XRP表现的奇怪案例

唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）的11月连任确保，在1月20日，美国历史上最适合加密货币友好的候选人就职

The legal and regulatory year 2025 has certainly been very positive for Ripple Labs and for the XRP token.

2025年的法律和监管年对于Ripple Labs和XRP令牌肯定非常积极。

Donald Trump’s November re-election ensured that, on January 20, the most cryptocurrency-friendly candidate in U.S. history was inaugurated, ushering in a more cordial Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) that, by March 20, dropped the long-standing XRP court case.

唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）的11月连任确保，在1月20日，美国历史上最适合加密货币友好的候选人揭幕，迎来了一个更亲切的证券和交易委员会（SEC），该委员会（SEC）在3月20日之前撤销了长期以来的XRP法院案件。

However, despite the positive developments – and the optimism for the future that emerged from the regulatory developments and hopes for greater adoption through means like an XRP exchange-traded fund (ETF) – the token has been performing without much luster in the first quarter (Q1) of 2025.

然而，尽管有积极的发展，并且对未来的乐观情绪来自监管发展，并希望通过诸如XRP交易所交易基金（ETF）之类的手段采用更大的采用，但令牌在2025年的第一季度（Q1）的表现却没有太多光泽。

Community remains bullish despite XRP’s $7 billion wipe

尽管XRP耗资70亿美元，但社区仍然看好

The curious case of XRP’s performance became particularly pointed by March 28 as the cryptocurrency suffered a sharp plunge that ensured it wiped $7 billion from its market capitalization within just 24 hours.

XRP的奇怪案例在3月28日之前尤其明确，因为加密货币急剧下跌，确保了它在仅24小时内就从市值中削减了70亿美元。

Indeed, the latest market activity means that the token is only 6.90% up year-to-date (YTD) with a press time price of $2.22. While such a setup does not appear dreadful given that, some six months ago, the cryptocurrency was changing hands near $0.50, it is simultaneously 32.93% below highs recorded as recently as January 17.

实际上，最新的市场活动意味着，该令牌年仅为6.90％，毕业生（YTD）的新闻时间为2.22美元。鉴于大约六个月前，这种设置并不令人恐惧，但加密货币的易手接近0.50美元，但截至最近1月17日，它同时低于记录的高高32.93％。

Still, while some are wondering why is XRP dropping today, the community, as a whole, appears mostly bullish.

尽管如此，尽管有些人想知道为什么XRP今天要下降，但整个社区似乎看涨。

The community sentiment meter shows that the attitude is generally optimistic, with 88% bullish and only 12% bearish, per the data Finbold retrieved from CoinMarketCap on March 28.

社区情感计表明，根据3月28日从CoinMarketCap检索的数据，态度通常是乐观的，看涨88％，看跌率为12％。

Similarly, only about 29% of XRP positions have been bearish in the last 24 hours, according to the statistics Finbold extracted from Coinalyze on the same day. Simultaneously, the relatively low ratio can be explained by the steep plunge rather than long-term positivity, as strong downward movements tend to precede upward corrections.

同样，根据同一天，从Coinalyze提取的统计数据，在过去24小时内，只有约29％的XRP位置是看跌的。同时，相对较低的比率可以用陡峭的跌落而不是长期积极性来解释，因为强大的向下运动倾向于向上校正。

Crypto gamblers weigh in on XRP’s future

加密赌徒享受XRP的未来

What is indicative of the outlook for 2025 are the bets placed on Polymarket. To begin with, the prediction market setup for the potential XRP ETF showcases that 85% of the participants are willing to wager money on the product getting approved by December 31.

指示2025年前景的是放置在多聚市场上的赌注。首先，对潜在XRP ETF的预测市场设置展示了85％的参与者愿意在12月31日之前批准该产品。

However, optimism is somewhat tempered by the recent turn to negativity seen with the bets about an XRP ETF getting approved by July 31 – it recently fell by 18% to 35% – and for the odds of the token hitting a new all-time high (ATH) before 2026 starts – a 10% drop ensured it is, at press time, hovering at 40%.

然而，由于最近对XRP ETF的赌注，XRP ETF在7月31日之前获得批准的赌注有所缓和，最近它下降了18％至35％ - 并且由于代币在2026年开始时以新的历史高（ATH）的几率开始，在20％开始 - 10％的下降 - 10％的下降时间确保了它在40％的媒体上徘徊。

Community XRP price prediction 2025

社区XRP价格预测2025

Interestingly, the wider sentiment regarding XRP – and, given collective psychology’s impact on the cryptocurrency market, the token’s performance – might be made or broken on Friday, March 28.

有趣的是，关于集体心理学对加密货币市场的影响，代币的表现可能会在3月28日星期五制造或破坏。

Multiple recent community ideas, published via TradingView, have identified the day as critical for XRP’s performance. Overall, the predictions have been bullish, with a member known as Reeza87 opining that, should the token reclaim $3.02, its path to a new high would be opened. Furthermore, they also offered their XRP price prediction with a target as high as $200 in the examination.

通过TradingView发表的许多最近的社区思想已经确定这一天对于XRP的表现至关重要。总体而言，这些预测是看好的，一个被称为Reeza87的成员认为，如果令牌回收$ 3.02，它将打开其新高高的道路。此外，他们还提供了XRP价格预测，目标在考试中高达200美元。

Early on March 28, Drmagicman posted his analysis claiming that the cryptocurrency is closely following its 2017 performance and that, should it continue doing so, it shall swiftly enjoy a powerful bullish breakout.

3月28日早些时候，Drmagicman发布了他的分析，声称加密货币在2017年的表演之后紧密相关，如果继续这样做，它将迅速享受强大的看涨突破。

Another community member, itsjustanalysis spotted an uncanny convergence of factors on March 28. According to the user, Friday marks 144 days since the November 4 breakout, 52 days since the February ‘flash crash,’ while simultaneously having the Ichimoku’s Chikou Span point toward a powerful bullish setup.

另一位社区成员Itsjustanalysis在3月28日发现了不可思议的因素。根据用户的说法，自11月4日突破以来，自2月4日的“闪光崩溃”以来的52天后，周五是144天，同时使Ichimoku的Chikou Span朝着强大的Bullish Setup进行了同时。

They also offered a more conservative $2.61 as a positive close, hinting that if XRP records such success on March 28, the community’s confidence is likely to be restored and solidified.

他们还提供了一个更保守的2.61美元，这是一个积极的亲密关系，暗示如果XRP在3月28日取得成功，那么社区的信心很可能会得到恢复和巩固。

Why it may be too early for the community to make up its mind about XRP

为什么社区对XRP下定决心可能为时过早

Despite the community’s cautious positivity and high hopes for Friday, it is possible that it is still far too early to make up one’s mind about the token’s long-term 2025 performance. The relative lack of impact of the dropping of the XRP lawsuit is emblematic of the great turmoil affecting the cryptocurrency and stock markets in recent months.

尽管社区对星期五的谨慎积极性和寄予厚望，但要确定令牌长期2025年的表现还为时过早。 XRP诉讼的删除的相对缺乏影响，象征着近几个月来影响加密货币和股票市场的巨大动荡。

Indeed, President Trump’s impact on XRP has been different than expected, and he has, thus far, been an agent of chaos. It is likely that the markets will have to take some more time to adjust to the new

的确，特朗普总统对XRP的影响与预期不同，到目前为止，他已经成为混乱的代理人。市场可能需要花费更多时间来适应新的