Dogecoin（Doge）逆转确认？这是下一个定向移动

Doge在测试了可能定义其下一个定向运动的关键技术水平后，上周在看涨的笔记上关闭。

Dogecoin (DOGE) closed last week on a bullish note after testing critical technical levels that could define its next directional move.

Dogecoin（Doge）在测试了可能定义其下一个定向运动的关键技术水平后，上周在看涨的笔记上关闭。

The weekly chart on Binance (DOGE/USDT) reveals that DOGE is currently trading just above the significant 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level at $0.167. This retracement is drawn from the all-time low at $0.0805 to the peak of $0.4844.

每周二比图表（Doge/USDT）显示，Doge目前正在高于0.786的斐波那契回撤水平，为0.167美元。此回答是从历史最低低价$ 0.0805到$ 0.4844的峰值提取的。

Dogecoin Reversal Confirmed?

Dogecoin逆转确认？

A notable technical development is the interaction with a long-standing descending trendline, extending from the May 2021 all-time high. DOGE recently retested this trendline as support after breaking above it in November 2024.

一个值得注意的技术发展是与长期下降的趋势线的互动，从2021年5月的历史最高水平延伸。 Doge最近在2024年11月超越了该趋势后重新测试了这一趋势线。

Last week’s candle printed a Hammer-like formation, characterized by a small real body near the top of the range and a significantly longer lower shadow. While the candle also displays a modest upper wick, the dominance of the lower shadow signals that buyers absorbed aggressive sell pressure below the trendline and pushed the price back above the 0.786 Fibonacci level - a strong bullish signal.

上周的蜡烛打印了一个类似锤子的形成，其特征是射程顶部附近的一个小物体和较长的下阴影。尽管蜡烛也显示出适中的上部灯芯，但下部影子信号的主导地位使买家在趋势线上吸收了积极的卖出压力，并将价格推回了0.786的斐波那契水平，这是一个强烈的看涨信号。

However, this week could be as important as last week. A weekly close above $0.167 seems essential to confirm the momentum. Otherwise, another test of the multi-year trendline could become a make-or-break moment for the Dogecoin price.

但是，本周可能和上周一样重要。每周关闭$ 0.167似乎对于确认势头似乎至关重要。否则，对多年趋势线的另一项测试可能会成为Dogecoin价格的制成或破坏时刻。

Notably, momentum indicators remain neutral to bearish. The weekly Relative Strength Index (RSI) closed around 39, reflecting subdued buying strength and highlighting that DOGE is still operating below the neutral 50 mark.

值得注意的是，动量指标仍然是中性的。每周的相对强度指数（RSI）在39左右关闭，反映了柔和的购买强度，而Doge的突出显示仍低于中性50分。

The Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) are providing layered resistance above the current price. The 100-week EMA lies at $0.17284, positioned just above DOGE’s current range, while the 50-week EMA is located at $0.21427. The 20-week EMA, the more immediate resistance during previous rallies, now sits at $0.24805. Support is reinforced at the 200-week EMA around $0.13621, a level that would likely serve as a last line of defense should DOGE crash below the multi-year trendline.

指数移动平均值（EMAS）提供了高于当前价格的分层电阻。 100周的EMA为$ 0.17284，位于Doge当前范围之上，而50周的EMA则位于0.21427美元。为期20周的EMA，是以前的集会期间更直接的阻力，现在为0.24805美元。支持在200周的EMA大约0.13621美元左右得到加强，这一水平可能是最后一条国防部应在多年趋势线以下。

Price action in recent weeks also shows DOGE breaking down from a bearish flag or channel formation, with the breakdown accelerating toward the confluence of the 0.786 Fibonacci level and the descending trendline retest. Despite this, the market responded with strong buying interest in the highlighted red support zone.

最近几周的价格行动还表明，Doge从看跌旗或渠道形成中崩溃了，崩溃加速朝着0.786斐波那契水平的汇合和降级趋势线重新测试。尽管如此，市场对重点的红色支持区的强烈购买兴趣做出了反应。

On-chain data further contextualizes the recent price action. Analytics firm Santiment reported via X today that Dogecoin, like most meme coins, has been heavily impacted during the ongoing two-month market-wide retracement. However, Santiment pointed out a bullish divergence on the network side.

链上数据进一步将最近的价格行动背景。分析公司Santiment通过X今天报道说，与大多数模因硬币一样，Dogecoin在正在进行的两个月整个市场的回溯中受到了严重影响。但是，Santiment指出了网络方面的看涨分歧。

The firm states: “Dogecoin, like most meme coins, has been hammered during the 2-month crypto-wide retracement. However, we recommend keeping an eye on the rising level of wallets holding at least 1M $DOGE, which has recovered during the price dump. Active addresses are also at 4-month highs.”

该公司说：“像大多数模因硬币一样，在2个月的加密货币回撤中，狗果已经被锤打。

Adding to this sentiment, crypto analyst Daan Crypto Trades commented via X: “DOGE similar to PEPE but has already retaken the Election level after sweeping it. I think these are key levels to keep watching on a lot of these alts. A sweep & retake signals some short term relief and these levels can offer a clean invalidation level afterwards.”

加密分析师Daan Crypto通过X进行了评论：“ Doge类似于Pepe，但在扫描之后已经重新占领了选举水平。我认为，这些是关键水平，可以继续观察许多此类替代。

This aligns with the technical observation that DOGE’s recent price action may represent a sweep of liquidity below a key level, followed by a recovery above support - a typical short-term bullish reversal pattern in crypto markets.

这与技术观察结果相吻合，即Doge最近的价格行动可能代表着关键水平以下的流动性扫描，其次是恢复高于支持的恢复 - 一种典型的代表加密市场中的短期短期逆转模式。