Dogecoin（Doge）逆轉確認？這是下一個定向移動

Doge在測試了可能定義其下一個定向運動的關鍵技術水平後，上週在看漲的筆記上關閉。

Dogecoin (DOGE) closed last week on a bullish note after testing critical technical levels that could define its next directional move.

Dogecoin（Doge）在測試了可能定義其下一個定向運動的關鍵技術水平後，上週在看漲的筆記上關閉。

The weekly chart on Binance (DOGE/USDT) reveals that DOGE is currently trading just above the significant 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level at $0.167. This retracement is drawn from the all-time low at $0.0805 to the peak of $0.4844.

每週二比圖表（Doge/USDT）顯示，Doge目前正在高於0.786的斐波那契回撤水平，為0.167美元。此回答是從歷史最低低價$ 0.0805到$ 0.4844的峰值提取的。

Dogecoin Reversal Confirmed?

Dogecoin逆轉確認？

A notable technical development is the interaction with a long-standing descending trendline, extending from the May 2021 all-time high. DOGE recently retested this trendline as support after breaking above it in November 2024.

一個值得注意的技術發展是與長期下降的趨勢線的互動，從2021年5月的歷史最高水平延伸。 Doge最近在2024年11月超越了該趨勢後重新測試了這一趨勢線。

Last week’s candle printed a Hammer-like formation, characterized by a small real body near the top of the range and a significantly longer lower shadow. While the candle also displays a modest upper wick, the dominance of the lower shadow signals that buyers absorbed aggressive sell pressure below the trendline and pushed the price back above the 0.786 Fibonacci level - a strong bullish signal.

上週的蠟燭打印了一個類似錘子的形成，其特徵是射程頂部附近的一個小物體和較長的下陰影。儘管蠟燭也顯示出適中的上部燈芯，但下部影子信號的主導地位使買家在趨勢線上吸收了積極的賣出壓力，並將價格推回了0.786的斐波那契水平，這是一個強烈的看漲信號。

However, this week could be as important as last week. A weekly close above $0.167 seems essential to confirm the momentum. Otherwise, another test of the multi-year trendline could become a make-or-break moment for the Dogecoin price.

但是，本周可能和上週一樣重要。每週關閉$ 0.167似乎對於確認勢頭似乎至關重要。否則，對多年趨勢線的另一項測試可能會成為Dogecoin價格的製成或破壞時刻。

Notably, momentum indicators remain neutral to bearish. The weekly Relative Strength Index (RSI) closed around 39, reflecting subdued buying strength and highlighting that DOGE is still operating below the neutral 50 mark.

值得注意的是，動量指標仍然是中性的。每週的相對強度指數（RSI）在39左右關閉，反映了柔和的購買強度，而Doge的突出顯示仍低於中性50分。

The Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) are providing layered resistance above the current price. The 100-week EMA lies at $0.17284, positioned just above DOGE’s current range, while the 50-week EMA is located at $0.21427. The 20-week EMA, the more immediate resistance during previous rallies, now sits at $0.24805. Support is reinforced at the 200-week EMA around $0.13621, a level that would likely serve as a last line of defense should DOGE crash below the multi-year trendline.

指數移動平均值（EMAS）提供了高於當前價格的分層電阻。 100週的EMA為$ 0.17284，位於Doge當前範圍之上，而50週的EMA則位於0.21427美元。為期20週的EMA，是以前的集會期間更直接的阻力，現在為0.24805美元。支持在200週的EMA大約0.13621美元左右得到加強，這一水平可能是最後一條國防部應在多年趨勢線以下。

Price action in recent weeks also shows DOGE breaking down from a bearish flag or channel formation, with the breakdown accelerating toward the confluence of the 0.786 Fibonacci level and the descending trendline retest. Despite this, the market responded with strong buying interest in the highlighted red support zone.

最近幾週的價格行動還表明，Doge從看跌旗或渠道形成中崩潰了，崩潰加速朝著0.786斐波那契水平的匯合和降級趨勢線重新測試。儘管如此，市場對重點的紅色支持區的強烈購買興趣做出了反應。

On-chain data further contextualizes the recent price action. Analytics firm Santiment reported via X today that Dogecoin, like most meme coins, has been heavily impacted during the ongoing two-month market-wide retracement. However, Santiment pointed out a bullish divergence on the network side.

鏈上數據進一步將最近的價格行動背景。分析公司Santiment通過X今天報導說，與大多數模因硬幣一樣，Dogecoin在正在進行的兩個月整個市場的回溯中受到了嚴重影響。但是，Santiment指出了網絡方面的看漲分歧。

The firm states: “Dogecoin, like most meme coins, has been hammered during the 2-month crypto-wide retracement. However, we recommend keeping an eye on the rising level of wallets holding at least 1M $DOGE, which has recovered during the price dump. Active addresses are also at 4-month highs.”

該公司指出：“像大多數模因硬幣一樣，在2個月範圍內的加密貨幣回回回回發動機期間都被錘打。但是，我們建議密切關注持有至少100萬美元的錢包的上升水平，該錢在價格轉儲期間已恢復。主動地址也是4個月的高點。”

Adding to this sentiment, crypto analyst Daan Crypto Trades commented via X: “DOGE similar to PEPE but has already retaken the Election level after sweeping it. I think these are key levels to keep watching on a lot of these alts. A sweep & retake signals some short term relief and these levels can offer a clean invalidation level afterwards.”

加密分析師Daan Crypto通過X進行了評論：“ Doge類似於Pepe，但在掃描之後，我已經在選舉級別上重新讀取了這些關鍵水平。

This aligns with the technical observation that DOGE’s recent price action may represent a sweep of liquidity below a key level, followed by a recovery above support - a typical short-term bullish reversal pattern in crypto markets.

這與技術觀察結果相吻合，即Doge最近的價格行動可能代表著關鍵水平以下的流動性掃描，其次是恢復高於支持的恢復 - 一種典型的代表加密市場中的短期短期逆轉模式。