壓力。

Crypto analyst Rekt Capital is keeping an eye on a technical development that could have implications for the price of Bitcoin (BTC).

加密分析師Rekt Capital正在關注可能對比特幣價格（BTC）產生影響的技術發展。

In a recent X post, the analyst observed that the apex cryptocurrency is currently trading below its critical 111-day moving average.

在最近的X帖子中，分析師觀察到，Apex加密貨幣目前的交易低於其關鍵的111天移動平均線。

This technical development comes as BTC faces short-term downward pressure, having dropped below the key support level of $7,000 and continuing to move lower.

這一技術發展是因為BTC面臨短期下降壓力，跌至7,000美元的關鍵支持水平低於較低的壓力，並繼續下降。

However, these technical setbacks might present a unique opportunity for investors, according to Rekt Capital.

但是，根據Rekt Capital的說法，這些技術挫折可能為投資者帶來獨特的機會。

Highlighting that these downside deviations from the 111-day moving average have historically presented “fantastic opportunities in terms of bargain moments,” the analyst anticipates that these deviations could offer interesting entry points for those looking to accumulate Bitcoin.

分析師預計，這些偏差的偏差表明，這些下行偏差與111天移動平均平均水平有關“在討價還價的時刻方面的絕佳機會”，分析師預計，這些偏差可能會為那些希望積累比特幣的人提供有趣的入口點。

Chart: Rekt CapitalExamining the historical patterns of Bitcoin's price action around the 111-day moving average (orange line) and the 350-day moving average multiplied by two (green line) used in the Pi Cycle Top indicator, Rekt Capital explained that Bitcoin's price behavior follows consistent patterns throughout market cycles.

圖表：Rekt Capitalexamimexmoxamimexam，Rekt Capital解釋說，比特幣Capital在PI Cycle Top指標中使用的350天移動平均線和350天移動平均線乘以兩個（綠線）的歷史模式，Rekt Capital解釋說，比特幣的價格行為均遵循整個市場週期的一致模式。

“In bull cycles, price action tends to deviate below the orange moving average,” the analyst stated while examining multiple market cycles dating back to 2012-2013.

該分析師在檢查可追溯到2012 - 2013年的多個市場週期時說：“在公牛週期中，價格行動往往偏離橙色移動平均水平。”

He added that these deviations used to be brief and momentary during strong bull trends.

他補充說，在強烈的牛趨勢中，這些偏差曾經是短暫的。

Pointing out that the 2017 bull run featured quite small and really momentary deviations, and 2021 saw only one major deviation, which presented a bargain opportunity before prices rallied again, Rekt Capital stated that the current cycle has seen quite a few of these deviations, rendering these events a little bit more common.

Rekt Capital指出，2017年的公牛奔跑的特徵是相當小且真正的瞬間偏差，而2021年只有一個重大偏差，在價格再次集結之前，它帶來了討價還價的機會，Rekt Capital表示，當前的周期已經看到了很多這些偏差，使這些事件更加普遍。

Despite this change in frequency, Rekt Capital noted that these moments function as buying opportunities.

儘管頻率發生了這種變化，但Rekt Capital指出，這些時刻是購買機會。

The orange 111-day moving average, which currently sits at around $96,500, acts as resistance during bear markets until the market is ready to reverse into a new bull cycle, which is why Rekt Capital identifies it as the key resistance that needs to be reclaimed to validate a new uptrend going forward.

目前，橙色的111天移動平均線位於96,500美元左右，在熊市中充當阻力，直到市場準備好逆轉新的公牛週期，這就是為什麼Rekt Capital將其確定為需要恢復的關鍵阻力，以確保驗證新的上升趨勢。

Meanwhile, the recent downward price action has created an interesting effect on the predicted timing of the Pi Cycle Top crossover, which is now being pushed to February 2032 with the substantial move to the downside.

同時，最近的下跌價格行動對PI Cycle Top跨界的預測時間產生了有趣的影響，該時間跨度現在已將其推向2032年2月，並進行了實質性的轉變。

“When we have tremendous downside momentum and tremendous stretching of the price action towards the downside—which is what we're seeing here—it does suggest that this current downward move is an extreme move that's not sustainable, at least in terms of time and price to the downside,” explained the analyst.

分析師解釋說：“當我們具有巨大的下行勢頭和巨大的價格行動向下的價格行動時（這就是我們在這裡看到的），這確實表明，這種當前的下行移動是一種極端的舉動，至少在時間和價格上至少在不利方面是不可持續的。”

The timing of the Pi Cycle crossover varies with recent price action. Before the recent price decline, the indicator was projecting a market top around July 2025. Strong upward rallies tend to bring the projected crossover date closer, while sharp downtrends push it further into the future.

PI週期跨界的時機隨著最近的價格行動而有所不同。在最近的價格下跌之前，該指標將在2025年7月左右投射出市場。強勁的向上集會往往會使預計的跨界日期更接近，而Sharp Powstrends則將其進一步推向了未來。

As for what's next, the current price action is forming what Rekt Capital calls a “downside deviation range” that will likely persist for some time before Bitcoin attempts to reclaim the 111-day moving average and the orange 350-day moving average.

至於下一步，當前的價格行動是構成Rekt Capital所說的“下行偏差範圍”，在比特幣試圖收回111天移動平均線和橙色350天移動平均線之前，它可能會持續一段時間。

The analyst will be keenly watching for the development of specific technical structures that could signal the next directional move.

分析師將敏銳地關注開發特定的技術結構，這可能標誌著下一個方向性移動。

“It'll be very interesting to see what sort of structure we're able to develop here,” noted the analyst while examining the charts and pointing out a similar situation earlier in the cycle where Bitcoin formed a double bottom pattern during a deviation.

分析師在檢查圖表並指出了比特幣在偏差期間形成雙底模式的周期中指出類似情況時指出：“看到我們能夠在這裡開發哪種結構會非常有趣。”

Looking at the current setup, the analyst is monitoring for potential formations such as a “lower low,” an “inverse head and shoulders,” or another “double bottom” pattern.

查看當前的設置，分析師正在監視潛在的地層，例如“較低的低”，“反向頭和肩膀”或其他“雙底部”模式。

According to the analyst, these conditions of overselling tend to precede a move to the upside “before too many buyers come into the market and then it’s overbought.”

根據分析師的說法，這些超額銷售的條件往往是在轉向上行空間之前“在太多的買家進入市場之前，然後過高。”